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Genoa
Genoa14th in Serie A (8-9-14)
VS
Sassuolo
Sassuolo10th in Serie A (12-6-13)

Genoa vs Sassuolo

Sunday, Apr 12, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Final
Genoa
2–1
Sassuolo

Genoa won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Genoa vs Sassuolo prediction centers on a closely contested Serie A preview where both teams occupy mid-table positions with contrasting recent trajectories. Genoa sits 14th with 33 points, struggling with inconsistent home form that shows five wins from 16 matches at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Sassuolo, positioned 10th with 42 points, brings superior away credentials with five wins from 15 road games. The bookmaker consensus favors Genoa at 43.7% probability, though the narrow 9-point gap suggests a competitive encounter. Sassuolo's recent victory over Cagliari contrasts sharply with Genoa's defeat to Juventus, highlighting their divergent momentum. Key injuries affect both squads, with Genoa missing M. Cornet and B. Norton-Cuffy, while Sassuolo has D. Boloca questionable. Our expert picks lean toward the away side based on superior form and tactical discipline. These football tips today emphasize Sassuolo's ability to capitalize on Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities, making this free tips selection a calculated risk worth considering.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Genoa8-9-1425.8%
Sassuolo12-6-1338.7%
Goals Scored
Genoa36
Sassuolo38
Goals Conceded
Genoa44
Sassuolo41
Goal Difference
Genoa-8
Sassuolo-3

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Genoa vs Sassuolo - Match Analysis

Why might Sassuolo struggle despite their superior league position?

Sassuolo's away form shows inconsistency with only five wins from 15 road matches, and key midfielder D. Boloca's questionable fitness could disrupt their tactical balance. Genoa's recent home victories over Roma and Torino demonstrate they can raise their performance level against quality opposition. The pressure of being favorites might also affect Sassuolo's natural counter-attacking game plan that has served them well this season.

What alternative bets should I consider for Genoa vs Sassuolo?

Draw No Bet backing Sassuolo offers excellent value at approximately 65% confidence, combining their win probability with draw insurance. Under 2.5 goals appeals at 60% confidence given both teams' modest scoring rates and defensive improvements. Both teams to score 'No' provides another angle, considering Genoa's struggles to find the net consistently at home this season.

How does recent form affect this prediction?

Sassuolo's 2-1 victory over Cagliari showcased their resilience and attacking threat, while Genoa's 2-0 defeat to Juventus highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities against organized opposition. The momentum clearly favors the visitors, who have shown greater consistency in their recent performances. Genoa's home form includes impressive wins but also concerning defeats, creating uncertainty about which version will appear against Sassuolo.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Genoa (4)Draws (3)Sassuolo (3)
Nov 3, 25
(H)Sassuolo1 - 2Genoa(A)
A
May 12, 24
(H)Genoa2 - 1Sassuolo(A)
H
Dec 22, 23
(H)Sassuolo1 - 2Genoa(A)
A
Jan 6, 22
(H)Sassuolo1 - 1Genoa(A)
D
Oct 17, 21
(H)Genoa2 - 2Sassuolo(A)
D
May 9, 21
(H)Genoa1 - 2Sassuolo(A)
A
Jan 6, 21
(H)Sassuolo2 - 1Genoa(A)
H
Jul 29, 20
(H)Sassuolo5 - 0Genoa(A)
H
Jan 5, 20
(H)Genoa2 - 1Sassuolo(A)
H
Feb 3, 19
(H)Genoa1 - 1Sassuolo(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters from the last two years show Genoa holding a slight edge with two wins from three meetings....

Recent head-to-head encounters from the last two years show Genoa holding a slight edge with two wins from three meetings. The reverse fixture this season saw Genoa triumph 2-1 away at Sassuolo's MAPEI Stadium, demonstrating their ability to perform in this matchup. However, the 2024 encounter at Stadio Luigi Ferraris ended 2-1 in Genoa's favor, suggesting home advantage has been crucial. These meetings typically produce goals and competitive margins, with no team establishing clear dominance over the other.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Genoa

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
W
L
W
D
L
L
W
D
W
D
D
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Genoa Form Analysis

Trending

Genoa's home form presents significant concerns with just five wins from 16 matches at Stadio...

Genoa's home form presents significant concerns with just five wins from 16 matches at Stadio Luigi Ferraris this season. Their recent sequence includes a promising 2-1 victory over Roma and a commanding 3-0 win against Torino, but these positives are overshadowed by defeats to quality opposition like Juventus and Inter. The Rossoblu average 1.16 goals scored per game while conceding 1.42, indicating defensive frailties that better teams exploit. Missing winger M. Cornet and defender B. Norton-Cuffy through thigh injuries weakens their tactical options. Midfielder J. Onana's absence further limits their creativity in the final third, making goal creation challenging against organized defenses.

Sassuolo

15 of 15 in Serie A

W
D
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
D
D

Form Rating

5/10

Sassuolo Form Analysis

Analysis

Sassuolo arrives with improved momentum following their 2-1 home victory over Cagliari, showcasing resilience after...

Sassuolo arrives with improved momentum following their 2-1 home victory over Cagliari, showcasing resilience after falling behind early. Their away record of five wins from 15 matches demonstrates competent road form, particularly impressive given their mid-table status. The Neroverdi score 1.23 goals per game while conceding 1.32, marginally better than their hosts in both metrics. Recent performances include draws with Juventus and defeats to Bologna, indicating they compete well against similar-level opposition. D. Boloca's questionable status due to muscle injury could impact their midfield stability, while I. Kone's fitness concerns add uncertainty. However, their tactical organization under pressure situations gives them confidence for this away assignment.

shieldGenoa3

  • M. Cornet profile photo

    M. Cornet

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • J. Onana profile photo

    J. Onana

    Injury
    Out
  • B. Norton-Cuffy profile photo

    B. Norton-Cuffy

    Thigh Injury
    Out
M. CornetGenoa
J. OnanaGenoa
B. Norton-CuffyGenoa

shieldSassuolo4

  • F. Cande profile photo

    F. Cande

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • D. Boloca profile photo

    D. Boloca

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • I. Kone profile photo

    I. Kone

    Injury
    Questionable
  • E. Pieragnolo profile photo

    E. Pieragnolo

    Knee Injury
    Out
F. CandeSassuolo
D. BolocaSassuolo
I. KoneSassuolo
E. PieragnoloSassuolo

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.