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Stadio Luigi Ferraris
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AI Predicted Winner
Draw
44%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Genoa | Draw✦ AI Pick | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Marathonbet | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Genoa host Fiorentina at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a Serie A clash between two of the league's most out-of-form sides, both sitting deep in the relegation mire. This Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction leans toward the visitors, but neither team has shown much to inspire confidence this season.
Genoa are rock bottom on points per game among bottom teams, winless in five with just one draw, and have shipped 10 goals while scoring only three. Their home form offers little comfort either, with one win in three at Ferraris this term.
Fiorentina arrive slightly better off, having picked up a win and a draw in their last two league outings, including a point against Napoli. Their away record is actually their strongest asset, with one win from two on the road, though a conceded rate of over two goals per game remains a major concern.
Head-to-head history strongly favors the visitors, with Fiorentina unbeaten in several recent meetings. Given Genoa's dreadful defensive record and Fiorentina's slightly more encouraging recent form, the away side should edge this, though a draw remains a live outcome given both teams' struggles to find consistency. Expect a tight, low-quality affair with goals at both ends more plausible than a clean sheet for either side.
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2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The last two meetings between these sides have both ended level — a 2-2 draw in Genoa in November 2025...
The last two meetings between these sides have both ended level — a 2-2 draw in Genoa in November 2025 and a goalless draw in Florence in May 2026. Looking slightly further back, Fiorentina have dominated this fixture historically, winning five of the last eight meetings with Genoa failing to beat them since 2021. The draw-heavy recent trend suggests this one could again be tightly contested, despite Fiorentina's overall edge in the rivalry.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
7 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
3.3/10
Genoa are mired in a genuine relegation crisis, winless in five matches across all competitions...
Genoa are mired in a genuine relegation crisis, winless in five matches across all competitions with four defeats and a single draw. They've scored just three goals in that span while conceding ten, including a damaging 1-4 loss to Como and narrow defeats to Lazio and Napoli. Their home form hasn't offered sanctuary either, with just one win from three at Ferraris. Injuries to Havel and Venturino compound the issues, while Vasquez's suspension following a red card further thins their options. Genoa simply aren't creating or defending well enough right now, and turning that around against a hungrier Fiorentina side looks a tough ask.
6 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
5.7/10
Fiorentina have shown slightly more encouraging signs recently, picking up a win over Venezia and...
Fiorentina have shown slightly more encouraging signs recently, picking up a win over Venezia and a draw against Napoli in their last two Serie A outings. Still, three defeats in five games highlight ongoing defensive fragility, with 12 goals conceded already this season. Their away form is a relative bright spot, winning one of two on the road with goals coming at both ends. Injuries to Parisi and Sottil are notable absences, but Fiorentina's attacking returns — six goals in five games — give them more firepower than their hosts. Consistency remains their biggest issue heading into this fixture.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Genoa vs Fiorentina - Match Analysis
Fiorentina have shown marginally better recent form, picking up a win and draw in their last two matches compared to Genoa's winless run of five. Fiorentina also boast a stronger road record and have dominated this fixture historically. Genoa's dreadful defense, conceding two goals per game, and ongoing injury and suspension issues further tilt the market firmly toward the away side.
Both Teams to Score stands out given neither side has kept a clean sheet all season, making it a strong value bet alongside the main prediction. Over 2.5 Goals is another sensible alternative market considering the combined attacking and defensive frailties on show. For safety, Draw No Bet: Fiorentina hedges against a possible stalemate while still backing the better side.
Genoa sit 19th and are already deep in relegation trouble, making this a must-not-lose game to avoid further separation from safety. Fiorentina, despite sitting just two places higher at 17th, are also fighting to escape the bottom of the table and need positive results to kickstart their season. Both teams are under real pressure to arrest their slides.
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