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Bologna
Bologna8th in Serie A (16-7-14)
VS
Inter
Inter1st in Serie A (27-5-5)

Bologna vs Inter

Saturday, May 23, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Final
Bologna
3–3
Inter

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Inter Milan head to Bologna on May 23rd carrying significant momentum in what promises to be a compelling Serie A encounter. The Nerazzurri's superior league position, sitting 31 points ahead of their hosts, reflects the substantial quality gap between these sides throughout the campaign.

The statistical evidence strongly favors the visitors, with Inter averaging 2.32 points per game compared to Bologna's 1.49. This disparity extends to their attacking output, where Inter's 2.32 goals per game dwarfs Bologna's 1.24, highlighting the clinical edge that has defined their season.

Bologna's recent head-to-head success against Inter provides some optimism for the home faithful, and their familiar surroundings at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara could prove valuable. However, Inter's exceptional away form this season suggests they're well-equipped to handle hostile environments and maintain their high standards on the road.

The favorable weather conditions of 27°C and sunshine should create an ideal playing surface for both teams' technical players. With bookmakers aligning closely with analytical expectations at around 43% for an Inter victory, the value appears to lie with the away side's proven consistency and superior squad depth to secure all three points in what could be a tactically intriguing contest.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Bologna (5)Draws (2)Inter (3)
Jan 4, 26
(H)Inter3 - 1Bologna(A)
H
Dec 19, 25
(H)Bologna1 - 1Inter(A)
H
Apr 20, 25
(H)Bologna1 - 0Inter(A)
H
Jan 15, 25
(H)Inter2 - 2Bologna(A)
D
Mar 9, 24
(H)Bologna0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Dec 20, 23
(H)Inter1 - 2Bologna(A)
A
Oct 7, 23
(H)Inter2 - 2Bologna(A)
D
Feb 26, 23
(H)Bologna1 - 0Inter(A)
H
Nov 9, 22
(H)Inter6 - 1Bologna(A)
H
Apr 27, 22
(H)Bologna2 - 1Inter(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings between these teams have been closely contested, with Bologna proving they can compete against the champions. In their...

Recent meetings between these teams have been closely contested, with Bologna proving they can compete against the champions. In their last encounter this season, Bologna stunned Inter 3-1 at San Siro in January, while they also secured a 1-0 home victory in April 2025. The teams drew 1-1 in the Super Cup in December 2025. Over the last four meetings since 2025, Bologna have won twice with two draws, showing they match up well against Inter despite the league table gap.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Bologna

11 of 15 in Serie A

W
W
D
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
D
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Bologna Form Analysis

Trending

Bologna have found their rhythm in recent weeks, winning their last two Serie A matches...

Bologna have found their rhythm in recent weeks, winning their last two Serie A matches away from home against quality opposition in Atalanta (1-0) and Napoli (3-2). This represents a significant improvement from their earlier struggles, though their home form remains concerning with just six wins from 18 matches at the Dall'Ara. They average 1.24 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game, showing a well-balanced but unspectacular approach. Defensive injuries to Casale and Vitik could weaken their backline, while Cambiaghi's muscle injury limits attacking options. Their recent away form suggests confidence is building at the right time.

Inter

11 of 15 in Serie A

D
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
D
L
D
W
L

Form Rating

7/10

Inter Form Analysis

Analysis

Inter have been utterly dominant this season with 27 wins from 37 matches, clinching the...

Inter have been utterly dominant this season with 27 wins from 37 matches, clinching the title with games to spare. They've scored 86 goals while conceding just 32, demonstrating exceptional balance across all areas. Recent form shows one draw against Verona but otherwise consistent victories, including impressive wins over Lazio (3-0) and Roma (5-2). Their away record of 13 wins from 18 matches proves they travel well. Key absences include Calhanoglu (lacking match fitness) and several players being rested, but their squad depth means quality replacements are available. Even with rotation, they possess superior technical ability throughout their ranks.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Bologna16-7-1443.2%
Inter27-5-573.0%
Goals Scored
Bologna46
Inter86
Goals Conceded
Bologna43
Inter32

shieldBologna4

  • N. Cambiaghi profile photo

    N. Cambiaghi

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • K. Bonifazi profile photo

    K. Bonifazi

    Inactive
    Out
  • N. Casale profile photo

    N. Casale

    Calf Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Vitik profile photo

    M. Vitik

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
N. CambiaghiBologna
K. BonifaziBologna
N. CasaleBologna
M. VitikBologna

shieldInter4

  • M. Akanji profile photo

    M. Akanji

    Rest
    Out
  • D. Dumfries profile photo

    D. Dumfries

    Rest
    Out
  • H. Calhanoglu profile photo

    H. Calhanoglu

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
  • M. Thuram profile photo

    M. Thuram

    Rest
    Out
M. AkanjiInter
D. DumfriesInter
H. CalhanogluInter
M. ThuramInter

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

High Value

Genoa vs Como

Fri, Sep 4, 06:45 PM

AI: Como51%
Close Match

Fiorentina vs Torino

Sat, Sep 5, 01:00 PM

AI: Fiorentina47%
Strong Pick

Inter vs Napoli

Sat, Sep 5, 04:00 PM

AI: Inter52%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Bologna+3
Inter+54

Bologna vs Inter - Match Analysis

Why is Inter favored despite potential squad rotation?

Inter's squad depth exceeds Bologna's first-choice quality, with their second-string players often superior to Bologna's starters. Their 31-point league advantage reflects genuine class differences that persist even with changes. The visitors have won 13 of 18 away matches this season, demonstrating consistency regardless of personnel. Their 2.32 goals per game average suggests attacking threat remains even with rotation, while Bologna's poor home form (6 wins from 18) provides additional confidence for the visitors.

How does Bologna's recent head-to-head success affect this prediction?

Bologna's impressive recent record against Inter (two wins, two draws in last four meetings) proves they can compete with the champions and suggests familiarity breeds competitive matches. Their 3-1 victory at San Siro in January demonstrates they possess the tactical setup to trouble Inter. However, those results came during Inter's title charge when rotation was minimal. With the championship secured, Inter may approach differently, though Bologna's confidence from previous success could still prove valuable in creating another upset.

What alternative betting markets offer the best value for this match?

Over 2.5 Goals presents the strongest alternative at around 65% confidence, supported by both teams' attacking statistics and recent high-scoring encounters. Both Teams to Score also appeals given Bologna's recent goal-scoring form and Inter's attacking prowess even with rotation. Draw No Bet on Inter removes the draw risk while maintaining decent odds, suitable for those confident in Inter's superiority but wary of Bologna's recent head-to-head success creating another stalemate.

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