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AC Milan
AC Milan2nd in Serie A (15-8-1)
VS
Como
Como7th in Serie A (11-8-5)

AC Milan vs Como

Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026 · --:--

Optus Stadium

Final
AC Milan
1–1
Como

Draw

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The AC Milan vs Como prediction favors the Rossoneri in this Serie A preview at Optus Stadium. Milan sits second with 53 points from 24 games, boasting an impressive unbeaten away record (8 wins, 5 draws). Their recent form shows four wins in five matches, including dominant victories over Bologna (3-0) and Pisa (2-1). Como occupies seventh place with 41 points, displaying attacking flair with 38 goals scored in 24 games. However, they've struggled defensively, conceding 18 goals. The visitors recently lost 2-1 to Fiorentina, ending a positive run. Milan's superior quality and excellent away form make them strong favorites. Our expert picks suggest backing the home side, while free tips include considering Milan's attacking markets given their recent goalscoring consistency.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 3 head-to-head matchups

AC Milan (3)Como (0)
Jan 15, 26
(H)Como1 - 3AC Milan(A)
A
Mar 15, 25
(H)AC Milan2 - 1Como(A)
H
Jan 14, 25
(H)Como1 - 2AC Milan(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor AC Milan, who have won all three meetings since Como's Serie A return. Milan secured a...

Recent encounters heavily favor AC Milan, who have won all three meetings since Como's Serie A return. Milan secured a convincing 3-1 victory in January 2026 at Como's home ground, following up their 2-1 and 2-1 wins in the previous season. The Rossoneri have scored eight goals across these three matches while conceding just four, demonstrating clear superiority in this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A matches highlighted

AC Milan

13 of 15 in Serie A

W
W
D
W
W
D
D
W
W
L
D
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

AC Milan Form Analysis

Trending

AC Milan enters this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five Serie...

AC Milan enters this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five Serie A fixtures. Their recent 2-1 victory at Pisa showcased their resilience and away prowess. The 3-0 demolition of Bologna highlighted their attacking potency, while narrow wins over Lecce (1-0) and Cagliari (1-0) demonstrated defensive solidity. Milan's away record remains outstanding with eight wins and five draws from 13 matches. Key injury concerns include Santiago Gimenez (ankle) and Adrien Rabiot (suspension), while Christian Pulisic remains questionable. Rafael Leao has been instrumental in their attacking play, providing pace and creativity down the left flank.

Como

13 of 15 in Serie A

L
W
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Como Form Analysis

Analysis

Como's recent form shows inconsistency despite their impressive seventh-place position. The 2-1 home defeat to...

Como's recent form shows inconsistency despite their impressive seventh-place position. The 2-1 home defeat to Fiorentina ended a decent run that included victories over Torino (6-0) and Lazio (3-0). Their attacking output remains impressive with 38 goals in 24 games, but defensive vulnerabilities persist. Away form has been mixed with six wins from 13 matches. Key absences include Assane Diao (thigh injury), Edoardo Goldaniga (heel injury), and Alvaro Morata (suspension). Patrick Cutrone has been their main attacking threat, while midfielder Nico Paz continues to impress with his creativity and work rate in the middle of the park.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
AC Milan15-8-162.5%
Como11-8-545.8%
Goals Scored
AC Milan40
Como38
Goals Conceded
AC Milan18
Como18

shieldAC Milan3

  • C. Pulisic profile photo

    C. Pulisic

    Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Rabiot profile photo

    A. Rabiot

    Red Card
    Out
  • S. Gimenez profile photo

    S. Gimenez

    Ankle Injury
    Out
C. PulisicAC Milan
A. RabiotAC Milan
S. GimenezAC Milan

shieldComo3

  • A. Morata profile photo

    A. Morata

    Red Card
    Out
  • E. Goldaniga profile photo

    E. Goldaniga

    Heel Injury
    Out
  • A. Diao profile photo

    A. Diao

    Thigh Injury
    Out
A. MorataComo
E. GoldanigaComo
A. DiaoComo

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
AC Milan+22
Como+20

AC Milan vs Como - Match Analysis

Why is AC Milan strongly favored against Como in this match?

Milan's dominance stems from their perfect head-to-head record (3-0 wins), exceptional away form (unbeaten in 13 matches), and superior league position. Como's defensive issues, having conceded regularly against top sides, combined with key player absences including Morata's suspension, heavily favor the visitors. Milan's recent attacking form and Como's struggles against quality opposition make this prediction straightforward.

What alternative bets should I consider for AC Milan vs Como?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking records - Milan averaging 1.67 goals per game and Como scoring 38 in 24 matches. Both Teams to Score is another strong option considering Como's home attacking threat and Milan's occasional defensive lapses. Asian Handicap Milan -1 provides better odds while covering their expected margin of victory based on recent head-to-head results.

How does recent form affect this AC Milan vs Como prediction?

Milan's form strongly supports the prediction with four wins in five matches, including impressive away victories. Their goalscoring consistency and defensive improvements make them formidable. Como's mixed recent form, particularly the home loss to Fiorentina, highlights their vulnerability against top-six opposition. Milan's superior squad depth and tactical flexibility give them significant advantages, especially with Como facing fixture congestion from their Coppa Italia run.

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