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Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest16th in Premier League (8-9-15)
VS
Burnley
Burnley19th in Premier League (4-8-20)

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley

Sunday, Apr 19, 2026 · --:--

City Ground

Final
Nottingham Forest
4–1
Burnley

Nottingham Forest won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Nottingham Forest vs Burnley prediction centers on a crucial relegation battle at the City Ground. Forest sits 16th with 33 points, just three places above 19th-placed Burnley who have only 20 points and face almost certain relegation. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Forest at 63.2% probability, reflecting their superior league position and home advantage. This Premier League preview highlights Forest's recent Europa League momentum, having beaten Porto to reach the semi-finals, though fatigue from midweek European action could be a factor. Burnley arrives with a full week's rest but carries the weight of relegation pressure. Forest's home record shows three wins from 16 matches, while Burnley has managed just two away victories all season. With expert picks favoring the home side and free tips pointing to Forest's desperation to secure safety, this match represents a pivotal moment in both teams' seasons.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Nottingham Forest (1)Draws (5)Burnley (4)
Sep 20, 25
(H)Burnley1 - 1Nottingham Forest(A)
D
May 19, 24
(H)Burnley1 - 2Nottingham Forest(A)
A
Sep 18, 23
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 1Burnley(A)
D
Aug 30, 23
(H)Nottingham Forest0 - 1Burnley(A)
A
Jul 31, 21
(H)Nottingham Forest - Burnley(A)
D
Feb 23, 16
(H)Burnley1 - 0Nottingham Forest(A)
H
Oct 20, 15
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 1Burnley(A)
D
Feb 22, 14
(H)Burnley3 - 1Nottingham Forest(A)
H
Nov 23, 13
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 1Burnley(A)
D
Sep 24, 13
(H)Burnley2 - 1Nottingham Forest(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides show a balanced rivalry. In their last meeting this season at Turf Moor, the teams...

Recent encounters between these sides show a balanced rivalry. In their last meeting this season at Turf Moor, the teams drew 1-1 in September 2025. The previous Premier League clash in 2023-24 saw Forest win 2-1 away at Burnley on the final day, while their home fixture ended 1-1. Burnley holds a slight edge in cup competitions, winning 1-0 at the City Ground in the 2023 League Cup. The pattern suggests tight contests with few goals, making this another potentially cagey affair.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Nottingham Forest

9 of 15 in Premier League

W
D
D
W
W
D
L
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
D

Form Rating

4.7/10

Nottingham Forest Form Analysis

Trending

Forest enters this match riding high from European success, having eliminated Porto 1-0 in the...

Forest enters this match riding high from European success, having eliminated Porto 1-0 in the Europa League quarter-final second leg. However, their Premier League form remains inconsistent with just one win in five league matches. They've drawn with Aston Villa and held Fulham to a goalless stalemate at home, showing defensive resilience but lacking cutting edge with only 1.0 goals per game. Key injuries to Willy Boly and John Victor weaken their defensive options, while Chris Wood remains questionable. The high fatigue risk from their midweek European exertions could impact performance levels against a desperate Burnley side.

Burnley

13 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
D
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
D
W
D
L

Form Rating

3/10

Burnley Form Analysis

Analysis

Burnley's season has been a disaster, collecting just 20 points from 32 matches and sitting...

Burnley's season has been a disaster, collecting just 20 points from 32 matches and sitting firmly in the relegation zone. Their recent form shows one win in ten league games, with that sole victory coming at Crystal Palace in February. They've lost their last two matches, conceding five goals while scoring just one. With only 1.03 goals per game and 1.97 conceded, their attacking impotence and defensive frailty are clear. Multiple injury concerns including Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen further limit their options. The full week's rest provides some advantage, but their away record of two wins from 16 matches tells the story of a team struggling badly on the road.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Nottingham Forest8-9-1525.0%
Burnley4-8-2012.5%
Goals Scored
Nottingham Forest32
Burnley33
Goals Conceded
Nottingham Forest44
Burnley63

shieldNottingham Forest7

  • C. Hudson-Odoi profile photo

    C. Hudson-Odoi

    Injury
    Questionable
  • W. Boly profile photo

    W. Boly

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • C. Wood profile photo

    C. Wood

    Injury
    Questionable
  • John Victor profile photo

    John Victor

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • E. Anderson profile photo

    E. Anderson

    Personal Reasons
    Questionable
C. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest
W. BolyNottingham Forest
C. WoodNottingham Forest
John VictorNottingham Forest
E. AndersonNottingham Forest
N. SavonaNottingham Forest
MurilloNottingham Forest

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldBurnley5

  • C. Roberts profile photo

    C. Roberts

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Cullen profile photo

    J. Cullen

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Beyer profile photo

    J. Beyer

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • Z. Amdouni profile photo

    Z. Amdouni

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • H. Mejbri profile photo

    H. Mejbri

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
C. RobertsBurnley
J. CullenBurnley
J. BeyerBurnley
Z. AmdouniBurnley
H. MejbriBurnley

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Nottingham Forest-12
Burnley-30

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Match Analysis

Why is Nottingham Forest strongly favored despite their inconsistent form?

Forest's 13-point advantage over Burnley reflects a significant quality gap that bookmakers recognize. Their home advantage at the City Ground, combined with Burnley's terrible away record of just two wins from 16 matches, justifies the 63.2% probability. While Forest has been inconsistent, they're competing in European competition and sit comfortably above the relegation zone, whereas Burnley faces almost certain relegation with their current points tally.

How might Forest's Europa League commitments affect this Premier League match?

Forest played Porto just three days ago in a crucial Europa League quarter-final, creating high fatigue risk for key players. This fixture congestion could lead to tired legs and potential rotation, possibly affecting their intensity levels. However, the momentum from beating Porto and reaching the semi-finals might provide a psychological boost. The short rest period is Forest's biggest disadvantage in an otherwise favorable matchup against relegation-threatened Burnley.

What alternative bets should I consider for Nottingham Forest vs Burnley?

Focus on low-scoring markets given both teams' struggles in front of goal. Under 2.5 Goals offers excellent value as Forest averages just 1.0 goals per game while Burnley manages 1.03. Draw No Bet on Forest provides insurance against a nervous home performance while backing the superior team. Both Teams to Score 'No' is another strong option, as Burnley has failed to score in 12 matches this season and Forest's defensive approach at home often produces clean sheets.

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