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Newcastle
Newcastle9th in Premier League (9-5-7)
VS
Aston Villa
Aston Villa3rd in Premier League (13-4-4)

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Sunday, Jan 25, 2026 · --:--

St. James' Park

Final
Newcastle
0–2
Aston Villa

Aston Villa won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction highlights a fascinating Premier League preview between two teams in contrasting form. Newcastle sits 9th with 32 points, showing impressive home strength with seven wins from eleven at St. James' Park. The Magies have won three of their last five league matches, including a thrilling 4-3 victory over Leeds and solid wins against Crystal Palace and Burnley. Aston Villa occupies 3rd place with 43 points but arrives on Merseyside having drawn their last league outing 0-0 at Crystal Palace. Villa's away form has been inconsistent, managing just five wins from eleven road trips this season. Key injuries plague both sides - Newcastle miss defenders Botman and Lascelles, while Villa are without Pau Torres and Tyrone Mings. Our expert picks favor the home advantage, with Newcastle's St. James' Park fortress proving decisive. These free tips suggest backing the Magpies to capitalize on Villa's travel struggles and maintain their strong home record in this crucial mid-table clash.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Newcastle9-5-742.9%
Aston Villa13-4-461.9%
Goals Scored
Newcastle32
Aston Villa33
Goals Conceded
Newcastle27
Aston Villa24
Goal Difference
Newcastle+5
Aston Villa+9

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa - Match Analysis

Why is Newcastle strongly favored in this match despite Villa's higher league position?

Newcastle's home advantage at St. James' Park is crucial, having won seven of eleven home games this season. Villa's away form shows just five wins from eleven trips, highlighting their travel struggles. The Magpies have historically dominated this fixture at home, winning four of the last six meetings at St. James' Park. Newcastle's recent attacking displays and Villa's defensive injury crisis to Torres and Mings further strengthen the home side's prospects.

What alternative bets should I consider for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' attacking quality and defensive injuries. Newcastle's recent 4-3 win over Leeds and historical high-scoring encounters with Villa support this market. Both Teams to Score is another strong option, considering Villa's away attacking threat despite their inconsistent form. Draw No Bet on Newcastle provides safer exposure to their home advantage while protecting against Villa's quality.

How do the defensive injuries affect this prediction?

Both teams face significant defensive absences that should create goal-scoring opportunities. Newcastle miss key center-backs Botman and Lascelles, while Villa are without Pau Torres and Tyrone Mings. These injuries favor attacking markets like Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score. However, Newcastle's home advantage and superior recent form suggest they're better positioned to cope with their defensive issues than Villa are with their away struggles.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Newcastle (5)Draws (2)Aston Villa (3)
Aug 16, 25
(H)Aston Villa0 - 0Newcastle(A)
D
Apr 19, 25
(H)Aston Villa4 - 1Newcastle(A)
H
Dec 26, 24
(H)Newcastle3 - 0Aston Villa(A)
H
Jan 30, 24
(H)Aston Villa1 - 3Newcastle(A)
A
Aug 12, 23
(H)Newcastle5 - 1Aston Villa(A)
H
Jul 23, 23
(H)Newcastle3 - 3Aston Villa(A)
D
Apr 15, 23
(H)Aston Villa3 - 0Newcastle(A)
H
Oct 29, 22
(H)Newcastle4 - 0Aston Villa(A)
H
Feb 13, 22
(H)Newcastle1 - 0Aston Villa(A)
H
Aug 21, 21
(H)Aston Villa2 - 0Newcastle(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters between these sides have been goal-heavy affairs. In their last meeting this season, the teams played out a...

Recent encounters between these sides have been goal-heavy affairs. In their last meeting this season, the teams played out a 0-0 stalemate at Villa Park in August 2025. However, looking back to 2024, Newcastle dominated with a 3-0 home victory and Villa responded with a 4-1 win at their ground. The historical pattern shows Newcastle's home advantage is significant, with the Magpies winning four of the last six meetings at St. James' Park, including emphatic victories of 5-1 and 4-0 in recent seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Newcastle

10 of 15 in Premier League

L
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

Newcastle Form Analysis

Trending

Newcastle's recent form shows three wins from their last five Premier League matches, demonstrating resilience...

Newcastle's recent form shows three wins from their last five Premier League matches, demonstrating resilience after early season struggles. The 4-3 thriller against Leeds showcased their attacking prowess, while clean sheet victories over Crystal Palace (2-0) and away at Burnley (3-1) highlight improved defensive solidity. At St. James' Park, they've been formidable with seven wins from eleven home games, scoring 23 goals while conceding just 10. However, defensive injuries to Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles create vulnerability at the back. Alexander Isak has been their standout performer, leading the line effectively when fit. The Magpies' home crowd provides significant energy, making St. James' Park a difficult venue for visiting teams.

Aston Villa

11 of 15 in Premier League

W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

9/10

Aston Villa Form Analysis

Analysis

Aston Villa's form has plateaued recently, managing just one win in their last four Premier...

Aston Villa's form has plateaued recently, managing just one win in their last four Premier League outings. The goalless draw at Crystal Palace highlighted their struggles to break down organized defenses. Despite sitting third in the table, Villa's away record of five wins from eleven matches suggests inconsistency on the road. Their attacking threat remains potent with Ollie Watkins and John McGinn providing creativity, but defensive injuries to Pau Torres and Tyrone Mings weaken their backline significantly. Villa's European commitments in the Europa League may also impact freshness, though they have 14 days rest before this fixture. Unai Emery's tactical flexibility will be tested against Newcastle's aggressive home approach.

shieldNewcastle10

  • K. Trippier profile photo

    K. Trippier

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • F. Schar profile photo

    F. Schar

    Injury
    Questionable
  • E. Krafth profile photo

    E. Krafth

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Lascelles profile photo

    J. Lascelles

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • D. Burn profile photo

    D. Burn

    Chest Injury
    Out
K. TrippierNewcastle
F. ScharNewcastle
E. KrafthNewcastle
J. LascellesNewcastle
D. BurnNewcastle
J. MurphyNewcastle
S. BotmanNewcastle
A. ElangaNewcastle
V. LivramentoNewcastle
W. OsulaNewcastle

Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries

shieldAston Villa8

  • B. Kamara profile photo

    B. Kamara

    Injury
    Questionable
  • R. Barkley profile photo

    R. Barkley

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • T. Mings profile photo

    T. Mings

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • E. Martinez profile photo

    E. Martinez

    Injury
    Questionable
  • P. Torres profile photo

    P. Torres

    Calf Injury
    Out
B. KamaraAston Villa
R. BarkleyAston Villa
T. MingsAston Villa
E. MartinezAston Villa
P. TorresAston Villa
E. GuessandAston Villa
A. OnanaAston Villa
AlyssonAston Villa

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.