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AI Predicted Winner
Vasco DA Gama
43%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Chapecoense-sc | Draw | Vasco DA Gama✦ AI Pick |
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Bottom-of-the-table strugglers meet as Chapecoense-sc host Vasco DA Gama in a Serie A (Brazil) clash between two sides fighting to avoid the drop. This Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama prediction leans toward the visitors, who sit three places and several points clear despite their own inconsistent form.
Chapecoense are rock bottom with just one win all season and a five-match losing streak heading into this fixture, conceding freely at over two goals per game. Vasco DA Gama have also stumbled recently, losing two of their last three, but their season-long numbers — five wins, five draws — are markedly better, and they've picked up more points per game than their hosts.
Both defenses are shaky, and Chapecoense's home record (one win in ten) offers little reassurance against a Vasco side that has scored in most of its recent outings. The head-to-head series over the last two years shows a single meeting, a 1-1 draw in February, suggesting these are tightly contested affairs even when quality gaps exist on paper.
Given Chapecoense's dreadful current form against a Vasco side that, while inconsistent, has enough quality to punish a leaky defense, the away win stands as the most logical outcome. Expect goals at both ends given the fragile defensive records on show, with Vasco's greater attacking output likely proving decisive.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These two Serie A rivals met just once in the last two years, drawing 1-1 in February 2026 with Vasco...
These two Serie A rivals met just once in the last two years, drawing 1-1 in February 2026 with Vasco DA Gama hosting. That result fits a broader historical pattern between these clubs, where draws have been extremely common across recent meetings. With limited recent head-to-head data to lean on, this preview relies more heavily on current form and league standing than historical trends between the two sides.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
3.7/10
Chapecoense sit dead last in Serie A with just one win from nineteen games and...
Chapecoense sit dead last in Serie A with just one win from nineteen games and a horrific five-match losing streak coming into this fixture, including a 4-0 home defeat to Flamengo and a 2-0 loss to Bahia. Their home record of one win, four draws, and five losses from ten games offers little hope of turning things around here. They've failed to score in eight matches this season and concede over two goals per game on average. Numerous injuries compound their issues, with several first-team players ruled out. Any positive contribution from their attacking players will be crucial just to stay competitive.
8 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4.3/10
Vasco DA Gama enter this match in patchier form than their table position suggests, having...
Vasco DA Gama enter this match in patchier form than their table position suggests, having lost two of their last three including a 1-0 defeat to Mirassol. Still, their season-long record of five wins and five draws from nineteen games is considerably stronger than their opponents', and they've shown better away resilience with four draws in nine away trips. Their attack has scored 22 goals compared to Chapecoense's 17, and they average 1.16 goals per game. A minor injury concern surrounds a couple of squad players, but their overall depth should be sufficient against a struggling Chapecoense side.
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama - Match Analysis
Vasco DA Gama's away form has been patchy, but their overall season numbers — five wins, five draws, and a much healthier goal difference — comfortably outstrip Chapecoense's league-worst campaign. Chapecoense have won only once all season and are on a five-match losing streak, making Vasco the logical pick even accounting for their own recent dip in form.
It's possible but unlikely given the current trajectory. Chapecoense have won just one of ten home matches this season and are dealing with a lengthy injury list. Vasco's inconsistency offers a sliver of hope, but Chapecoense would need a significant improvement in both attack and defense to challenge a side sitting three places above them.
Over 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both teams' leaky defenses and combined scoring average above two goals per game. Draw No Bet: Vasco DA Gama is also worth considering for bettors wanting exposure to the form favorite while insuring against a shock home draw, which remains plausible given the 29% combined draw rate.
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