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Lecce
Lecce18th in Serie A (6-6-15)
VS
Cremonese
Cremonese17th in Serie A (5-9-13)

Lecce vs Cremonese

Sunday, Mar 8, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Via del Mare

Final
Lecce
2–1
Cremonese

Lecce won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Lecce vs Cremonese prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at Stadio Via del Mare, with both teams locked on 24 points in Serie A's bottom half. This Serie A preview highlights two struggling sides desperate for points, as Lecce sits 18th in the relegation zone while Cremonese occupies 17th, just one place above the drop. Bookmaker consensus favors Lecce at 43.7% despite their identical points tally, reflecting home advantage in this tight encounter. Both teams have managed just 0.89 points per game, underlining their precarious positions. Lecce's recent form shows glimpses of hope with wins over Udinese and Cagliari, though they've struggled at home with only three victories in 14 matches. Cremonese arrives having lost to AC Milan but showed resilience in previous draws against Genoa and Hellas Verona. With combined goals averaging just 1.45 per game, this promises to be a cagey affair where defensive solidity could prove decisive. Expert picks suggest this match represents excellent value for football tips today, given the high stakes and evenly matched opponents fighting for Serie A survival.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Lecce6-6-1522.2%
Cremonese5-9-1318.5%
Goals Scored
Lecce18
Cremonese21
Goals Conceded
Lecce36
Cremonese38
Goal Difference
Lecce-18
Cremonese-17

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Lecce vs Cremonese - Match Analysis

Why is Lecce favored despite being level on points with Cremonese?

Home advantage proves decisive in the bookmaker assessment, with Lecce's recent 2-0 victory over Cremonese in December providing psychological edge. The Salentini's superior home record compared to Cremonese's poor away form (just three wins in 14 road trips) justifies the market preference. Additionally, Lecce has shown more recent fight with victories over Udinese and Cagliari, suggesting better momentum heading into this crucial relegation battle.

What alternative bets should I consider for Lecce vs Cremonese?

Focus on low-scoring markets given both teams average just 1.45 goals per game combined. Under 2.5 Goals offers excellent value, while Draw No Bet: Lecce provides insurance against the likely stalemate. The Both Teams to Score No market appeals given Lecce's frequent scoring failures (14 blank games) and Cremonese's away struggles. Double Chance covering Lecce or Draw represents the safest approach in this unpredictable relegation scrap.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

This represents a six-pointer in the relegation battle, with both teams locked on 24 points and desperate for survival points. Lecce currently sits 18th in the relegation zone, while Cremonese occupies 17th just above the drop. Victory could provide crucial breathing space, while defeat would pile pressure on the loser with the season entering its final phase. The psychological impact of this result could determine which team finds the confidence to escape Serie B relegation.

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Last 9 head-to-head matchups

Lecce (4)Draws (2)Cremonese (3)
Dec 7, 25
(H)Cremonese2 - 0Lecce(A)
H
Feb 4, 23
(H)Cremonese0 - 2Lecce(A)
A
Oct 2, 22
(H)Lecce1 - 1Cremonese(A)
D
Jan 23, 22
(H)Lecce2 - 1Cremonese(A)
H
Aug 22, 21
(H)Cremonese3 - 0Lecce(A)
H
Feb 13, 21
(H)Cremonese1 - 2Lecce(A)
A
Oct 21, 20
(H)Lecce2 - 2Cremonese(A)
D
Apr 7, 19
(H)Cremonese2 - 0Lecce(A)
H
Nov 25, 18
(H)Lecce2 - 0Cremonese(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides favor the hosts, with Lecce winning the reverse fixture 2-0 at Cremonese's Stadio Giovanni Zini...

Recent encounters between these sides favor the hosts, with Lecce winning the reverse fixture 2-0 at Cremonese's Stadio Giovanni Zini in December 2025. That victory marked a rare bright spot for Lecce's season and demonstrated their ability to trouble Cremonese's defense. The head-to-head record from their 2022-23 Serie A campaign shows one win each and a draw, suggesting these teams are well-matched. Cremonese's away struggles this season make them vulnerable to a repeat of December's result.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Lecce

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
W
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Lecce Form Analysis

Trending

Lecce's campaign has been defined by inconsistency, managing just six wins from 27 matches while...

Lecce's campaign has been defined by inconsistency, managing just six wins from 27 matches while scoring a meager 0.67 goals per game. Their home record of three wins in 14 matches tells the story of their relegation battle, though recent victories over Udinese (2-1) and against Cagliari away (2-0) provide hope. The Salentini have shown they can compete when backs are against the wall, but defensive frailties remain with 36 goals conceded. Key injury concerns center around F. Marchwiński's knee problem, potentially limiting their attacking options. Their ability to grind out results when needed could prove crucial in this must-win scenario.

Cremonese

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
D
L
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
W
W

Form Rating

2.7/10

Cremonese Form Analysis

Analysis

Cremonese's away form has been particularly concerning, collecting just nine points from 14 road trips...

Cremonese's away form has been particularly concerning, collecting just nine points from 14 road trips with three wins and eight defeats. Their recent 2-0 loss to AC Milan highlighted ongoing defensive issues, having conceded 38 goals this season at 1.41 per game. However, they've shown character in draws against Genoa and Hellas Verona, suggesting they can compete in relegation scraps. The Grigiorossi's 0.78 goals per game reflects their attacking struggles, with key players M. Collocolo and F. Baschirotto missing through injury. F. Moumbagna remains questionable with a muscle problem, further limiting their options in this crucial encounter.

shieldLecce1

  • F. Marchwiński profile photo

    F. Marchwiński

    Jumpers knee
    Out
F. MarchwińskiLecce

shieldCremonese3

  • F. Moumbagna profile photo

    F. Moumbagna

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Collocolo profile photo

    M. Collocolo

    Injury
    Out
  • F. Baschirotto profile photo

    F. Baschirotto

    Muscle Injury
    Out
F. MoumbagnaCremonese
M. CollocoloCremonese
F. BaschirottoCremonese

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.