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Bologna
Bologna8th in Serie A (11-6-10)
VS
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona20th in Serie A (2-9-16)

Bologna vs Hellas Verona

Sunday, Mar 8, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Final
Bologna
1–2
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Bologna vs Hellas Verona prediction strongly favors the home side in this Serie A preview. Bologna sits 8th with 39 points, while Verona languishes in 20th place with just 15 points, creating a massive 12-position gap. The bookmaker consensus reflects this disparity with 61% probability for a Bologna win. Bologna has been inconsistent but recently secured three consecutive wins, including a crucial 3-2 victory over Verona in January. Their home form shows five wins from 13 matches, while Verona's away record is dismal with just one win in 14 attempts. Verona's attacking struggles are evident with only 0.74 goals per game, while Bologna averages 1.33. Key injuries plague Verona, including suspended midfielder Al Musrati and injured defender Serdar. Bologna's European commitments add fixture congestion but they have adequate rest. These football tips today point to a comfortable home victory, making this one of the clearer expert picks in Serie A this weekend. The free tips suggest backing Bologna with confidence given the substantial quality gap.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Bologna11-6-1040.7%
Hellas Verona2-9-167.4%
Goals Scored
Bologna36
Hellas Verona20
Goals Conceded
Bologna32
Hellas Verona48
Goal Difference
Bologna+4
Hellas Verona-28

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bologna vs Hellas Verona - Match Analysis

Why is Bologna so strongly favored against Hellas Verona?

Bologna's dominance stems from a massive 12-position league gap and superior quality across all areas. They sit 8th with 39 points while Verona languishes bottom with just 15 points. Bologna averages 1.33 goals per game compared to Verona's meager 0.74, while their defensive record is significantly better. Recent head-to-head meetings show Bologna winning four of the last six encounters, including a 3-2 victory earlier this season. The bookmaker consensus of 61% probability reflects these fundamental advantages.

What alternative bets should I consider for Bologna vs Hellas Verona?

Draw No Bet on Bologna offers excellent value at around 75% probability, combining their win chance with draw protection. Over 2.5 Goals appeals given Bologna's attacking improvement and Verona's defensive struggles, with their recent meetings producing high-scoring affairs. Bologna -1 Asian Handicap provides the best hedge bet opportunity, offering enhanced odds for those expecting a comfortable home victory. These markets suit the expected match flow where Bologna should dominate but may need patience against desperate opponents.

How do injuries affect this match prediction?

Injuries heavily favor Bologna's chances with Verona suffering multiple key absences. Midfielder Al Musrati is suspended after a red card, while defender Serdar remains out with a knee injury. Additional injuries to Belghali, Bernede, and Lirola further weaken Verona's already limited squad depth. Bologna's injury concerns are minimal by comparison, with defender Miranda and left-back Lykogiannis the main absentees. This disparity in available personnel significantly increases Bologna's winning probability in an already favorable matchup.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Bologna (5)Draws (2)Hellas Verona (3)
Jan 15, 26
(H)Hellas Verona2 - 3Bologna(A)
A
Mar 9, 25
(H)Hellas Verona1 - 2Bologna(A)
A
Dec 30, 24
(H)Bologna2 - 3Hellas Verona(A)
A
Feb 23, 24
(H)Bologna2 - 0Hellas Verona(A)
H
Oct 31, 23
(H)Bologna2 - 0Hellas Verona(A)
H
Sep 18, 23
(H)Hellas Verona0 - 0Bologna(A)
D
Apr 21, 23
(H)Hellas Verona2 - 1Bologna(A)
H
Dec 22, 22
(H)Hellas Verona0 - 1Bologna(A)
A
Aug 21, 22
(H)Bologna1 - 1Hellas Verona(A)
D
Jan 21, 22
(H)Hellas Verona2 - 1Bologna(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Bologna decisively. In their last meeting this season, Bologna dominated 3-2 away at Verona in January,...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Bologna decisively. In their last meeting this season, Bologna dominated 3-2 away at Verona in January, showcasing their superiority. The previous season saw Bologna win both fixtures 2-1 away and 3-2 at home. Over the last six competitive meetings since 2022, Bologna has won four times with two draws, never losing to Verona. This pattern demonstrates Bologna's consistent edge in this matchup, particularly their ability to score freely against Verona's porous defense.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

Bologna

10 of 15 in Serie A

W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
D
L
W
D
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Bologna Form Analysis

Trending

Bologna enters with mixed recent form but positive momentum from three straight wins across all...

Bologna enters with mixed recent form but positive momentum from three straight wins across all competitions. They defeated Pisa 1-0 away, beat Brann 1-0 in Europa League, and secured a vital 1-0 home win over Udinese. Their attacking output averages 1.33 goals per game with a solid defensive record of 1.19 conceded per match. Home form has been inconsistent with five wins, two draws, and six losses from 13 matches at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Key injuries include defender Miranda and left-back Lykogiannis, but the squad depth should cope. Bologna's European involvement creates fixture congestion with Roma visiting in the Europa League next week, though five days' rest minimizes fatigue concerns for this match.

Hellas Verona

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
L
D
L
L
D
L
L
D
L
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

2.3/10

Hellas Verona Form Analysis

Analysis

Hellas Verona arrives in desperate form, sitting bottom of Serie A with relegation looming large....

Hellas Verona arrives in desperate form, sitting bottom of Serie A with relegation looming large. Their recent record shows just two wins all season with a concerning 1-2 loss to Napoli in their last outing. Away form is particularly woeful with only one victory in 14 attempts, managing just five draws alongside eight defeats. Their attacking struggles are severe, averaging merely 0.74 goals per game while conceding 1.78 per match. The injury list compounds their problems with key midfielder Al Musrati suspended after a red card and defender Serdar sidelined with a knee injury. Additional absences include Belghali, Bernede, and Lirola. With seven days' rest, fatigue isn't a factor, but the psychological pressure of fighting relegation weighs heavily on this struggling squad.

shieldBologna4

  • J. Miranda profile photo

    J. Miranda

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • C. Lykogiannis profile photo

    C. Lykogiannis

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • K. Bonifazi profile photo

    K. Bonifazi

    Inactive
    Out
  • T. Heggem profile photo

    T. Heggem

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Questionable
J. MirandaBologna
C. LykogiannisBologna
K. BonifaziBologna
T. HeggemBologna

shieldHellas Verona7

  • S. Serdar profile photo

    S. Serdar

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Bernede profile photo

    A. Bernede

    Injury
    Out
  • S. Lovric profile photo

    S. Lovric

    Inactive
    Out
  • P. Lirola profile photo

    P. Lirola

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Al Musrati profile photo

    Al Musrati

    Red Card
    Questionable
S. SerdarHellas Verona
A. BernedeHellas Verona
S. LovricHellas Verona
P. LirolaHellas Verona
Al MusratiHellas Verona
R. BelghaliHellas Verona
G. OrbanHellas Verona

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.