AI vs Market Probabilities

• AS Roma
  55%vs 67%-12%
• Draw
  25%vs 23%+2%
• Cagliari
  20%vs 12%+8%

Analysis

Our AI model favors Roma based on home advantage and superior league position, with probability analysis suggesting a 55% chance of victory. The Giallorossi's stronger squad depth and European experience provide key advantages. However, Cagliari's recent form and head-to-head success create uncertainty. Roma's need for points in the Europa League race should provide extra motivation at the Olimpico.

Value Bets Comparison Table

Recommendations

The main prediction offers solid value bets with Roma's home advantage justifying favoritism. However, smart bet opportunities exist in alternative markets given Cagliari's recent attacking improvement. Their 4-0 victory over Verona suggests goals potential, making Over 2.5 Goals an attractive option. The expected value calculations favor backing Roma to win, but Cagliari's price as underdogs presents interesting betting tips for this Serie A clash.

Half-Time Result Prediction

• AS Roma

  Likely

• Draw

  Common

• Cagliari

  Possible

Other Markets

• Draw No Bet
• Asian Handicap
• First Goal Time
• Corners O/U

Analysis

Alternative markets offer excellent opportunities for this encounter. Draw No Bet: Roma provides safer coverage given Cagliari's recent resilience. Both Teams to Score appeals strongly, considering Cagliari's improved attack and Roma's occasional defensive lapses. Over 2.5 Goals represents the standout alternative pick, with both sides showing attacking intent recently and their head-to-head history featuring plenty of goals.