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AI Predicted Winner
Flamengo
49%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Mirassol | Draw | Flamengo✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
Betano | |||
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Dafabet | |||
| Best Odds |
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This Serie A (Brazil) clash sees Mirassol host Flamengo with a significant gap between the sides. The Mirassol vs Flamengo prediction leans firmly toward the visitors, who sit second in the table with 39 points from 20 games, 13 places and 16 points clear of their 15th-placed hosts.
Mirassol have struggled badly on home comfort recently, winning just once in their last five outings and slipping to 15th with a negative goal difference. Injuries to Jose Aldo and Negueba further weaken their attacking options, though their actual home record (5-3-3) is more respectable than their overall form suggests.
Flamengo arrive full of confidence, unbeaten in four of their last five and boasting the division's second-best defense at 0.9 goals conceded per game. Their away record of six wins from eleven trips underlines genuine road quality, even without Lucas Paqueta and Luiz Araujo through injury.
Both sides face fixture congestion with Copa Libertadores second-leg ties this week, which could see rotation from Flamengo given their continental priorities. Still, the class gap and bookmaker consensus (49.2% away win) point to a Flamengo victory, though Mirassol's underrated home form and the two teams' recent 3-3 draw suggest goals are likely and an upset isn't out of the question.
Moderate
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2026 Season
Last 3 head-to-head matchups
The two teams have met twice in the last two years, with Flamengo winning one and drawing the other. In...
The two teams have met twice in the last two years, with Flamengo winning one and drawing the other. In August 2025, Flamengo won 2-1 as the away side at their own ground reversal, and in December 2025 the sides shared a wild 3-3 draw in Mirassol. That draw hints at attacking output from both sides when they meet, despite the significant quality gap on paper.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
5.7/10
Mirassol have won just once in their last five matches, losing three of those including...
Mirassol have won just once in their last five matches, losing three of those including a 3-1 defeat to Cruzeiro last time out. Sitting 15th with a negative goal difference, their attack has stalled at 1.14 goals per game, though their home record of five wins, three draws and three losses from eleven games is far more competitive than their away form. Injuries to Jose Aldo and Negueba weaken forward options further. With Copa Libertadores fixtures either side of this game, fatigue and rotation are real concerns. Vitinho remains their most reliable attacking outlet.
8 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
7.3/10
Flamengo have lost just three of their last twenty league games and remain unbeaten in...
Flamengo have lost just three of their last twenty league games and remain unbeaten in four of their last five, including a comfortable 1-0 win over Vitoria. Their defense is elite, conceding under a goal per game with eight clean sheets in twenty matches. Away from home they've won six of eleven, showing genuine road credentials. Injuries to Lucas Paqueta and Luiz Araujo are notable losses in midfield creativity, but their squad depth has masked absences all season. Their goal-scoring threat remains led by attacking players who continue to find the net regularly.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Mirassol vs Flamengo - Match Analysis
Flamengo sit second in Serie A with 39 points, 16 clear of 15th-placed Mirassol, and boast a far superior defense conceding under a goal per game. Their away record of six wins from eleven trips shows genuine road quality, while Mirassol have won only once in their last five outings. The table gap, recent form, and bookmaker odds at 49.2% all align behind an away win.
Mirassol's overall form is poor, but their actual home record of five wins, three draws and three losses from eleven games is respectable. The two sides drew 3-3 in their most recent meeting, showing Mirassol can trouble Flamengo when playing at their own ground. Flamengo's rotation due to Copa Libertadores commitments this week could also open the door for a shock result.
Beyond the moneyline, Draw No Bet: Flamengo offers protection against a surprise draw while still backing the away side's quality edge. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing given a combined 2.99 goals per game average between the two sides and their high-scoring history. Both markets provide alternative avenues if you want exposure without relying purely on Flamengo winning outright.
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