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Estadio Evandro Almeida
Draw
Remo host Gremio in a Brazilian Serie A clash that looks tightly balanced on paper, with our model giving a slight edge to the draw at 33% over Remo's win chance of 38% and Gremio's 29%. Both sides have shown modest attacking output this season, and nothing in the latest team news changes that picture. No confirmed injuries, suspensions, or managerial shifts have emerged to shift the balance of power in either direction.
The main driver behind this forecast is the lack of meaningful separation between the two sides in underlying numbers. xG trends for both clubs point to low-scoring, cagey encounters rather than end-to-end fixtures, and that pattern is reinforced by bookmaker odds that remain tightly bunched across all three outcomes. Home advantage gives Remo a marginal lift, but Gremio's travel quality keeps them competitive enough to deny a routine home win.
With confidence levels low due to limited fresh intelligence, this fixture suits bettors who favor value over certainty. The draw's inflated probability relative to a typical home-versus-away split makes it a notable angle, particularly for those targeting the draw no bet or double chance markets as a hedge.
Overall, expect a cagey, low-scoring affair in Belem where defensive solidity trumps attacking firepower, keeping the draw firmly in play.
Last 1 head-to-head matchups
These two sides met just once in the last two years, a goalless draw in Gremio back in April 2026....
These two sides met just once in the last two years, a goalless draw in Gremio back in April 2026. With such limited recent head-to-head data, this match carries no meaningful historical pattern to lean on. Both teams will be approaching this fixture fresh, driven more by current form and survival pressure than any established rivalry narrative. The lack of history makes current form and home/away splits far more reliable guides for this prediction than any head-to-head trend.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
13 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
3/10
Remo have won just five of 28 league games this season and sit second-from-bottom, though...
Remo have won just five of 28 league games this season and sit second-from-bottom, though their home record (three wins, five draws, six losses) is noticeably stronger than their away form. Recent results have been poor — four straight losses before a single draw in their last five — and they've failed to score in nine matches overall. Defensively they're leaking 1.68 goals per game, among the worst in the division. Five players are unavailable through injury or suspension, including Jaja and Joao Lucas, which will hurt their attacking options. Home advantage remains their best asset in this relegation fight.
9 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4/10
Gremio have lost their last five matches across competitions, a worrying slide for a side...
Gremio have lost their last five matches across competitions, a worrying slide for a side that had looked more stable earlier in the campaign with seven home wins from 14. Their away form is alarming, though — zero wins in 14 league trips, with four draws and ten defeats. They've scored just 1.07 goals per game and failed to find the net in ten matches. Injuries to Dodi and Marlon weaken an already stretched squad. Despite the poor run, their defense has been respectable overall (1.36 conceded per game), giving them a platform to frustrate Remo if they can tighten up on the road.
2026 Season
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Moderate
Weak
Favorable
High
Remo vs Gremio - Match Analysis
Remo's home record is the key differentiator — three wins and five draws from 14 games at Mangueirao compares favorably to Gremio's winless away campaign (zero wins in 14 trips). While Remo's overall season has been poor, their home form gives them a tangible edge, and bookmakers have priced them as favorites at 41% implied probability against Gremio's 31%.
Under 2.5 Goals is an attractive alternative given both teams average under 1.2 goals scored per game, making a low-scoring affair likely. Draw No Bet: Remo also offers value for bettors wanting exposure to Remo's home strength without the risk of losing the stake on a draw, which carries a near 28% probability based on both teams' season-long draw rates.
Both clubs are embroiled in a relegation battle, with Remo 19th on 23 points and Gremio 17th on 29 points — just six points separate them. A win here is critical for either side to create daylight from the drop zone with games running out. Gremio's recent five-match losing streak adds extra urgency to arrest their slide before it's too late.
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