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Genoa
Genoa14th in Serie A (5-8-10)
VS
Napoli
Napoli3rd in Serie A (14-4-5)

Genoa vs Napoli

Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Final
Genoa
2–3
Napoli

Napoli won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Genoa vs Napoli prediction sees the visitors as strong favorites in this Serie A preview. Napoli sits third with 46 points, 23 points ahead of 14th-placed Genoa who are dangerously close to relegation. The Partenopei have won four of their last five matches, including victories over Fiorentina and Sassuolo, while Genoa's inconsistent form shows just two wins in their last eight games. Napoli's superior attacking quality, with 33 goals scored compared to Genoa's 27, gives them a clear edge. However, significant injury concerns for the visitors include David Neres, Kevin De Bruyne, and Giovanni Di Lorenzo all ruled out. Genoa will look to exploit home advantage at the Luigi Ferraris, where they've shown more resilience this season. Our expert picks favor Napoli's class to shine through despite the injury setbacks, making this one of today's football tips with strong value.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Genoa (1)Draws (3)Napoli (6)
Oct 5, 25
(H)Napoli2 - 1Genoa(A)
H
May 11, 25
(H)Napoli2 - 2Genoa(A)
D
Dec 21, 24
(H)Genoa1 - 2Napoli(A)
A
Feb 17, 24
(H)Napoli1 - 1Genoa(A)
D
Sep 16, 23
(H)Genoa2 - 2Napoli(A)
D
May 15, 22
(H)Napoli3 - 0Genoa(A)
H
Aug 29, 21
(H)Genoa1 - 2Napoli(A)
A
Feb 6, 21
(H)Genoa2 - 1Napoli(A)
H
Sep 27, 20
(H)Napoli6 - 0Genoa(A)
H
Jul 8, 20
(H)Genoa1 - 2Napoli(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Napoli significantly. In their last meeting in October 2025, Napoli won 2-1 at home with Genoa...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Napoli significantly. In their last meeting in October 2025, Napoli won 2-1 at home with Genoa taking an early lead before the hosts turned it around. The previous season saw mixed results with a 2-2 draw at Napoli and Napoli winning 2-1 away at Genoa. Napoli has dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last ten encounters with three draws and just one Genoa victory.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Genoa

14 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
D
W
D
D
L
L
L
W
L
W
D
D
W

Form Rating

5/10

Genoa Form Analysis

Trending

Genoa's recent form has been erratic with two wins in their last eight Serie A...

Genoa's recent form has been erratic with two wins in their last eight Serie A matches. They secured a crucial 3-2 home victory over Bologna and beat Cagliari 3-0, showing they can find the net when confidence is high. However, defeats to Lazio (3-2) and Roma (3-1) highlight defensive vulnerabilities that have plagued them all season. At home, they've been more competitive, drawing with AC Milan and Pisa while beating Verona. Goalkeeper Benjamin Siegrist faces fitness concerns with a finger injury, while Tommy Baldanzi remains questionable. Andrea Pinamonti has been their key attacking threat this campaign.

Napoli

10 of 15 in Serie A

W
L
L
D
W
D
D
D
W
W
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

Napoli Form Analysis

Analysis

Napoli enters this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five league games...

Napoli enters this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five league games including impressive victories over Fiorentina (2-1) and Sassuolo (1-0). Their only recent setback was a heavy 3-0 defeat to Juventus, but they bounced back immediately. The team has been clinical in attack and more solid defensively under their current system. However, they face a significant injury crisis with David Neres, Kevin De Bruyne, and captain Giovanni Di Lorenzo all ruled out. Frank Anguissa and Matteo Politano are also fitness doubts. Despite these absences, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Victor Osimhen remain available to lead their attack.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Genoa5-8-1021.7%
Napoli14-4-560.9%
Goals Scored
Genoa27
Napoli33
Goals Conceded
Genoa34
Napoli21

shieldGenoa2

  • B. Siegrist profile photo

    B. Siegrist

    Finger Injury
    Questionable
  • T. Baldanzi profile photo

    T. Baldanzi

    Injury
    Questionable
B. SiegristGenoa
T. BaldanziGenoa

shieldNapoli8

  • M. Politano profile photo

    M. Politano

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • David Neres profile photo

    David Neres

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • K. De Bruyne profile photo

    K. De Bruyne

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • F. Anguissa profile photo

    F. Anguissa

    Thigh Injury
    Questionable
  • G. Di Lorenzo profile photo

    G. Di Lorenzo

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. PolitanoNapoli
David NeresNapoli
K. De BruyneNapoli
F. AnguissaNapoli
G. Di LorenzoNapoli
V. Milinkovic-SavicNapoli
P. MazzocchiNapoli
B. GilmourNapoli

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Genoa-7
Napoli+12

Genoa vs Napoli - Match Analysis

Why is Napoli so strongly favored against Genoa?

Napoli sits 23 points ahead of Genoa in the Serie A table and has won four of their last five matches. The quality gap is enormous - Napoli are fighting for Champions League qualification while Genoa battle relegation. Despite injury concerns, Napoli's squad depth and superior attacking options make them overwhelming favorites at the Luigi Ferraris.

How do Napoli's injury problems affect this prediction?

Napoli miss key players including David Neres, Kevin De Bruyne, and captain Giovanni Di Lorenzo. However, their squad quality remains far superior to Genoa's. Players like Kvaratskhelia and Osimhen are still available, and Napoli have shown they can win without their full-strength team. The injury impact is factored into the 65% win probability.

What alternative bets should I consider for Genoa vs Napoli?

The 'Napoli -1 Asian Handicap' offers excellent value at around 60% confidence. This market suits the quality gap perfectly - Napoli should win comfortably against relegation-threatened Genoa. Their recent away form and Genoa's defensive struggles make covering a one-goal handicap very achievable while providing better odds than the straight win.

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