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New Balance Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Atalanta
58%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Atalanta✦ AI Pick | Draw | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|
Pinnacle | |||
1xBetBest Odds | |||
BetVictor | |||
| Best Odds |
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Atalanta vs Venezia prediction: Bergamo hosts a Serie A clash between two struggling sides, though the gap in table position tells the real story heading into this fixture. Atalanta sit 11th with six points, while Venezia are rock bottom on zero points, having lost all five league games so far this season.
Atalanta's own form has been shaky, with three defeats in their last five, but they still boast real quality and a home record of two wins from three. Venezia, by contrast, have shipped 13 goals in five matches and failed to find the net in three of them, with a backline hit hard by injuries and inactive players.
Atalanta's attack has misfired at times, netting just five goals in five league games, but Venezia's defensive fragility should offer openings. The home side's low away form this season is irrelevant here given they're playing at New Balance Arena, where they've already beaten Bologna and Sassuolo.
Expect Atalanta to take control from the opening whistle against a Venezia side low on confidence and short on firepower. The bookmakers' clear lean toward a home win reflects this gulf, and with Venezia yet to register a single win or draw, a comfortable Atalanta victory looks the most likely outcome, even if the scoreline stays relatively tight.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 5 head-to-head matchups
The two sides met twice in the past two years, with Atalanta hosting a goalless draw in March 2025 and...
The two sides met twice in the past two years, with Atalanta hosting a goalless draw in March 2025 and Venezia winning 2-0 on home soil in October 2024. That head-to-head split shows Venezia can trouble Atalanta away from Bergamo, but with Venezia's current form in freefall and missing several key players, recent history carries limited weight here. Atalanta's home environment and current squad depth give them a clear edge over this H2H pattern.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
5.7/10
Atalanta have won two and lost three of their last five league matches, with defeats...
Atalanta have won two and lost three of their last five league matches, with defeats to Juventus, Cagliari, and AS Roma exposing defensive frailties despite the quality in their squad. Their home form has been solid, winning two of three at New Balance Arena with eight goals scored. Injuries to Hien, Sulemana, and Kossounou have thinned their defensive options, which could be a concern against a Venezia side desperate for goals. Still, their attacking talent should prove too much for a bottom-of-the-table opponent low on confidence and consistency.
5 of 15 in Serie A
Form Rating
4.7/10
Venezia have lost all five Serie A matches this season, conceding 13 goals and scoring...
Venezia have lost all five Serie A matches this season, conceding 13 goals and scoring only four, with three games where they failed to score at all. Their home form is winless across three games, and they've shown no resistance away either, losing both road trips. A lengthy injury list including Adorante, Sverko, Basic, and several others has gutted their squad depth. With zero points from five matches, Venezia enter this fixture as heavy underdogs with little evidence of turning their season around soon.
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Atalanta vs Venezia - Match Analysis
Atalanta sit 11th with six points while Venezia are bottom of Serie A with zero points from five games. The 9-place gap, Atalanta's solid home record of two wins from three, and Venezia's leaky defense conceding 2.6 goals per game all point toward a comfortable home win. Bookmakers price Atalanta at 59.3% implied probability, reflecting this significant quality and form gap between the two sides.
Under 2.5 Goals stands out given the combined 1.8 goals per game average and both teams' inconsistent attacking output this season. Draw No Bet: Atalanta is also appealing, hedging against Atalanta's own defensive wobbles while still backing their clear superiority. Atalanta Clean Sheet is worth a look too, considering Venezia have failed to score in three of their five matches this season.
Venezia's form could not be worse, losing all five league matches and sitting on zero points with a goal difference of -9. They've failed to score in three games and conceded 13 goals total, highlighting a defense in crisis. Combined with a long injury list, this freefall in form makes it extremely difficult to back Venezia for anything beyond damage limitation in Bergamo.
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