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Stadio Ennio Tardini
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AI Predicted Winner
AS Roma
70%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Parma | Draw | AS Roma✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Bet365 | |||
BetVictor | |||
| Best Odds |
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Parma vs AS Roma is a Serie A mismatch on paper, with the visitors arriving at Stadio Ennio Tardini as clear favorites. Roma sit third on 27 points and have not lost in the league, collecting eight wins and three draws from eleven games. Parma are sixteenth on eight points, having won just two matches all season.
Roma's attack is the headline. They have scored 31 goals at 2.82 per game and conceded only 10, with six clean sheets. Their league form includes a 5-2 win at Udinese and a 3-0 home win over Sassuolo. Parma have managed only 9 goals in 11 games and failed to score in five of them, while conceding 1.55 per game. They lost 2-1 to Bologna at home last time out.
The head-to-head also favors the visitors. Roma have won all four meetings since December 2024, including a 3-2 win at this ground in May. Roma have injury concerns around Pellegrini, Svilar, Dybala and Kone, and a Champions League trip to Paris follows this game, but the quality gap is too large to ignore.
Our Parma vs AS Roma prediction is an away win. Bookmakers price Roma at roughly 70%, and the underlying numbers support that. Expect Parma to compete at home, but Roma's superior scoring should tell.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Roma dominate the recent head-to-head. Of the four meetings since December 2024, the visitors have won every time: 5-0 in...
Roma dominate the recent head-to-head. Of the four meetings since December 2024, the visitors have won every time: 5-0 in Rome in December 2024, 1-0 at Parma in February 2025, 2-1 in Rome in October 2025, and 3-2 at the Tardini last May. Parma have scored in only two of those four, though they pushed Roma hard in the most recent clash. Roma's average winning margin is comfortable, and this fixture has produced goals for the visitors consistently, which supports a Roma-leaning view.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3/10
Parma's season has been a struggle. They have won two of eleven league games, scoring...
Parma's season has been a struggle. They have won two of eleven league games, scoring just 0.82 goals per game while conceding 1.55. Five games without a goal underline their attacking problems. Their last five reads one win, one draw and three defeats, with the win a 3-0 away victory at Atalanta that now looks like an outlier. At home they have one win, two draws and three losses from six, so the Tardini has offered little protection. They lost 2-1 to Bologna in their last outing. Reported absences are minor, but Parma need a rare big performance.
11 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
7.3/10
Roma are the in-form side of the division. They are unbeaten in eleven Serie A...
Roma are the in-form side of the division. They are unbeaten in eleven Serie A games (eight wins, three draws), scoring 2.82 and conceding 0.91 per game. The last league outings include a 3-0 home win over Sassuolo, a 5-2 win at Udinese and a 4-2 home win over Cagliari. Their away record is three wins and two draws from five, with 14 goals scored. Champions League defeats to Real Madrid and Manchester United show they can concede against elite opposition, but Parma are far from that level. Injuries to Pellegrini, Svilar, Dybala and Kone are worth monitoring.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Parma vs AS Roma - Match Analysis
Roma are third in Serie A and unbeaten in eleven league games, with 31 goals scored and only 10 conceded. Parma are sixteenth with two wins all season and have failed to score in five matches. Roma have also won all four recent meetings, including a 3-2 win at this stadium. Bookmakers price Roma at about 70%, and the gap in form and quality supports that view.
Roma -1 Asian Handicap is the strongest alternative, given their scoring rate of 2.82 goals per game against a Parma defense conceding 1.55. Over 2.5 goals is another option, as the combined average is 3.64 per game. Roma Draw No Bet suits cautious bettors who want protection if Parma hold on for a draw at home.
Parma sit sixteenth on eight points and need results to move away from the lower reaches of the table, so every point matters. Roma are chasing the leaders in the Champions League qualification places and want to extend their unbeaten league run. A Champions League trip to Paris follows on 25 November, so Roma will want to finish this job efficiently.
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