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Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Draw
This Napoli vs AS Roma prediction highlights a fascinating Serie A preview between two teams with contrasting fortunes. Napoli sits third with 49 points, showcasing impressive home form with eight wins from eleven matches, while Roma occupies fifth place on 46 points despite recent inconsistency. The Partenopei have won three of their last five league encounters, including a crucial 3-2 comeback victory at Genoa, though they suffered a penalty shootout exit to Como in the Coppa Italia. Roma arrives with mixed form, securing two wins from five matches but struggling away from the Stadio Olimpico. Key injuries plague both sides - Napoli miss influential midfielder Frank Anguissa and winger David Neres, while Roma's top scorer Artem Dovbyk remains sidelined with a groin problem. The head-to-head record favors Napoli, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Rome earlier this season. With Napoli's superior home record and Roma's away struggles, our expert picks suggest backing the hosts. These football tips today emphasize Napoli's home advantage and Roma's injury concerns as decisive factors in this Serie A clash.
Moderate
Moderate
Even
High
2025/2026 Season
Napoli vs AS Roma - Match Analysis
Napoli's exceptional home form drives this prediction, with eight wins from eleven matches at the Maradona this season. Their recent 3-2 comeback victory at Genoa showcased their resilience, while Roma's problematic away record (seven wins from thirteen) highlights their struggles on the road. The absence of Roma's top scorer Artem Dovbyk due to injury significantly weakens their attacking threat, giving Napoli a clear advantage in their fortress.
Roma suffers the more damaging blow with Artem Dovbyk's groin injury ruling out their leading scorer, forcing Paulo Dybala to carry the creative burden alone. Napoli miss influential midfielder Frank Anguissa and winger David Neres, but retain their core attacking structure with Kvaratskhelia and Victor Osimhen available. The injury impact clearly favors Napoli, as Roma lose their primary goal threat while the hosts maintain their key offensive weapons.
Draw No Bet: Napoli provides excellent coverage at approximately 75% confidence, combining their home win probability with draw protection. The Under 2.5 Goals market appeals given both teams' recent defensive improvements and the tactical significance of this European qualification battle. Both Teams to Score: No also merits consideration, as Roma's attacking threat diminishes without Dovbyk while Napoli's defense has tightened considerably in recent matches.
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Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with Napoli holding a slight edge. The teams last met in...
Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry with Napoli holding a slight edge. The teams last met in November 2025, with Napoli securing a narrow 1-0 victory at the Stadio Olimpico. Over their last four meetings since 2024, the record stands at two wins for Napoli, one for Roma, and one draw. Napoli has proven particularly effective at home against Roma, winning their last encounter at the Maradona 1-0 in November 2024.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
10 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
6/10
Napoli enters this fixture in solid form despite their recent Coppa Italia disappointment. The Partenopei...
Napoli enters this fixture in solid form despite their recent Coppa Italia disappointment. The Partenopei have won three of their last five Serie A matches, including an impressive 3-2 comeback victory away to Genoa that demonstrated their resilience. Their home form at the Maradona has been exceptional, with eight wins from eleven matches this season. However, injury concerns mount with Frank Anguissa and David Neres both ruled out, while Scott McTominay faces a fitness test. The absence of Anguissa particularly hurts their midfield balance, though Khvicha Kvaratskhelia remains their key creative outlet. Their recent 2-2 draw with Inter showed they can compete with the league's best teams.
11 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
6/10
Roma's form presents a mixed picture heading into this crucial away fixture. The Giallorossi have...
Roma's form presents a mixed picture heading into this crucial away fixture. The Giallorossi have managed just two wins from their last five matches, though they did secure a comfortable 2-0 home victory over Cagliari in their most recent outing. Their away record remains problematic, with only seven wins from thirteen road trips this season. The absence of top scorer Artem Dovbyk due to a groin injury significantly weakens their attacking threat, while midfielder Manu Koné also misses out. Stephan El Shaarawy and Evan Ferguson face late fitness tests. Paulo Dybala will need to shoulder the creative burden, but Roma's inconsistent away performances suggest they may struggle at the hostile Maradona atmosphere.
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
