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AI Predicted Winner
Bahia
45%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Chapecoense-sc | Draw | Bahia✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
DafabetBest Odds | |||
1xBet | |||
Betfair | |||
| Best Odds |
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Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia prediction: this Serie A Brazil meeting pits the league's bottom side against a Copa Libertadores qualification contender. Chapecoense sit rock-bottom on 10 points from 20 games, with only one win all season and a league-worst minus-22 goal difference. Bahia, by contrast, sit fifth with 32 points and remain unbeaten in their last five outings across all competitions.
The home side's form makes grim reading — one win in their last fourteen league matches, conceding over two goals per game on average. Chapecoense have already lost this exact fixture 2-0 away to Bahia last month, and there's little in their recent displays to suggest a reversal is coming.
Bahia arrive with genuinely useful rest, having played over two weeks ago, and their draw-heavy recent run (four of their last five games drawn) shows defensive solidity even without a scoring surge. Several squad absences through injury and suspension are a mild concern, but their overall depth advantage remains clear.
Given the position gap, points-per-game gulf, and Bahia's superior recent form, Bahia are the deserved favorites here, though a draw remains a live possibility given both sides' tendency to share points. Expect goals at both ends given Chapecoense's leaky defense, with Bahia's control likely proving decisive by full time.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The sides met just last month in Serie A, with Bahia winning 2-0 away from home — continuing a pattern...
The sides met just last month in Serie A, with Bahia winning 2-0 away from home — continuing a pattern where Bahia has dominated recent meetings. Looking back over the past two years, Bahia has taken care of business in this fixture, with Chapecoense struggling to find any positive result. This one-sided recent trend, combined with the current gulf in league form, favors Bahia again heading into this rematch.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsSerie A (Brazil) matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
2.7/10
Chapecoense's season has been a struggle, sitting last in Serie A with just one win...
Chapecoense's season has been a struggle, sitting last in Serie A with just one win in 20 league games and a minus-22 goal difference. Their recent form shows four losses in five, including a heavy 0-4 defeat to Flamengo and a 0-2 loss to this very opponent last time out. The defense has been the major issue, shipping 41 goals in 20 matches, over two per game. Multiple first-team players are missing through injury, further stretching an already thin squad. With relegation to Serie B already flagged in the table description, motivation and confidence appear low heading into this home fixture.
11 of 15 in Serie A (Brazil)
Form Rating
4/10
Bahia sit fifth in Serie A with 32 points and a healthy plus-4 goal difference,...
Bahia sit fifth in Serie A with 32 points and a healthy plus-4 goal difference, chasing Copa Libertadores qualification. Their recent run features four draws in five matches, a sign of defensive resilience even if the attack has cooled slightly. With 6 clean sheets across the season and just 25 goals conceded in 21 games, Bahia's structure remains solid on the road too, winning four of ten away fixtures. Several squad members are out through injury or suspension, which could blunt their attacking edge slightly, but the squad depth built for a Libertadores push should be enough against bottom-placed opposition.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia - Match Analysis
Bahia sit fifth in Serie A chasing Libertadores qualification, while Chapecoense are rock-bottom with just one win all season. The 15-place table gap and Bahia's plus-4 goal difference versus Chapecoense's minus-22 highlight a huge quality gap. Bahia also won the reverse fixture 2-0 last month, and their draw-heavy recent form shows defensive stability that should frustrate a struggling Chapecoense attack that has failed to score in eight matches this season.
Chapecoense have picked up four draws at home this season, showing they can occasionally frustrate stronger sides on their own turf. Bahia also arrive with several key absences through injury and suspension, which could disrupt their attacking rhythm. If Chapecoense sit deep and limit space, a repeat of their earlier home draws this season isn't out of the question, even against a clearly superior opponent.
Draw No Bet: Bahia offers safer coverage of the away win without draw risk, given how often Chapecoense have shared points at home. Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing considering Chapecoense's leaky defense and Bahia's tendency to keep finding the net. For higher-risk, higher-reward bettors, Bahia -1 Asian Handicap reflects their quality edge, though it carries more variance than the safer draw-no-bet option.
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