Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Wolves20%
- Draw25%
- Newcastle55%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Newcastle based on comprehensive probability analysis of current form, head-to-head dominance, and squad quality differentials. The 26-point gap between these teams in the Premier League table reflects the vast difference in class and consistency. Newcastle's superior attacking output (32 goals vs 15) and defensive solidity (27 conceded vs 41) provide compelling statistical evidence. The psychological factor of recent H2H dominance cannot be understated, with Newcastle winning four of five recent encounters. Wolves' relegation desperation may provide motivation, but their technical limitations and injury crisis make an upset highly unlikely against Eddie Howe's well-organized side.























