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Fiorentina
Fiorentina16th in Serie A (6-10-13)
VS
Inter
Inter1st in Serie A (22-2-5)

Fiorentina vs Inter

Sunday, Mar 22, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Final
Fiorentina
1–1
Inter

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Fiorentina vs Inter prediction highlights a massive gulf in class between these Serie A sides. Inter sits comfortably at the summit with 68 points from 29 games, while Fiorentina languishes in 16th place with just 28 points. This Serie A preview reveals Inter's dominance with 2.24 goals per game compared to Fiorentina's meager 1.17. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors the visitors at 58.2% probability, reflecting Inter's superior form and quality. Fiorentina's home advantage offers little comfort given their poor domestic record of just three wins in 14 home matches. Inter arrives with eight days' rest and minimal injury concerns, while Fiorentina played midweek in Europe. Our expert picks align with the market assessment, identifying significant value in backing the league leaders. These football tips today emphasize Inter's clinical away form and Fiorentina's defensive frailties. Free tips suggest avoiding the home side entirely given the 15-place gap between these teams.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Fiorentina6-10-1320.7%
Inter22-2-575.9%
Goals Scored
Fiorentina34
Inter65
Goals Conceded
Fiorentina43
Inter23
Goal Difference
Fiorentina-9
Inter+42

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Inter - Match Analysis

Why is Inter so heavily favored against Fiorentina at the Franchi?

Inter's dominance stems from a massive 15-place league gap and superior quality across all positions. The visitors average 2.24 goals per game compared to Fiorentina's 1.17, while their defensive record is equally impressive. Inter's perfect away form with 11 wins from 14 trips demonstrates their ability to perform on the road. Fiorentina's home record of just three wins in 14 matches offers little comfort against the league leaders.

What alternative bets should I consider for this Serie A clash?

Inter -1 Asian Handicap offers excellent value at around 45% probability, reflecting their quality advantage over struggling Fiorentina. Over 2.5 Goals provides another attractive option given both teams' recent scoring patterns and the 3.41 combined goals per game average. Inter to win both halves appeals given their fast starts and strong finishing, while avoiding Fiorentina entirely seems the wisest approach.

How does recent form affect this prediction between these Serie A rivals?

Recent form heavily favors Inter, who have won 22 of 29 league matches compared to Fiorentina's six victories. The visitors' exceptional away record contrasts sharply with Fiorentina's poor home form. Inter's eight days of rest provides ideal preparation, while Fiorentina's midweek European commitments have stretched their thin squad. The psychological edge from recent head-to-head dominance gives Inter additional confidence heading into this fixture.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Fiorentina (2)Draws (1)Inter (7)
Oct 29, 25
(H)Inter3 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H
Feb 10, 25
(H)Inter2 - 1Fiorentina(A)
H
Feb 6, 25
(H)Fiorentina3 - 0Inter(A)
H
Jan 28, 24
(H)Fiorentina0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Sep 3, 23
(H)Inter4 - 0Fiorentina(A)
H
May 24, 23
(H)Fiorentina1 - 2Inter(A)
A
Apr 1, 23
(H)Inter0 - 1Fiorentina(A)
A
Oct 22, 22
(H)Fiorentina3 - 4Inter(A)
A
Mar 19, 22
(H)Inter1 - 1Fiorentina(A)
D
Sep 21, 21
(H)Fiorentina1 - 3Inter(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Inter, who have dominated this fixture in the last two years. The reverse fixture this season...

Recent encounters heavily favor Inter, who have dominated this fixture in the last two years. The reverse fixture this season saw Inter cruise to a 3-0 victory at San Siro, continuing their psychological edge. In their last meeting at the Franchi in February 2025, Inter again prevailed 2-1. Fiorentina's last victory over Inter came in April 2023, but that was a different era for both clubs. The pattern shows Inter's tactical superiority and mental dominance over their Tuscan opponents.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Fiorentina

10 of 15 in Serie A

W
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
W
D
L
L
L
W
D

Form Rating

5.7/10

Fiorentina Form Analysis

Trending

Fiorentina's season has been a struggle, managing just six wins from 29 league matches. Their...

Fiorentina's season has been a struggle, managing just six wins from 29 league matches. Their home form is particularly concerning with only three victories in 14 matches at the Franchi. Recent results show inconsistency - a 4-1 thrashing of Cremonese followed by a goalless draw with Parma. The Viola average 1.17 goals scored but concede 1.48 per game, highlighting both attacking impotence and defensive vulnerability. Key injuries to Taremi Lamptey and Manor Solomon further weaken their options. Their Conference League commitments have stretched the squad thin, with fatigue becoming a factor. Robin Gosens remains their most dangerous attacking threat from wide areas.

Inter

9 of 15 in Serie A

D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Inter Form Analysis

Analysis

Inter's title charge continues relentlessly with 22 wins from 29 matches, establishing them as clear...

Inter's title charge continues relentlessly with 22 wins from 29 matches, establishing them as clear favorites for the Scudetto. Their away record is exceptional - 11 wins from 14 trips with just three defeats. The Nerazzurri score 2.24 goals per game while conceding only 0.79, showcasing their tactical balance under Simone Inzaghi. Recent form shows one draw against Atalanta but otherwise consistent victories. Eight days' rest since their last match provides ideal preparation. Henrikh Mkhitaryan's thigh injury is the main concern, though their squad depth can compensate. Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram form a lethal attacking partnership that has terrorized Serie A defenses all season.

shieldFiorentina4

  • M. Solomon profile photo

    M. Solomon

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • L. Lezzerini profile photo

    L. Lezzerini

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • T. Lamptey profile photo

    T. Lamptey

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • N. Fortini profile photo

    N. Fortini

    Back Injury
    Questionable
M. SolomonFiorentina
L. LezzeriniFiorentina
T. LampteyFiorentina
N. FortiniFiorentina

shieldInter4

  • L. Martinez profile photo

    L. Martinez

    Calf Injury
    Questionable
  • H. Mkhitaryan profile photo

    H. Mkhitaryan

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • H. Calhanoglu profile photo

    H. Calhanoglu

    Groin Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Bastoni profile photo

    A. Bastoni

    Injury
    Questionable
L. MartinezInter
H. MkhitaryanInter
H. CalhanogluInter
A. BastoniInter

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.