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Cagliari
Cagliari4th in Serie A (4-0-1)
VS
Juventus
Juventus7th in Serie A (3-1-1)

Cagliari vs Juventus

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026 · --:--

Unipol Domus

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AI Confidence: 55%
Cagliari21%Draw 24%Juventus55%

AI Predicted Winner

Juventus

55%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

This Cagliari vs Juventus prediction features two teams enjoying strong starts to the Serie A season, though the table doesn't tell the full story of this matchup. Cagliari sit fourth with 12 points, winning four of their last five, while Juventus are seventh on 10 points with three wins, a draw, and a loss in that span.

Despite Cagliari's superior points-per-game and position, Juventus carry significantly more scoring power, averaging 1.6 goals per game against Cagliari's 1.0. Juventus have also found the net in every match this season, a trend that should concern a Cagliari defense that has otherwise been excellent at home.

Juventus arrive with a heavy injury list, missing several first-team players including Yildiz, Cambiaso, and Locatelli, which could blunt their attacking fluidity. Cagliari have their own absentees up front but have adapted well, grinding out low-scoring wins on the road.

Head-to-head history over the past two seasons heavily favors Juventus, who have dominated recent meetings between these sides. With bookmakers installing Juventus as clear 60% favorites and Cagliari's home record this season actually modest (one win, one loss in two games), the away side's class and recent dominance in this fixture should prove decisive. Expect a tight, cagey contest that Juventus edge via a slim margin, with goals at a premium given both teams' defensive solidity this season.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Cagliari4-0-180.0%
Juventus3-1-160.0%
Goals Scored
Cagliari5
Juventus8
Goals Conceded
Cagliari2
Juventus4
Goal Difference
Cagliari+3
Juventus+4

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Cagliari (1)Draws (2)Juventus (7)
Jan 17, 26
(H)Cagliari1 - 0Juventus(A)
H
Nov 29, 25
(H)Juventus2 - 1Cagliari(A)
H
Feb 23, 25
(H)Cagliari0 - 1Juventus(A)
A
Dec 17, 24
(H)Juventus4 - 0Cagliari(A)
H
Oct 6, 24
(H)Juventus1 - 1Cagliari(A)
D
Apr 19, 24
(H)Cagliari2 - 2Juventus(A)
D
Nov 11, 23
(H)Juventus2 - 1Cagliari(A)
H
Apr 9, 22
(H)Cagliari1 - 2Juventus(A)
A
Dec 21, 21
(H)Juventus2 - 0Cagliari(A)
H
Mar 14, 21
(H)Cagliari1 - 3Juventus(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Juventus have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings since late 2025, including a 2-1 away...

Juventus have dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings since late 2025, including a 2-1 away win in November 2025. Cagliari's only win in that span came in January 2026, a narrow 1-0 home triumph. The pattern shows Juventus traveling well to Sardinia, often grinding out tight victories or picking up draws, which supports the bookmakers' strong lean toward an away win here despite Cagliari's superior current league position.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Cagliari

9 of 15 in Serie A

W
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D
W
D
W
W
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D

Form Rating

7/10

Cagliari Form Analysis

Trending

Cagliari have been excellent, winning four of their last five matches and sitting fourth in...

Cagliari have been excellent, winning four of their last five matches and sitting fourth in Serie A with a plus-three goal difference. Their defense has been the standout feature, conceding just twice in five games and keeping three clean sheets. However, their home form this season is more modest, with one win and one loss from two matches at Unipol Domus. Injuries to several forwards, including Nzola and Felici, have thinned their attacking options, forcing a low-scoring, efficient approach. Keep an eye on their defensive solidity holding up against a more clinical Juventus side, as goals have been hard to come by in Cagliari's recent home outings.

Juventus

7 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
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L
D
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L
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D
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Form Rating

6.3/10

Juventus Form Analysis

Analysis

Juventus have won three of their last five, with a draw and a loss, and...

Juventus have won three of their last five, with a draw and a loss, and their goal-scoring rate of 1.6 per game is the division's most eye-catching number in this fixture. They've found the net in every match this season, including a 5-0 Europa League rout, showing genuine attacking depth despite missing key personnel. The injury list is substantial, with Yildiz, Cambiaso, Locatelli, and Thuram among those sidelined, which could disrupt rhythm against a well-organized Cagliari defense. Still, their recent head-to-head dominance and superior scoring output make them the team to watch, particularly if they can convert even a fraction of their first-half chances away from home.

shieldCagliari4

  • M. Nzola profile photo

    M. Nzola

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
  • M. Felici profile photo

    M. Felici

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • R. Idrissi profile photo

    R. Idrissi

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Y. Trepy profile photo

    Y. Trepy

    Injury
    Out
M. NzolaCagliari
M. FeliciCagliari
R. IdrissiCagliari
Y. TrepyCagliari

shieldJuventus9

  • K. Thuram profile photo

    K. Thuram

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Milik profile photo

    A. Milik

    Inactive
    Out
  • K. Grabara profile photo

    K. Grabara

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Boga profile photo

    J. Boga

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Locatelli profile photo

    M. Locatelli

    Knee Injury
    Out
K. ThuramJuventus
A. MilikJuventus
K. GrabaraJuventus
J. BogaJuventus
M. LocatelliJuventus
J. CabalJuventus
A. CambiasoJuventus
K. YildizJuventus
J. EkhatorJuventus

Showing 1-5 of 9 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Cagliari vs Juventus - Match Analysis

Why are Juventus favored despite Cagliari's higher league position?

Juventus hold a clear scoring advantage, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Cagliari's 1.0, and have dominated recent head-to-head meetings between these sides. While Cagliari's points-per-game and position are technically better this season, bookmakers weigh Juventus's attacking quality and historical success in this specific fixture more heavily, resulting in a 60.3% implied win probability for the visitors.

What alternative bets should I consider for Cagliari vs Juventus?

Draw No Bet: Juventus is a strong alternative, removing draw risk from a fixture where these teams have rarely shared points recently. Over 2.5 Goals is also worth considering given the combined goals per game sits at 2.6 this season. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than the straight moneyline given Juventus's current injury concerns.

How do Juventus's injuries affect this prediction?

Juventus are missing several key contributors, including Yildiz, Cambiaso, Locatelli, and Thuram, which could disrupt their attacking rhythm and squad depth. Despite this, their underlying scoring numbers and recent dominance in this head-to-head fixture still support them as favorites, though the absences add uncertainty and slightly reduce confidence compared to a fully fit Juventus squad.

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