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Barradao
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AI Predicted Winner
Vitoria
55%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Vitoria✦ AI Pick | Draw | Chapecoense-sc |
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1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betano | |||
Pinnacle | |||
| Best Odds |
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Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc prediction: this Serie A Brazil clash at Barradao pits a struggling home side against the division's bottom club. Vitoria sit 13th with 33 points, well clear of the relegation zone, but their overall form has been shaky with just one win in five recent outings, including a heavy 1-3 loss to Cruzeiro last time out.
Chapecoense arrive rock-bottom of the table on 18 points, winning only three of 27 league games all season, and their away record is particularly grim with just one win in 14 attempts on the road. Their goal difference of -24 is the worst in Serie A, reflecting a defense that leaks almost two goals per game.
Despite Vitoria's own inconsistency, the gulf in quality and desperation is clear. Vitoria's home form (nine wins in 14) is dramatically stronger than their away form, and Chapecoense's inability to win outside home soil makes this a tough ask for the visitors.
Expect Vitoria to control this match and grind out a win, with the bookmaker consensus (55.8%) backing that view. A draw remains live given Vitoria's home hiccups this season, but Chapecoense's dreadful away form and defensive fragility make the home win the most logical pick here for football tips today.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in April 2026, a 1-1 draw hosted by...
The only meeting between these sides in the last two years came in April 2026, a 1-1 draw hosted by Chapecoense. That single data point offers limited insight given the small sample, but it suggests these two are capable of frustrating each other despite the league table gap. With such minimal recent head-to-head history, current form and league position should carry far more weight than this historical series in shaping expectations for Tuesday's fixture.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
11 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
3.3/10
Vitoria have managed just one win in their last five matches, losing three of those...
Vitoria have managed just one win in their last five matches, losing three of those including a 1-3 defeat to Cruzeiro and a 0-2 exit from the Copa do Brasil against Vasco da Gama. Their home form remains their saving grace, though, with nine wins from 14 at Barradao and a much tighter defense in front of their own fans. An extensive injury list including Edu, Dudu, Camutanga and Walace has stretched their squad depth, but the home platform and low fatigue risk after 17 days' rest should still give them the edge against a struggling visitor.
11 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4/10
Chapecoense are rooted to the bottom of the table with only three wins all season...
Chapecoense are rooted to the bottom of the table with only three wins all season and a league-worst -24 goal difference. Their recent form shows resilience in draws — four in their last six — but they've won just once away from home in 14 attempts, conceding at an alarming 1.96 goals per game on average. Several first-team absences, including Robert Conceicao and Rafael Carvalheira through injury, compound their defensive issues. Their away struggles make finding a positive result at Barradao a significant challenge.
Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc - Match Analysis
Vitoria hold a commanding position advantage, sitting seven places above Chapecoense with a +0.51 points-per-game edge. Their home form (nine wins in 14) contrasts sharply with Chapecoense's away struggles (just one win in 14 road games). Combined with Chapecoense's league-worst -24 goal difference and leaky defense, the bookmakers' 55.8% implied probability for Vitoria reflects a genuine quality gap between these two sides.
Over 2.5 Goals stands out given both teams' struggles defensively and a combined goals-per-game rate above two. Draw No Bet: Vitoria is also worth considering as a hedge, protecting against Vitoria's inconsistent recent form while still capturing the home advantage. Both markets offer solid alternatives to the straight moneyline bet for bettors wanting extra security or higher-probability outcomes.
Vitoria have won just one of their last five matches and are dealing with a lengthy injury list, including key players like Walace and Camutanga. Their home form has also included draws this season, showing they aren't unbeatable at Barradao. While Chapecoense's away record is poor, their resilience in drawing matches means an upset or stalemate isn't out of the question.
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