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Newcastle
Newcastle11th in Premier League (10-6-11)
VS
Everton
Everton9th in Premier League (10-7-10)

Newcastle vs Everton

Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 · --:--

St. James' Park

Final
Newcastle
2–3
Everton

Everton won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Newcastle vs Everton prediction sees the Magpies as clear favorites at St. James' Park, backed by strong bookmaker consensus and recent head-to-head dominance. This Premier League preview highlights Newcastle's superior attacking output (1.41 goals per game vs 1.07) despite both teams sitting close in mid-table with minimal points per game difference. The Magpies demolished Everton 4-1 in their last meeting and have won three of their last five encounters. Newcastle's home advantage becomes crucial as they've secured seven wins from 13 home fixtures compared to Everton's poor away record of just six wins from 13 trips. Key injuries plague Newcastle with Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, and Valentino Livramento all sidelined, while Everton only miss Jack Grealish. Both teams arrive with medium fatigue risk after European and domestic commitments. The combined goals per game rate of 2.48 suggests a moderate-scoring affair. Expert picks favor Newcastle's home strength and attacking superiority, making this an attractive proposition for football tips today despite the Toffees' recent away victory at Aston Villa.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Newcastle10-6-1137.0%
Everton10-7-1037.0%
Goals Scored
Newcastle38
Everton29
Goals Conceded
Newcastle39
Everton31
Goal Difference
Newcastle-1
Everton-2

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Newcastle vs Everton - Match Analysis

Why is Newcastle strongly favored despite being only two places above Everton?

Newcastle's favoritism stems from superior attacking output (1.41 vs 1.07 goals per game), dominant recent head-to-head record including a 4-1 victory, and strong home advantage at St. James' Park. The bookmaker consensus of 55.6% reflects their attacking quality and Everton's poor away form, with the Toffees managing just six wins from 13 road trips this season.

How do Newcastle's key injuries affect their chances against Everton?

Bruno Guimaraes' absence significantly impacts Newcastle's midfield creativity and defensive stability, while Fabian Schar's injury weakens their defensive leadership. However, their recent Champions League performances demonstrate squad depth, and their attacking threat through Alexander Isak remains intact. These injuries create uncertainty but don't eliminate Newcastle's fundamental advantages in this matchup.

What alternative bets offer the best value for Newcastle vs Everton?

Draw No Bet: Newcastle provides excellent value at enhanced odds, offering win protection with draw insurance. Over 2.5 Goals appeals given the 2.48 combined goals per game average and Newcastle's attacking superiority. Both Teams to Score presents value considering Newcastle's defensive vulnerabilities and Everton's need to score away from home to remain competitive.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Newcastle (5)Draws (2)Everton (3)
Nov 29, 25
(H)Everton1 - 4Newcastle(A)
A
May 25, 25
(H)Newcastle0 - 1Everton(A)
A
Oct 5, 24
(H)Everton0 - 0Newcastle(A)
D
Apr 2, 24
(H)Newcastle1 - 1Everton(A)
D
Dec 7, 23
(H)Everton3 - 0Newcastle(A)
H
Apr 27, 23
(H)Everton1 - 4Newcastle(A)
A
Oct 19, 22
(H)Newcastle1 - 0Everton(A)
H
Mar 17, 22
(H)Everton1 - 0Newcastle(A)
H
Feb 8, 22
(H)Newcastle3 - 1Everton(A)
H
Jan 30, 21
(H)Everton0 - 2Newcastle(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Newcastle holds a commanding recent record against Everton, winning three of their last five meetings including a dominant 4-1 victory...

Newcastle holds a commanding recent record against Everton, winning three of their last five meetings including a dominant 4-1 victory at Goodison Park in November 2025. The Magpies have scored 11 goals across these encounters while conceding just 4, showcasing their attacking superiority. Everton's lone victory came at St. James' Park in May 2025, but Newcastle's overall dominance in this fixture is evident with their clinical finishing and defensive solidity in most meetings.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Newcastle

7 of 15 in Premier League

W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
W
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Newcastle Form Analysis

Trending

Newcastle enters this fixture with mixed recent form, having lost three of their last five...

Newcastle enters this fixture with mixed recent form, having lost three of their last five Premier League matches despite impressive Champions League performances. The Magpies' attacking threat remains potent with 1.41 goals per game, but defensive vulnerabilities have emerged with 1.44 goals conceded per match. Their home record of seven wins from 13 fixtures provides solid foundation, though recent defeats to Brentford and Aston Villa at St. James' Park raise concerns. The absence of Bruno Guimaraes represents a significant blow to their midfield creativity and defensive stability. Alexander Isak continues to spearhead their attack effectively, while the return from Champions League action against Qarabag shows their squad depth is being tested across multiple competitions.

Everton

14 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
L
W
D
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Everton Form Analysis

Analysis

Everton arrives at St. James' Park with inconsistent form, managing just one win in their...

Everton arrives at St. James' Park with inconsistent form, managing just one win in their last five Premier League outings. The Toffees' away record of six wins from 13 matches demonstrates their struggles on the road, though their recent victory at Aston Villa provides encouragement. Their attacking output remains concerning at just 1.07 goals per game, the lowest among mid-table sides. Defensively, they've been relatively solid with 1.15 goals conceded per match, but lack the cutting edge to consistently trouble opponents. The absence of Jack Grealish limits their creative options, while their recent defeat to Manchester United highlighted ongoing issues in converting chances. Dominic Calvert-Lewin's fitness and form will be crucial for any positive result away from home.

shieldNewcastle5

  • F. Schar profile photo

    F. Schar

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • E. Krafth profile photo

    E. Krafth

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Bruno Guimaraes profile photo

    Bruno Guimaraes

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • V. Livramento profile photo

    V. Livramento

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • L. Miley profile photo

    L. Miley

    Knee Injury
    Out
F. ScharNewcastle
E. KrafthNewcastle
Bruno GuimaraesNewcastle
V. LivramentoNewcastle
L. MileyNewcastle

shieldEverton1

  • J. Grealish profile photo

    J. Grealish

    Foot Injury
    Out
J. GrealishEverton

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.