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Fiorentina
Fiorentina16th in Serie A (5-9-13)
VS
Parma
Parma12th in Serie A (8-9-10)

Fiorentina vs Parma

Sunday, Mar 8, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Final
Fiorentina
0–0
Parma

Draw

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Fiorentina vs Parma prediction sees two struggling Serie A sides meet at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a crucial Serie A preview. Fiorentina sits 16th with just 24 points from 27 games, managing only five wins and averaging 0.89 points per game. Their home form has been particularly concerning with three wins in 13 matches. Parma, positioned 12th with 33 points, has shown marginally better consistency with 1.22 points per game despite their own attacking struggles. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Fiorentina at 54% despite their poor form, suggesting value in the home side. Both teams average under one goal per game, with their combined 1.85 goals per match indicating a low-scoring affair. Key injuries include T. Lamptey for Fiorentina and P. Almqvist for Parma. With both sides drawing 33% of matches this season, expert picks lean toward the home advantage despite Fiorentina's recent struggles. These free tips suggest backing the hosts in what promises to be a tight encounter between two teams desperate for points.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Fiorentina (2)Draws (6)Parma (2)
Dec 27, 25
(H)Parma1 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H
Apr 13, 25
(H)Fiorentina0 - 0Parma(A)
D
Aug 17, 24
(H)Parma1 - 1Fiorentina(A)
D
Dec 6, 23
(H)Fiorentina2 - 2Parma(A)
H
Jul 20, 23
(H)Fiorentina1 - 1Parma(A)
D
Mar 7, 21
(H)Fiorentina3 - 3Parma(A)
D
Nov 7, 20
(H)Parma0 - 0Fiorentina(A)
D
Jul 5, 20
(H)Parma1 - 2Fiorentina(A)
A
Nov 3, 19
(H)Fiorentina1 - 1Parma(A)
D
May 19, 19
(H)Parma1 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Parma, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 in December 2025 at home. The 2024-25 season meetings...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Parma, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 in December 2025 at home. The 2024-25 season meetings produced two draws (0-0 at Fiorentina, 1-1 at Parma), highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture. Parma has proven resilient against Fiorentina recently, avoiding defeat in their last three Serie A meetings. The low-scoring pattern continues with just two goals across their last two league encounters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Fiorentina

12 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
W
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
W

Form Rating

5/10

Fiorentina Form Analysis

Trending

Fiorentina's form has been deeply concerning, managing just one win in their last ten Serie...

Fiorentina's form has been deeply concerning, managing just one win in their last ten Serie A matches. They've drawn frequently but lack the cutting edge to convert draws into victories. At home, their record of three wins in 13 matches represents a significant weakness. Recent performances show defensive frailties, conceding 1.56 goals per game while scoring only 1.11. The 3-0 defeat at Udinese highlighted their away struggles, but home form remains equally problematic. T. Lamptey's knee injury removes a key defensive option. Moise Kean has been their primary goal threat, but service from midfield has been inconsistent throughout their disappointing campaign.

Parma

14 of 15 in Serie A

D
W
W
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
D
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Parma Form Analysis

Analysis

Parma has shown greater resilience recently, earning valuable points against stronger opposition. Their 1-0 victory...

Parma has shown greater resilience recently, earning valuable points against stronger opposition. Their 1-0 victory over AC Milan demonstrated their ability to frustrate top teams through organized defending. Away form has been surprisingly solid with five wins in 13 matches, better than their home record. They've managed to keep nine clean sheets this season, indicating defensive solidity despite scoring just 0.74 goals per game. P. Almqvist's thigh injury affects their attacking options, but they've adapted well to personnel changes. Recent draws against Cagliari and victories over Milan show they can compete effectively, particularly when expectations are low.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Fiorentina5-9-1318.5%
Parma8-9-1029.6%
Goals Scored
Fiorentina30
Parma20
Goals Conceded
Fiorentina42
Parma32

shieldFiorentina4

  • M. Solomon profile photo

    M. Solomon

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • L. Lezzerini profile photo

    L. Lezzerini

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • Dodo profile photo

    Dodo

    Yellow Cards
    Questionable
  • T. Lamptey profile photo

    T. Lamptey

    Knee Injury
    Out
M. SolomonFiorentina
L. LezzeriniFiorentina
DodoFiorentina
T. LampteyFiorentina

shieldParma3

  • P. Almqvist profile photo

    P. Almqvist

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • A. Ndiaye profile photo

    A. Ndiaye

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Frigan profile photo

    M. Frigan

    Knee Injury
    Out
P. AlmqvistParma
A. NdiayeParma
M. FriganParma

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Fiorentina-12
Parma-12

Fiorentina vs Parma - Match Analysis

Why is Fiorentina favored despite their poor league position?

Despite sitting 16th, Fiorentina benefits from home advantage and superior attacking metrics, scoring 1.11 goals per game compared to Parma's 0.74. The bookmaker consensus at 54% reflects their underlying quality and the expectation that home form will eventually improve. Their recent struggles mask better underlying performance indicators that suggest they're underperforming their true level.

What alternative bets should I consider for Fiorentina vs Parma?

The Under 2.5 goals market offers excellent value given both teams average just 1.85 goals combined per match. Draw No Bet on Fiorentina provides insurance against their inconsistency while capitalizing on home advantage. The straight draw at 3.58 odds also represents strong value, considering both teams have drawn 33% of their matches this season.

How does the recent head-to-head record affect this prediction?

Parma won the reverse fixture 1-0 and has avoided defeat in their last three Serie A meetings with Fiorentina. However, these encounters have been extremely tight, with just two goals across the last two league meetings. The head-to-head suggests another close contest, but home advantage could prove decisive for Fiorentina in breaking this recent pattern against Parma.

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