AI vs Market Probabilities

• Bologna
  55%vs 61%-6%
• Draw
  25%vs 23%+2%
• Parma
  20%vs 16%+4%

Analysis

Our AI model heavily favors Bologna based on superior league position, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. Probability analysis shows Bologna's attacking quality against Parma's defensive weaknesses as the key factor. Bologna's 30 points versus Parma's 23 reflects the quality gap between these sides. Home advantage at the Dall'Ara, combined with Parma's poor away record, strengthens Bologna's position significantly. The model accounts for Bologna's recent inconsistency but weighs their overall superiority more heavily.

Value Bets Comparison Table

Recommendations

Bologna to win offers solid value bets given their clear advantages in this matchup. The expected value calculation favors backing the hosts, who should capitalize on home advantage and superior squad quality. Smart bet recommendations include Bologna moneyline as the primary selection. Their attacking potential against Parma's leaky defense suggests goals are likely. Bologna vs Parma betting tips point to the hosts' dominance in recent meetings as a key indicator. Risk assessment remains moderate due to Bologna's recent inconsistency.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• Bologna

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Parma

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Alternative markets offer excellent opportunities for this fixture. Over 2.5 Goals presents strong value given both teams' defensive issues and Bologna's attacking capabilities. Draw No Bet: Bologna provides safer coverage while maintaining upside potential. These alternative bets suit the match dynamics perfectly, offering hedge bet strategies for cautious punters seeking reduced risk exposure.