Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Manchester United25%
- Draw25%
- Manchester City50%
Analysis
Our AI model strongly favors Manchester City based on comprehensive probability analysis of current form, head-to-head records, and squad availability. The 11-point gap in the Premier League table reflects genuine quality differences between these sides. City's superior goal difference (+26 vs +4) indicates more consistent performances throughout the season. United's injury crisis, particularly losing Fernandes and key defenders, severely weakens their competitive edge. The model calculates City's away strength and tactical superiority under Guardiola should overcome any home advantage United might possess.






















