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Inter
Inter1st in Serie A (22-3-5)
VS
AS Roma
AS Roma6th in Serie A (17-3-10)

Inter vs AS Roma

Sunday, Apr 5, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Final
Inter
5–2
AS Roma

Inter won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Inter vs AS Roma prediction highlights a compelling Serie A preview featuring the league leaders against sixth-placed Roma at San Siro. Inter's dominance this season is undeniable, sitting 15 points clear of Roma with superior attacking output averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Roma's 1.33. The Nerazzurri boast an exceptional home record with eleven wins from fifteen matches, while Roma's away form shows vulnerability with seven losses in fifteen trips. Key injuries significantly impact Roma's chances, with star striker Artem Dovbyk and creative force Paulo Dybala both sidelined. Inter's recent form includes back-to-back draws but their overall quality remains evident. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Inter at 57.5% probability, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. Expert picks suggest backing the home side, while football tips today point toward Inter's attacking prowess creating multiple scoring opportunities. Free tips indicate Roma's defensive frailties could be exposed against Inter's potent forward line led by Lautaro Martinez.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Inter22-3-573.3%
AS Roma17-3-1056.7%
Goals Scored
Inter66
AS Roma40
Goals Conceded
Inter24
AS Roma23
Goal Difference
Inter+42
AS Roma+17

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Inter vs AS Roma - Match Analysis

Why is Inter so strongly favored against AS Roma?

Inter's dominance stems from their 15-point league advantage, superior home record (11 wins from 15), and significantly better attacking output (2.2 vs 1.33 goals per game). Roma's injury crisis compounds their disadvantage, with key players Dovbyk and Dybala both sidelined. The bookmaker consensus of 57.5% reflects these overwhelming statistical advantages favoring the Nerazzurri.

How do Roma's injuries affect their chances at San Siro?

Roma's injury list devastates their attacking threat, losing top scorer Artem Dovbyk and creative maestro Paulo Dybala. These absences remove their primary goal threat and playmaking hub, forcing tactical adjustments that play into Inter's hands. Additional injuries to Ferguson and Koné further limit their options, making it extremely difficult to match Inter's firepower in this crucial encounter.

What alternative bets should I consider for Inter vs Roma?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking tendencies and their 3.53 combined goals per game average. Draw No Bet: Inter provides safer coverage while maintaining good returns. Asian Handicap markets like Inter -1 could offer enhanced value for confident backers. Both Teams to Score No also merits consideration given Roma's depleted attack and Inter's defensive solidity at home.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Inter (8)AS Roma (2)
Oct 18, 25
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Apr 27, 25
(H)Inter0 - 1AS Roma(A)
A
Oct 20, 24
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Feb 10, 24
(H)AS Roma2 - 4Inter(A)
A
Oct 29, 23
(H)Inter1 - 0AS Roma(A)
H
May 6, 23
(H)AS Roma0 - 2Inter(A)
A
Oct 1, 22
(H)Inter1 - 2AS Roma(A)
A
Apr 23, 22
(H)Inter3 - 1AS Roma(A)
H
Feb 8, 22
(H)Inter2 - 0AS Roma(A)
H
Dec 4, 21
(H)AS Roma0 - 3Inter(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides show Inter's growing dominance in this fixture. The last two meetings both ended 1-0 to...

Recent encounters between these sides show Inter's growing dominance in this fixture. The last two meetings both ended 1-0 to Inter, including their victory at the Stadio Olimpico earlier this season. Over the past two years, Inter has won three of four encounters, with Roma managing just one victory at San Siro in April 2025. The pattern suggests Inter has found the tactical formula to neutralize Roma's threats while capitalizing on their own attacking superiority.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Inter

9 of 15 in Serie A

D
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

6.3/10

Inter Form Analysis

Trending

Inter enters this match as Serie A leaders with 69 points from 30 games, though...

Inter enters this match as Serie A leaders with 69 points from 30 games, though their recent form shows slight vulnerability with consecutive draws against Fiorentina and Atalanta. Their home fortress remains largely intact with eleven wins from fifteen matches at San Siro, scoring 39 goals while conceding just 13. The attacking trio continues to fire with 2.2 goals per game, while their defensive solidity is evidenced by fifteen clean sheets this season. Minor injury concerns include Yann Bisseck's thigh problem and Carlos Augusto's suspension, but their squad depth should handle these absences. Lautaro Martinez remains the key attacking threat, supported by excellent creativity from midfield. Their 13-day rest period eliminates any fatigue concerns ahead of this crucial encounter.

AS Roma

10 of 15 in Serie A

W
L
L
D
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W
L

Form Rating

5/10

AS Roma Form Analysis

Analysis

Roma sits sixth with 54 points, fifteen behind Inter, highlighting the significant gap between these...

Roma sits sixth with 54 points, fifteen behind Inter, highlighting the significant gap between these teams. Their recent away form is concerning with seven losses in fifteen road trips, though they showed character beating Lecce 1-0 in their last league outing. The Giallorossi average just 1.33 goals per game, significantly lower than Inter's output, while their defensive record of 0.77 goals conceded per game is respectable. Critical injuries severely hamper their chances, with top scorer Artem Dovbyk (groin) and playmaker Paulo Dybala (knee) both ruled out. Additional absences include Evan Ferguson and Manu Koné, depleting their attacking options. Lorenzo Pellegrini must step up as the creative focal point, while their defensive structure will face a stern test against Inter's fluid attacking movement.

shieldInter2

  • Carlos Augusto profile photo

    Carlos Augusto

    Yellow Cards
    Out
  • Y. Bisseck profile photo

    Y. Bisseck

    Thigh Injury
    Out
Carlos AugustoInter
Y. BisseckInter

shieldAS Roma5

  • P. Dybala profile photo

    P. Dybala

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Dovbyk profile photo

    A. Dovbyk

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Kone profile photo

    M. Kone

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • E. Ferguson profile photo

    E. Ferguson

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • Wesley Franca profile photo

    Wesley Franca

    Muscle Injury
    Out
P. DybalaAS Roma
A. DovbykAS Roma
M. KoneAS Roma
E. FergusonAS Roma
Wesley FrancaAS Roma

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.