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Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest15th in Premier League (1-2-3)
VS
Arsenal
Arsenal2nd in Premier League (5-0-1)

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Sunday, Oct 18, 2026 · --:--

City Ground

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AI Confidence: 61%
Nottingham Forest15%Draw 24%Arsenal61%

AI Predicted Winner

Arsenal

61%

#Confidence

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SportsbookNottingham ForestDrawArsenal✦ AI Pick
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AI Match Analysis

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction: this Premier League clash at the City Ground pits a struggling home side against the league's form team. Forest sit 13th with just one win in five, scoring only four goals and managing a single clean sheet, while Arsenal occupy second spot, unbeaten in five league outings and conceding sparingly.

Arsenal's away form has been strong with two wins from three on the road this season, and they arrive full of confidence after winning five of their last six across all competitions. Forest, by contrast, have struggled at home, winning none of their three City Ground fixtures this term, and face fresh defensive worries with Savona, Milenkovic and Igor Jesus all missing.

Arsenal's defense, missing Saliba, is not invincible, but their attacking depth and superior points-per-game rate give them a clear statistical edge. Forest's inability to score consistently (0.8 goals per game) against a stingy Arsenal backline makes an upset unlikely.

Expect Arsenal to control possession and territory, with the visitors' quality eventually breaking down a tired Forest side missing key defensive personnel. A routine away win, backed by both bookmaker consensus and underlying form metrics, is the most probable outcome here.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Nottingham Forest1-2-316.7%
Arsenal5-0-183.3%
Goals Scored
Nottingham Forest5
Arsenal10
Goals Conceded
Nottingham Forest8
Arsenal5
Goal Difference
Nottingham Forest-3
Arsenal+5

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Nottingham Forest (2)Draws (2)Arsenal (6)
Jan 17, 26
(H)Nottingham Forest0 - 0Arsenal(A)
D
Sep 13, 25
(H)Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham Forest(A)
H
Feb 26, 25
(H)Nottingham Forest0 - 0Arsenal(A)
D
Nov 23, 24
(H)Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham Forest(A)
H
Jan 30, 24
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 2Arsenal(A)
A
Aug 12, 23
(H)Arsenal2 - 1Nottingham Forest(A)
H
May 20, 23
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 0Arsenal(A)
H
Oct 30, 22
(H)Arsenal5 - 0Nottingham Forest(A)
H
Jan 9, 22
(H)Nottingham Forest1 - 0Arsenal(A)
H
Sep 24, 19
(H)Arsenal5 - 0Nottingham Forest(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Arsenal have dominated this fixture recently, winning the most recent competitive meeting 3-0 away last September 2025, continuing a pattern...

Arsenal have dominated this fixture recently, winning the most recent competitive meeting 3-0 away last September 2025, continuing a pattern of comfortable away victories. The only blemish for Arsenal in the last two years was a goalless draw at the City Ground in January 2026. Overall, Forest have struggled to find the net against Arsenal, failing to score in both recent meetings, a worrying sign given their current attacking struggles heading into this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Nottingham Forest

6 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
D
W

Form Rating

4.3/10

Nottingham Forest Form Analysis

Trending

Nottingham Forest have won just once in their last five league matches, with two losses...

Nottingham Forest have won just once in their last five league matches, with two losses and two draws highlighting defensive fragility and an inability to find consistent scoring form, netting only four goals in five games. Their home record is particularly concerning, with zero wins from three City Ground fixtures this season. The squad is further weakened by injuries to Savona, Milenkovic and Igor Jesus, all key contributors now sidelined. With defensive injuries mounting and limited attacking output, Forest will need a big performance from their remaining frontline players just to stay competitive against a team of Arsenal's quality.

Arsenal

6 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

7.3/10

Arsenal Form Analysis

Analysis

Arsenal have been excellent, winning five of their last six matches across all competitions, including...

Arsenal have been excellent, winning five of their last six matches across all competitions, including a perfect away record in their last three Premier League road trips. Their defense has been outstanding too, with three clean sheets in six league games and under one goal conceded per match on average. Saliba's absence through a back injury is notable, but Arsenal's squad depth has masked individual absences so far this season. With 2.5 points per game and a +5 goal difference, Arsenal's all-around form makes them clear favorites heading into this fixture.

shieldNottingham Forest3

  • N. Milenkovic profile photo

    N. Milenkovic

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Igor Jesus profile photo

    Igor Jesus

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • N. Savona profile photo

    N. Savona

    Knee Injury
    Out
N. MilenkovicNottingham Forest
Igor JesusNottingham Forest
N. SavonaNottingham Forest

shieldArsenal4

  • W. Saliba profile photo

    W. Saliba

    Back Injury
    Out
  • M. Zubimendi profile photo

    M. Zubimendi

    Knock
    Out
  • P. Hincapie profile photo

    P. Hincapie

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • C. Tzolis profile photo

    C. Tzolis

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
W. SalibaArsenal
M. ZubimendiArsenal
P. HincapieArsenal
C. TzolisArsenal

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal - Match Analysis

Why is Arsenal strongly favored against Nottingham Forest?

Arsenal sit second in the table with 2.5 points per game compared to Forest's 1.0, and have won five of their last six matches across competitions. Forest's home form is poor, with no wins in three City Ground league games this season, while key defensive injuries to Milenkovic and Savona further weaken their chances of containing Arsenal's attack.

What alternative bets should I consider for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

Beyond the straightforward Arsenal win, consider Arsenal -1 Asian Handicap for better value given their away scoring consistency, or Over 2.5 Goals given Forest's leaky defense and Arsenal's attacking output. Double Chance Arsenal or Draw also offers a safer hedge, reflecting Forest's history of grinding out scoreless draws in recent head-to-head meetings.

Could Nottingham Forest cause an upset against Arsenal?

An upset looks unlikely given Forest's defensive injuries and inability to score consistently, but their home draws against Arsenal in two of the last four meetings show they can frustrate stronger sides when organized. If Forest set up defensively and limit chances, a draw remains more plausible than an outright home win, especially with Arsenal juggling Champions League commitments this week.

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