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AS Roma
AS Roma6th in Serie A (17-3-11)
VS
Pisa
Pisa20th in Serie A (2-12-17)

AS Roma vs Pisa

Friday, Apr 10, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Olimpico

Final
AS Roma
3–0
Pisa

AS Roma won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our AS Roma vs Pisa prediction sees the Giallorossi as overwhelming favorites in this Serie A preview at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma sits 6th with 54 points while Pisa languishes in 20th with just 18 points, creating a massive 14-position gap that reflects the quality difference. The bookmaker consensus strongly backs Roma at 70.8% probability, with expert picks aligning on a comfortable home victory. Roma's superior attacking output (1.35 goals per game vs 0.74) and defensive solidity (0.9 conceded vs 1.77) highlight their dominance. Key injuries to Paulo Dybala and Artem Dovbyk may limit Roma's firepower, but Pisa's relegation form - winning just two of 31 matches - suggests they lack the quality to exploit these absences. With free tips pointing toward a routine Roma win, this represents a crucial opportunity for the hosts to maintain their Conference League qualification push against Serie A's bottom club.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
AS Roma17-3-1154.8%
Pisa2-12-176.5%
Goals Scored
AS Roma42
Pisa23
Goals Conceded
AS Roma28
Pisa55
Goal Difference
AS Roma+14
Pisa-32

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

AS Roma vs Pisa - Match Analysis

Why is AS Roma so heavily favored against Pisa?

Roma's overwhelming favoritism stems from a massive 14-position league gap and superior quality across all areas. The hosts average 1.35 goals scored per game compared to Pisa's 0.74, while defensively Roma concede just 0.9 per match versus Pisa's 1.77. Additionally, Pisa has failed to win a single away match this season, collecting just 8 points from 15 road trips, making them extremely vulnerable at the Stadio Olimpico.

How do Roma's key injuries affect this prediction?

While Paulo Dybala and Artem Dovbyk's absences certainly weaken Roma's attacking options, the quality gap remains enormous against relegation-bound Pisa. Roma's squad depth should compensate against such limited opposition, with players like Lorenzo Pellegrini and Stephan El Shaarawy capable of exploiting Pisa's defensive weaknesses. The injuries may reduce the victory margin but shouldn't threaten the overall result given Pisa's winless away record.

What alternative bets should I consider for AS Roma vs Pisa?

Roma -1.5 Asian Handicap offers excellent value at around 65% confidence, given Pisa's defensive struggles and complete away form collapse. Both Teams to Score 'No' is another strong option, considering Pisa's attacking limitations (0.74 goals per game) and Roma's solid home defensive record. For higher returns, Roma to win both halves capitalizes on their tendency to start fast and Pisa's habit of conceding throughout matches.

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Last 1 head-to-head matchups

AS Roma (1)Pisa (0)
Aug 30, 25
(H)Pisa0 - 1AS Roma(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Roma, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 away at Pisa's Arena Garibaldi in August...

The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Roma, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 away at Pisa's Arena Garibaldi in August 2025. That victory demonstrated Roma's ability to grind out results even in hostile territory, with their superior quality eventually telling against Pisa's defensive approach. The limited recent history between these sides reflects Pisa's brief stint in Serie A, but Roma's dominance in their only encounter this season provides a clear template for this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

AS Roma

11 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
L
L
D
L
D
W
D
W
L
D
D
W
W

Form Rating

5/10

AS Roma Form Analysis

Trending

Roma enters this match with mixed recent form, having suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat at...

Roma enters this match with mixed recent form, having suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat at Inter in their last outing before bouncing back with a 1-0 home win over Lecce. Their home record remains strong with 10 wins from 15 matches at the Stadio Olimpico, where they've scored 23 goals while conceding just 9. The Giallorossi have shown resilience in big matches, drawing 3-3 with Juventus and securing crucial wins over Cremonese and Cagliari. However, key injuries to star forwards Dybala and Dovbyk represent significant concerns, potentially forcing tactical adjustments. Lorenzo Pellegrini will need to step up as the creative focal point in their absence.

Pisa

15 of 15 in Serie A

L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
D
D
L
D
L

Form Rating

2/10

Pisa Form Analysis

Analysis

Pisa's form tells the story of a team completely out of their depth in Serie...

Pisa's form tells the story of a team completely out of their depth in Serie A, managing just two wins all season while suffering 17 defeats. Their recent run includes heavy losses to Como (5-0) and Juventus (4-0), highlighting their vulnerability against quality opposition. Away from home, they've failed to win a single match in 15 attempts, collecting just 8 draws and 7 defeats. Their attacking struggles are evident with only 0.74 goals per game, while defensively they've been porous, conceding 1.77 per match. Striker Matteo Brunori remains their main threat, but he'll need significant support to trouble Roma's defense.

shieldAS Roma6

  • P. Dybala profile photo

    P. Dybala

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Dovbyk profile photo

    A. Dovbyk

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • M. Kone profile photo

    M. Kone

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • G. Mancini profile photo

    G. Mancini

    Injury
    Out
  • E. Ferguson profile photo

    E. Ferguson

    Ankle Injury
    Out
P. DybalaAS Roma
A. DovbykAS Roma
M. KoneAS Roma
G. ManciniAS Roma
E. FergusonAS Roma
Wesley FrancaAS Roma

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldPisa3

  • M. Marin profile photo

    M. Marin

    Injury
    Questionable
  • I. Vural profile photo

    I. Vural

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • D. Denoon profile photo

    D. Denoon

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
M. MarinPisa
I. VuralPisa
D. DenoonPisa

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.