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Stadio Ennio Tardini
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
33%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Parma | Draw✦ AI Pick | Genoa |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Parma vs Genoa prediction: this Serie A meeting at the Stadio Ennio Tardini pits two winless strugglers against each other at the bottom of the table. Parma sit 17th with just one point from three games, while Genoa are even worse off in 19th, already inside the relegation zone with a goal difference of minus six.
Neither side has found any attacking rhythm. Parma have scored only once in three league matches and have lost their last two, while Genoa have shipped eight goals in four games, including a heavy defeat to Como. Both attacks look toothless, and defensive frailty is the shared theme heading into this fixture.
The head-to-head series over the past two years has been remarkably tight, producing back-to-back scoreless draws in their last two Serie A meetings. That pattern, combined with the low combined goals-per-game rate here, points toward another cagey, low-scoring affair.
Bookmakers make Genoa narrow favorites at 37.1% against Parma's 31.0%, with the draw close behind at 31.9%. Given the tiny points-per-game gap and matching lack of quality at both ends, this looks like a genuine coin-flip. Our model leans toward a draw as the most defensible outcome, with goals at a premium and both sides fragile enough to concede but unlikely to be clinical in front of goal.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Parma and Genoa have met twice in the past two years, with both Serie A fixtures ending goalless, in January...
Parma and Genoa have met twice in the past two years, with both Serie A fixtures ending goalless, in January 2026 and October 2025. That stalemate trend fits neatly with the current form of both sides, who are struggling to score. Historically the fixture has produced some higher-scoring results, but the recent trajectory strongly favors a tight, low-event match with few clear-cut chances for either team.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.7/10
Parma have managed only one point from their last three Serie A matches, drawing with...
Parma have managed only one point from their last three Serie A matches, drawing with Monza and losing to Juventus and Cagliari. They've scored just once in that stretch and have failed to score in two of three outings, highlighting a blunt attacking edge. Defensively they're also shipping goals at over one per game. Injuries to Nicolussi Caviglia, Bernabe, and Diallo further thin an already stretched squad. Home form has been passable with one win and one draw in two games, offering slight optimism, but with zero wins in their last three overall, confidence is low heading into this relegation six-pointer against fellow strugglers Genoa.
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.3/10
Genoa arrive having taken just one point from four league games, sitting 19th with a...
Genoa arrive having taken just one point from four league games, sitting 19th with a minus-six goal difference. Their only point came from a draw with Frosinone, sandwiched by a heavy 4-1 defeat to Como and losses to Lazio and Napoli. They've conceded eight goals already this season, averaging two per game, and have scored only twice. Injuries to Havel and Venturino add to defensive concerns. Away form has been particularly poor, with a loss in their only away fixture this campaign. Genoa's attack has flashed occasional promise but their leaky defense makes any clean sheet or convincing win unlikely on the road.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Parma vs Genoa - Match Analysis
Both teams are winless in the league this season and have combined for very few goals per game. Their last two head-to-head meetings both finished 0-0, reinforcing this pattern. With bookmaker odds spread almost evenly across all three outcomes and neither side showing attacking sharpness, a low-scoring stalemate is the most balanced projection for this relegation-zone clash.
Under 2.5 Goals is the standout alternative given both teams' struggles in front of goal and a combined scoring rate under one goal per game. Bettors could also consider Both Teams to Score: No, since both sides have failed to score in multiple recent matches. These markets align better with the grinding, low-quality nature of this fixture than backing an outright winner.
This is effectively a relegation six-pointer early in the season. Parma sit 17th and Genoa 19th, both with just one point on the board. A win here would provide crucial breathing room and a psychological boost, while another loss risks an early gap forming to the rest of the pack. Both sides badly need a response after difficult starts to the campaign.
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