Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Manchester United45%vs 63%-18%
- Draw30%vs 21%+9%
- Fulham25%vs 17%+8%
Analysis
Our AI model favors Manchester United based on home advantage and superior league position, calculating a 45% probability for a home victory. The probability analysis considers United's strong Old Trafford record against mid-table opposition and their recent upturn in form. However, Fulham's excellent away record and historical success at Old Trafford keeps this prediction relatively close. The model weights United's attacking firepower at home heavily, while acknowledging Fulham's defensive improvements and counter-attacking threat. Key factors include United's injury concerns versus Fulham's away confidence.



















