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Tottenham
Tottenham16th in Premier League (7-8-11)
VS
Arsenal
Arsenal1st in Premier League (17-7-3)

Tottenham vs Arsenal

Sunday, Feb 22, 2026 · --:--

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Final
Tottenham
1–4
Arsenal

Arsenal won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction centers on a North London Derby with contrasting fortunes. Arsenal leads the Premier League preview with 58 points from 27 games, sitting comfortably at the summit, while Tottenham languishes in 16th with just 29 points from 26 matches. This football tips today analysis reveals Arsenal's superior form, having drawn their last match 2-2 with Wolves but maintaining title-challenging consistency. Tottenham's recent struggles include a home defeat to Newcastle and multiple injury concerns. Arsenal's expert picks advantage stems from their attacking prowess (52 goals scored) versus Tottenham's defensive frailties (37 goals conceded). The Gunners' free tips value comes from their away resilience and Spurs' home vulnerabilities, making this derby a potential statement victory for the league leaders.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Tottenham (2)Draws (1)Arsenal (7)
Nov 23, 25
(H)Arsenal4 - 1Tottenham(A)
H
Jul 31, 25
(H)Arsenal0 - 1Tottenham(A)
A
Jan 15, 25
(H)Arsenal2 - 1Tottenham(A)
H
Sep 15, 24
(H)Tottenham0 - 1Arsenal(A)
A
Apr 28, 24
(H)Tottenham2 - 3Arsenal(A)
A
Sep 24, 23
(H)Arsenal2 - 2Tottenham(A)
D
Jan 15, 23
(H)Tottenham0 - 2Arsenal(A)
A
Oct 1, 22
(H)Arsenal3 - 1Tottenham(A)
H
May 12, 22
(H)Tottenham3 - 0Arsenal(A)
H
Sep 26, 21
(H)Arsenal3 - 1Tottenham(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent North London Derby encounters heavily favor Arsenal. In their last Premier League meeting in November 2025, Arsenal demolished Tottenham...

Recent North London Derby encounters heavily favor Arsenal. In their last Premier League meeting in November 2025, Arsenal demolished Tottenham 4-1 at Emirates Stadium, showcasing their dominance. The head-to-head record since 2024 shows Arsenal winning three of four competitive fixtures, including comprehensive victories. Arsenal's superior quality and tactical discipline have consistently troubled Tottenham's inconsistent defense, with the Gunners scoring freely in recent derbies while maintaining defensive solidity.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Tottenham

11 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
D
W
D
W
L
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Tottenham Form Analysis

Trending

Tottenham's form has been catastrophic, managing just seven wins from 26 league games this season....

Tottenham's form has been catastrophic, managing just seven wins from 26 league games this season. Their recent sequence includes defeats to Newcastle (1-2) and Manchester United (0-2), highlighting defensive fragility. The injury list is extensive, with key players Romero suspended due to red card, plus Kulusevski, Maddison, and Bentancur all missing through various injuries. Home form offers little comfort with only two wins and four draws from 13 home fixtures. Son Heung-min remains their primary attacking threat, but lacks consistent support. The team's confidence appears shattered after multiple disappointing results.

Arsenal

9 of 15 in Premier League

D
W
D
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
W
D
W
W

Form Rating

8/10

Arsenal Form Analysis

Analysis

Arsenal enters this derby in commanding league position, having accumulated 58 points from 27 matches....

Arsenal enters this derby in commanding league position, having accumulated 58 points from 27 matches. Their recent 2-2 draw with Wolves was uncharacteristic but followed impressive victories over Sunderland (3-0) and Leeds (4-0). The Gunners boast the league's best defensive record with just 20 goals conceded, while their 52 goals scored demonstrates clinical finishing. Key absences include Odegaard and Merino, but Arsenal's squad depth remains impressive. Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli provide consistent wing threat, while their midfield control typically dominates possession. Away form shows resilience with seven wins from 14 road fixtures.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Tottenham7-8-1126.9%
Arsenal17-7-363.0%
Goals Scored
Tottenham36
Arsenal52
Goals Conceded
Tottenham37
Arsenal20

shieldTottenham12

  • B. Davies profile photo

    B. Davies

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • R. Bentancur profile photo

    R. Bentancur

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • Richarlison profile photo

    Richarlison

    Hamstring Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Kudus profile photo

    M. Kudus

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Maddison profile photo

    J. Maddison

    Knee Injury
    Out
B. DaviesTottenham
R. BentancurTottenham
RicharlisonTottenham
M. KudusTottenham
J. MaddisonTottenham
K. DansoTottenham
D. KulusevskiTottenham
C. RomeroTottenham
P. PorroTottenham
D. UdogieTottenham
W. OdobertTottenham
L. BergvallTottenham

Showing 1-5 of 12 injuries

shieldArsenal5

  • K. Havertz profile photo

    K. Havertz

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • L. Trossard profile photo

    L. Trossard

    Injury
    Questionable
  • M. Odegaard profile photo

    M. Odegaard

    Knock
    Out
  • M. Merino profile photo

    M. Merino

    Leg Injury
    Out
  • M. Dowman profile photo

    M. Dowman

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
K. HavertzArsenal
L. TrossardArsenal
M. OdegaardArsenal
M. MerinoArsenal
M. DowmanArsenal

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Tottenham-1
Arsenal+32

Tottenham vs Arsenal - Match Analysis

Why is Arsenal so strongly favored against Tottenham in this North London Derby?

Arsenal leads the Premier League with 58 points while Tottenham sits in 16th with just 29 points, creating a massive 32-point gap. The Gunners have won three of their last four competitive meetings, including a dominant 4-1 victory in November 2025. Arsenal's superior defensive record (20 goals conceded vs Tottenham's 37) and consistent form make them overwhelming favorites despite playing away from home.

What alternative bets should I consider for Tottenham vs Arsenal?

Arsenal Draw No Bet offers excellent value at higher confidence than the straight win, covering both Arsenal victory and draw scenarios. Over 2.5 Goals presents strong appeal given Arsenal's attacking quality against Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities. Both Teams to Score could also provide value, as Tottenham typically find the net at home despite their poor overall form this season.

How do Tottenham's injury problems affect this North London Derby?

Tottenham face a defensive crisis with Cristian Romero suspended after his red card, while key players Kulusevski, Maddison, and Bentancur remain injured. These absences severely weaken their already struggling defense and midfield creativity. Arsenal, despite missing Odegaard and Merino, possess superior squad depth to cope with their injury concerns, giving them a significant tactical advantage in this crucial derby fixture.

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