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AS Roma
AS Roma1st in Serie A (3-0-0)
VS
Inter
Inter2nd in Serie A (3-0-0)

AS Roma vs Inter

Saturday, Sep 19, 2026 · --:--

Stadio Olimpico

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AI Confidence: 37%
AS Roma37%Draw 28%Inter35%

AI Predicted Winner

AS Roma

37%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

AS Roma vs Inter prediction: Serie A's two form teams collide at Stadio Olimpico with both sides sitting level on nine points from three wins apiece. Roma top the table on goal difference, having smashed ten goals with just one conceded, while Inter have matched their perfect record but with a slightly leakier defense at three against.

Roma's attack has been ruthless domestically, though a Champions League draw against Fenerbahçe interrupted the winning run. Inter arrive off a narrow Champions League loss to Real Madrid but remain unbeaten in Serie A, scoring freely against Napoli, Cagliari and Monza.

Injuries bite both sides. Roma are without Mile Svilar's midfield partner Lorenzo Pellegrini and full-back Mile Bah, while Inter face this clash missing Federico Dimarco and Djed Spence. These absences shape squad depth more than outright quality gaps.

With both teams unbeaten, low position gap, and near-identical points per game, this is one of the tightest fixtures of the early season. Bookmakers install Roma as narrow favorites at home, but Inter's away threat and superior recent head-to-head record against Roma make this a genuine coin-flip. Expect goals and a tightly poised contest, with a slight edge to Roma given home advantage and defensive solidity this term.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
AS Roma3-0-0100.0%
Inter3-0-0100.0%
Goals Scored
AS Roma10
Inter8
Goals Conceded
AS Roma1
Inter3
Goal Difference
AS Roma+9
Inter+5

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

AS Roma (2)Inter (8)
Apr 5, 26
(H)Inter5 - 2AS Roma(A)
H
Oct 18, 25
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Apr 27, 25
(H)Inter0 - 1AS Roma(A)
A
Oct 20, 24
(H)AS Roma0 - 1Inter(A)
A
Feb 10, 24
(H)AS Roma2 - 4Inter(A)
A
Oct 29, 23
(H)Inter1 - 0AS Roma(A)
H
May 6, 23
(H)AS Roma0 - 2Inter(A)
A
Oct 1, 22
(H)Inter1 - 2AS Roma(A)
A
Apr 23, 22
(H)Inter3 - 1AS Roma(A)
H
Feb 8, 22
(H)Inter2 - 0AS Roma(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings heavily favor Inter, who won four of the last five encounters since 2024, including a 5-2 thrashing in...

Recent meetings heavily favor Inter, who won four of the last five encounters since 2024, including a 5-2 thrashing in April 2026 and a 1-0 win at Stadio Olimpico in October 2025. Roma's only win in that stretch came away at Inter in April 2025. This pattern of Inter dominance, even in Rome, is a notable psychological factor working against the home side heading into this rematch.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

AS Roma

9 of 15 in Serie A

D
W
W
W
D
L
W
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

7.3/10

AS Roma Form Analysis

Trending

Roma have won all three Serie A matches this season, conceding just once while scoring...

Roma have won all three Serie A matches this season, conceding just once while scoring ten goals, including emphatic 4-0 wins over Lecce and Fiorentina. Their only blemish was a Champions League draw against Fenerbahçe. The defense has been outstanding, and with Artem Dovbyk leading the line prolifically, Roma look like genuine title contenders early on. Injuries to Lorenzo Pellegrini and Mile Bah are concerns for creativity and defensive depth, but the squad's depth has masked these absences so far. Low fatigue risk with eight days' rest gives Roma a fresh platform to build on their perfect start against a quality opponent.

Inter

8 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
D
W
W
W
D

Form Rating

8/10

Inter Form Analysis

Analysis

Inter have also won all three Serie A fixtures, scoring eight and conceding three, with...

Inter have also won all three Serie A fixtures, scoring eight and conceding three, with victories over Napoli, Cagliari and Monza. A narrow Champions League defeat to Real Madrid is their only loss across all competitions recently. Inter's attack remains potent, though their defense has been slightly more porous than Roma's this season. The absences of Federico Dimarco and Djed Spence weaken their full-back options, an area Roma could target. With ten days' rest and low fatigue risk, Inter travel to Rome full of confidence, buoyed by a strong recent head-to-head record against this exact opponent.

shieldAS Roma2

  • L. Pellegrini profile photo

    L. Pellegrini

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • M. Bah profile photo

    M. Bah

    Knee Injury
    Out
L. PellegriniAS Roma
M. BahAS Roma

shieldInter2

  • D. Spence profile photo

    D. Spence

    Injury
    Out
  • F. Dimarco profile photo

    F. Dimarco

    Knee Injury
    Out
D. SpenceInter
F. DimarcoInter

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

AS Roma vs Inter - Match Analysis

Why is AS Roma only a narrow favorite despite topping the table?

Roma lead Serie A on goal difference with a perfect record, but Inter have matched them point-for-point with an identical three wins from three. Bookmakers see this as essentially a coin-flip, reflected in the tight 37.1% to 34.9% split. Inter's dominant recent head-to-head record against Roma, including a 5-2 win in April 2026, further tempers confidence in a big home win.

What alternative bets should I consider for AS Roma vs Inter?

Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams are averaging over 2.5 goals scored per game this season and recent meetings between them have been high-scoring. Draw No Bet: AS Roma is another sensible option, hedging against a draw while still leaning on home advantage. Both Teams to Score also has merit given both attacks are firing early this season.

How does recent head-to-head history affect this prediction?

Inter have won four of the last five meetings against Roma since 2024, including a 5-2 rout and a win at Stadio Olimpico itself. This recent dominance tempers Roma's home advantage and current form edge, explaining why Inter remain competitive in the odds despite Roma's superior defensive record this season. History suggests Inter travel well against this exact opponent.

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