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Newcastle
Newcastle11th in Premier League (9-6-9)
VS
Brentford
Brentford7th in Premier League (11-3-10)

Newcastle vs Brentford

Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 · --:--

St. James' Park

Final
Newcastle
2–3
Brentford

Brentford won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

This Newcastle vs Brentford prediction highlights a fascinating clash at St. James' Park between two teams in contrasting form. Newcastle sits 11th with 33 points but faces significant challenges with key injuries to Joelinton, Fabian Schar, and doubts over Bruno Guimaraes and Anthony Gordon. The Magpies have endured a difficult period, losing four of their last six Premier League matches, including heavy defeats to Liverpool (4-1) and Aston Villa (2-0) at home. Their high fatigue risk from recent Champions League and League Cup commitments adds concern. Brentford arrives in 7th place with 36 points, having shown resilience with recent wins over Aston Villa and Sunderland. The Bees' superior away record and better rest advantage (six days vs Newcastle's two) could prove decisive. This Premier League preview suggests value in backing the visitors, with expert picks favoring Brentford's consistency over Newcastle's current struggles. Free tips point to an upset possibility given the home side's mounting injury crisis and fixture congestion.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Newcastle9-6-937.5%
Brentford11-3-1045.8%
Goals Scored
Newcastle33
Brentford36
Goals Conceded
Newcastle33
Brentford32
Goal Difference
Newcastle0
Brentford+4

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Newcastle vs Brentford - Match Analysis

Why might Newcastle struggle despite their home advantage?

Newcastle faces a perfect storm of problems that significantly undermines their home advantage. Key injuries to Joelinton, Fabian Schar, and potential absences of Bruno Guimaraes and Anthony Gordon severely weaken their spine. The high fatigue risk from recent Champions League and League Cup commitments, with only two days rest, creates physical vulnerability. Their recent home form shows concerning defeats to Liverpool (4-1) and Aston Villa (2-0), suggesting St. James' Park isn't the fortress it once was.

What alternative bets should I consider for Newcastle vs Brentford?

Both Teams to Score offers excellent value given both sides' attacking capabilities and defensive inconsistencies. Over 2.5 Goals suits their head-to-head pattern of high-scoring encounters, with recent meetings producing plenty of goals. Brentford Draw No Bet provides insurance against a draw while capitalizing on their upset potential. The Asian Handicap market (+0.5 Brentford) offers higher probability coverage, combining their win chance with draw protection for enhanced value.

How does recent form affect this prediction?

Recent form heavily favors Brentford, who have won three of their last six Premier League matches including impressive victories over Aston Villa and Sunderland. Newcastle's concerning run of just two wins in ten league games, coupled with heavy defeats to top opposition, highlights their current struggles. The form differential is amplified by Newcastle's injury crisis and fixture congestion, while Brentford arrives fresher with six days rest and growing confidence from their recent performances.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Newcastle (7)Draws (1)Brentford (2)
Nov 9, 25
(H)Brentford3 - 1Newcastle(A)
H
Apr 2, 25
(H)Newcastle2 - 1Brentford(A)
H
Dec 18, 24
(H)Newcastle3 - 1Brentford(A)
H
Dec 7, 24
(H)Brentford4 - 2Newcastle(A)
H
May 19, 24
(H)Brentford2 - 4Newcastle(A)
A
Sep 16, 23
(H)Newcastle1 - 0Brentford(A)
H
Apr 8, 23
(H)Brentford1 - 2Newcastle(A)
A
Oct 8, 22
(H)Newcastle5 - 1Brentford(A)
H
Feb 26, 22
(H)Brentford0 - 2Newcastle(A)
A
Nov 20, 21
(H)Newcastle3 - 3Brentford(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Newcastle with four wins in their last six meetings since 2022. However, Brentford secured a crucial...

Recent encounters heavily favor Newcastle with four wins in their last six meetings since 2022. However, Brentford secured a crucial 3-1 victory at home in November 2025, demonstrating their ability to trouble the Magpies. Newcastle's dominance includes impressive results like the 5-1 thrashing in 2022 and consistent home victories. The head-to-head record shows high-scoring affairs, with both teams regularly finding the net in this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Newcastle

9 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
D
L
W
D
L
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L

Form Rating

5/10

Newcastle Form Analysis

Trending

Newcastle's form has deteriorated significantly, managing just two wins in their last ten Premier League...

Newcastle's form has deteriorated significantly, managing just two wins in their last ten Premier League matches. The 4-1 defeat at Liverpool and 2-0 home loss to Aston Villa exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Their attacking threat remains with 33 goals scored, but they've conceded the same amount, highlighting inconsistency. Key absences of Joelinton and Schar severely weaken their spine, while Bruno Guimaraes' ankle injury threatens their midfield creativity. The high fatigue risk from Champions League duties against PSG and League Cup semi-final defeats to Manchester City compounds their problems. Alexander Isak remains their main goal threat despite the surrounding struggles.

Brentford

13 of 15 in Premier League

W
L
L
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
D
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

5.3/10

Brentford Form Analysis

Analysis

Brentford has shown impressive resilience, winning three of their last six league matches including a...

Brentford has shown impressive resilience, winning three of their last six league matches including a statement 1-0 victory at Aston Villa. Their 36 points from 24 games represents solid mid-table form, with Ivan Toney's return adding attacking impetus. The Bees have demonstrated character in big moments, though they've struggled against top-six opposition recently. Key injuries to Fabio Carvalho and Josh Dasilva limit their options, while Kevin Schade's suspension removes another attacking threat. However, their superior rest advantage and lower fixture congestion compared to Newcastle provides a significant physical edge. Thomas Frank's tactical flexibility has served them well in similar away fixtures.

shieldNewcastle7

  • Joelinton profile photo

    Joelinton

    Injury
    Out
  • F. Schar profile photo

    F. Schar

    Injury
    Out
  • E. Krafth profile photo

    E. Krafth

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • Bruno Guimaraes profile photo

    Bruno Guimaraes

    Ankle Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Gordon profile photo

    A. Gordon

    Injury
    Questionable
JoelintonNewcastle
F. ScharNewcastle
E. KrafthNewcastle
Bruno GuimaraesNewcastle
A. GordonNewcastle
V. LivramentoNewcastle
L. MileyNewcastle

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldBrentford4

  • J. Dasilva profile photo

    J. Dasilva

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Carvalho profile photo

    F. Carvalho

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • K. Schade profile photo

    K. Schade

    Red Card
    Out
  • A. Milambo profile photo

    A. Milambo

    Knee Injury
    Out
J. DasilvaBrentford
F. CarvalhoBrentford
K. SchadeBrentford
A. MilamboBrentford

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.