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AI Predicted Winner
Palmeiras
48%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Mirassol | Draw | Palmeiras✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
PinnacleBest Odds | |||
1xBet | |||
Bet365 | |||
| Best Odds |
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Mirassol vs Palmeiras prediction: table-toppers Palmeiras travel to face a struggling Mirassol side sitting deep in the relegation zone. This Serie A Brazil clash pits the division's best defensive record against a team that has won just six of 22 league games.
Mirassol have lost 11 of 22 matches and picked up only one point from their last four outings, though a home record of five wins from twelve shows they are tougher to beat in front of their own fans than their away form suggests. Injuries to Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo and Negueba, plus a suspension for Denilson, further weaken an already stretched squad.
Palmeiras arrive as league leaders with 51 points from 24 games, conceding just 0.83 goals per game and boasting nine clean sheets. Their away record of seven wins from twelve is formidable, even amid a congested fixture list involving Copa do Brasil quarter-final duties either side of this trip.
Recent head-to-head meetings have leaned heavily toward Palmeiras, and the gulf in points-per-game (2.12 vs 1.05) and goal difference (+24 vs -10) strongly supports the bookmaker consensus. Expect Palmeiras to control possession and create the clearer chances, with Mirassol's home resilience offering only moderate resistance. A Palmeiras win remains the most probable outcome, though the draw shouldn't be dismissed given Mirassol's stubborn home form this season.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
High
2026 Season
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Palmeiras have dominated this fixture recently, winning both meetings in 2026 — a 1-0 away win in the Paulista in...
Palmeiras have dominated this fixture recently, winning both meetings in 2026 — a 1-0 away win in the Paulista in January and another 1-0 victory in Serie A in March. Mirassol's lone win in this sample came in November 2025 at home. Overall, across the last two years Palmeiras hold a clear edge with three wins to Mirassol's one, plus a draw at Palmeiras in mid-2025, reinforcing their psychological advantage entering this trip.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4/10
Mirassol have won just one of their last five matches, drawing four and losing one,...
Mirassol have won just one of their last five matches, drawing four and losing one, including a heavy 1-5 home defeat to Flamengo. Their home form (five wins, three draws, four losses from twelve) is markedly better than their away struggles, but goals have been hard to come by with only 25 scored in 22 league games. Multiple injuries — Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo, and Negueba — compound defensive fragility, while Denilson misses out through suspension. Attacking output has been inconsistent, though the recent Copa Do Brasil draws against Gremio show they can compete when set up defensively. Keeping this game tight will be essential against a rampant Palmeiras side.
9 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
6.3/10
Palmeiras sit top of the table with 51 points, winning 14 of 24 league matches...
Palmeiras sit top of the table with 51 points, winning 14 of 24 league matches and conceding under a goal per game on average. Their recent form includes a commanding 4-1 win over Vasco da Gama and a narrow Libertadores victory over Cerro Porteno, though a 2-3 loss to Fluminense shows occasional away vulnerability. Injuries to Paulinho, Piquerez, Jefte and Sosa are notable, but Palmeiras' squad depth has masked such absences all season. Their away record of seven wins from twelve games underlines genuine title-winning quality, and this fixture arrives amid a congested week including Copa do Brasil duties.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Mirassol vs Palmeiras - Match Analysis
Palmeiras sit top of Serie A with a +24 goal difference and the league's best defensive record, conceding under a goal per game. Their points-per-game of 2.12 dwarfs Mirassol's 1.05, and recent head-to-head meetings in 2026 have both gone Palmeiras' way. Combined with a strong away record of seven wins from twelve, the bookmaker consensus of 45.4% reflects genuine quality gap between these sides.
It's possible — Mirassol have won five of twelve home games this season and have shown defensive discipline in recent draws against Gremio in Copa Do Brasil. However, key injuries to Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo and Negueba, plus a suspension for Denilson, significantly weaken their squad depth. Given Palmeiras' away dominance, an upset would require a near-perfect defensive performance from the hosts.
Draw No Bet: Palmeiras is a sensible alternative, protecting against Mirassol's decent home form while still backing the likely winner. Over 2.5 Goals also stands out given the combined 2.88 goals per game average and Mirassol's shaky defense conceding 1.59 per game. Both markets offer solid value alongside the standard match-result betting tips today.
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