· --:--
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Udinese won
The Genoa vs Udinese prediction centers on two mid-table Serie A teams separated by just two positions and minimal quality difference. Genoa (13th, 33 points) hosts Udinese (11th, 36 points) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A preview. Both teams have struggled for consistency this season, with Genoa managing eight wins from 29 matches while Udinese has secured ten victories. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors the home side at 43.5% probability, reflecting Genoa's recent upturn in form. Genoa has shown resilience at home lately, winning two of their last three matches at Luigi Ferraris including impressive victories over Roma and Torino. Their attacking output of 1.24 goals per game is marginally superior to Udinese's 1.14, though both teams have defensive vulnerabilities. Udinese arrives with significant injury concerns, missing key players including striker Adam Buksa and defender Nicolo Bertola. The visitors have been inconsistent away from home, managing just five wins in 14 road matches. Recent head-to-head encounters favor Genoa, who won the reverse fixture 2-1 in December. With both teams averaging a combined draw rate of 25.9% and similar goal-scoring patterns, this represents solid football tips today for backing the home advantage in a closely matched encounter.
Moderate
Weak
Even
High
2025/2026 Season
Genoa vs Udinese - Match Analysis
Genoa's recent home form has been exceptional, winning impressive matches against Roma and Torino at Luigi Ferraris. The home advantage factor is crucial in Serie A, typically adding 7% to win probability. Additionally, Udinese arrives with a depleted squad missing key players including striker Adam Buksa, while their away record of just five wins from 14 matches highlights their struggles on the road. The bookmaker consensus reflects these tactical and personnel advantages favoring the home side.
The Under 2.5 Goals market offers excellent value at around 65% confidence, as both teams average just 2.38 combined goals per game and recent encounters have been low-scoring affairs. Draw No Bet: Genoa at 70% confidence removes the draw risk while capitalizing on home advantage. Both Teams to Score: No also presents value given Udinese's attacking limitations without Buksa and Genoa's improved defensive solidity in recent home matches.
Udinese's injury crisis is severely damaging their chances, with four key players ruled out including striker Adam Buksa who provides their main goal threat. Missing defender Nicolo Bertola and full-backs Zanoli and Zemura limits their tactical flexibility significantly. These absences compound their existing away form problems, where they've managed just five wins from 14 matches. The depleted squad faces a Genoa side that has found confidence and rhythm at home, making Udinese's task considerably more difficult.
Always gamble responsibly. If you need help, visit BeGambleAware.org
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters between these sides have been competitive, with Genoa holding a slight edge in the last two years. The...
Recent encounters between these sides have been competitive, with Genoa holding a slight edge in the last two years. The reverse fixture in December 2025 saw Genoa triumph 2-1 away at Udinese, continuing their recent dominance in this matchup. Prior to that, Genoa secured a 1-0 home victory in April 2025, demonstrating their ability to get results against the Friulani. The historical pattern shows Genoa has won three of the last five meetings, with two draws completing the record. Goals have been relatively scarce in recent encounters, with most matches producing fewer than three total goals.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
15 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.7/10
Genoa has shown encouraging signs of improvement in recent weeks, winning three of their last...
Genoa has shown encouraging signs of improvement in recent weeks, winning three of their last five matches across all competitions. Their home form at Luigi Ferraris has been particularly impressive, with notable victories over Roma (2-1) and a dominant 3-0 triumph against Torino. The Rossoblu have found their scoring touch lately, netting seven goals in their last three home matches while maintaining defensive solidity. Key midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi remains questionable with an injury concern, but his potential absence shouldn't significantly impact their tactical setup. Genoa's attacking approach under their current system has yielded 1.24 goals per game, with their home record of five wins from 15 matches showing they can be competitive when playing in familiar surroundings. The team's recent confidence boost from beating relegation-threatened opponents suggests they're finding their rhythm at a crucial stage of the season.
15 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.3/10
Udinese's away form has been a significant concern this season, managing just five wins from...
Udinese's away form has been a significant concern this season, managing just five wins from 14 road matches while conceding 1.45 goals per game overall. The Friulani arrive at Luigi Ferraris with mounting injury problems, missing striker Adam Buksa (calf), defender Nicolo Bertola (ankle), Alessandro Zanoli (knee), and Jordan Zemura (muscle). These absences severely limit their tactical options and attacking threat. Their recent form shows inconsistency, with a disappointing home defeat to Juventus (0-1) highlighting their struggles against quality opposition. Udinese's away record of five wins, two draws, and seven losses demonstrates their difficulty in securing points on the road. The team's attacking output of 1.14 goals per game ranks among the lower tier in Serie A, while their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed repeatedly. With key players sidelined and a poor away record, Udinese faces an uphill battle to secure a positive result in Genoa.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
