Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Juventus65%vs 65%
- Draw20%vs 23%-3%
- Lazio15%vs 13%+2%
Analysis
Our AI model heavily weighs Juventus' superior home form and Lazio's poor away record in this probability analysis. The hosts' seven-match unbeaten run at the Allianz Stadium contrasts sharply with Lazio's struggles on the road. Despite missing Vlahovic, Juventus have adapted well tactically, while Lazio's defensive frailties remain exposed. The 65% home win probability reflects these underlying performance metrics and historical venue advantage.
















