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Flamengo
63%
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Flamengo vs Mirassol prediction: this Serie A clash pits a Copa Libertadores contender against a side sliding toward the relegation zone. Flamengo sit second with 45 points from 23 games, while Mirassol languish in 17th with just 24 points and a negative goal difference.
Flamengo's home form has been excellent, winning six of ten at home with only one defeat, and they smashed Mirassol 5-1 in their last league meeting just weeks ago. Mirassol, by contrast, have won only once away from home all season and have lost 11 of 23 matches overall, struggling badly with just one clean sheet.
Flamengo do have some absentees, including Leo Pereira, Alex Sandro and N. de la Cruz, but their squad depth and attacking quality should still overwhelm a Mirassol defense conceding 1.57 goals per game. Both sides have shown they can score, and the combined goals rate points toward an open contest.
Expect Flamengo to control this one from the front. Given the recent 5-1 hammering, home strength, and Mirassol's away struggles, Flamengo are the clear pick, with goals likely at both ends given Mirassol's leaky backline.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
High
2026 Season
Last 3 head-to-head matchups
These sides have met three times recently, with Flamengo winning twice and drawing once. The standout result came just weeks...
These sides have met three times recently, with Flamengo winning twice and drawing once. The standout result came just weeks ago when Flamengo thrashed Mirassol 5-1 in Serie A. A 3-3 draw in December 2025 showed Mirassol can occasionally trade goals, but Flamengo's dominance in the most recent and most relevant meeting sets a clear tone heading into this rematch.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
7.3/10
Flamengo have won five of their last seven across competitions, including a comfortable 5-1 romp...
Flamengo have won five of their last seven across competitions, including a comfortable 5-1 romp over this very opponent. Their home record is strong, six wins and only one loss in ten matches, backed by a solid defense conceding under one goal per game at home. Injuries to Leo Pereira, Alex Sandro and N. de la Cruz test squad depth, but Flamengo's attacking talent, led by their prolific forward options, has still produced 45 goals this season. Expect continued sharpness in front of goal, even with rotation likely given a congested fixture schedule across league and continental competition.
9 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4/10
Mirassol have won just once on the road all season, managing only one win from...
Mirassol have won just once on the road all season, managing only one win from eleven away matches with seven defeats. Their recent form shows one win in five, with draws papering over a lack of cutting edge, scoring just 1.13 goals per game. Defensively they've been alarmingly open, with only one clean sheet all season and 36 goals conceded. Injuries to Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo and Negueba further weaken an already stretched squad. Their away struggles and recent 5-1 defeat to this same opponent suggest little confidence heading into Rio.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Flamengo vs Mirassol - Match Analysis
Flamengo sit 15 places above Mirassol with a much better points-per-game rate and a dominant home record this season. They also thrashed Mirassol 5-1 in their most recent meeting, highlighting a clear quality gap. Mirassol's defense has conceded 36 goals with only one clean sheet all season, while their away form is the worst in the league, making Flamengo the clear expert pick here.
It's unlikely but not impossible. Mirassol have drawn six league games this season, showing they can grind out points even when outmatched, and they held Flamengo to a 3-3 draw in December 2025. If Flamengo rotate heavily due to fixture congestion and injuries to key defenders, Mirassol could exploit gaps, though their away form offers little evidence they can convert chances consistently.
Beyond the outright win, Flamengo -1 Asian Handicap offers value given their recent 5-1 win and home dominance. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing since combined goals per game sit at 3.09, and Mirassol's leaky defense often allows multiple goals. For safer coverage, Draw No Bet: Flamengo protects your stake against an unlikely draw while still backing the favorite.
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