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Anfield
Draw
Liverpool host Nottingham Forest at Anfield in a Premier League clash where the Reds enter as clear favourites. Arne Slot's side looks set to field a near-full-strength attacking unit, with Isak, Wirtz and Gakpo all expected to start, giving Liverpool a significant edge in quality and depth across the front line. Forest, by contrast, are without Yates and Savona, but neither is a guaranteed starter, meaning the visitors should still be able to name a competitive XI despite the setbacks.
The main driver behind Liverpool's favouritism is squad strength married to home advantage. Their underlying expected-goals numbers and recent attacking output support the case for a comfortable home platform, while Forest's away form away from the City Ground has historically been more fragile against top-six opposition. With no managerial upheaval or rotation concerns reported for either side, this fixture is shaping up as a straightforward test of class.
From a betting angle, Liverpool's implied win probability around 61% looks fair value given the mismatch in personnel, and backing the hosts on the match result or within a goals-based market could appeal to those seeking a low-variance selection. A Liverpool win with over 2.5 goals is worth monitoring given their attacking firepower.
Forest's best hope likely rests on disciplined defending and limiting transitions, but with Liverpool at near-full tactical strength, the draw and away win look less probable outcomes on paper.
Last 9 head-to-head matchups
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest have split recent meetings, with Forest actually winning the most recent encounter 1-0 in February 2026...
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest have split recent meetings, with Forest actually winning the most recent encounter 1-0 in February 2026 and stunning Liverpool 3-0 at Anfield in November 2025. Across the last two seasons the sides have traded results, including a 1-1 draw in January 2025. This history shows Forest are capable of springing upsets against Liverpool, even at Anfield, despite the current gulf in form and league position.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted
8 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
4.7/10
Liverpool opened the season with a 2-2 draw at Newcastle, conceding twice away from home...
Liverpool opened the season with a 2-2 draw at Newcastle, conceding twice away from home after taking a lead — a pattern that has crept into their pre-season form too, including a loss to Monaco and a heavy 4-2 defeat to Leeds in the Summer Series. The attack looks sharp enough, scoring in most recent outings, but the defense has looked unconvincing without the injured Ekitike and with center-back options thinned by injuries to Leoni and questions over Gomez. Mohamed Salah remains the player to watch as Liverpool's primary creative and goalscoring threat at Anfield, where they'll need a much tighter defensive display to see off Forest.
4 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
4.3/10
Nottingham Forest have lost their last two competitive matches without scoring a single goal, falling...
Nottingham Forest have lost their last two competitive matches without scoring a single goal, falling 1-0 to Leeds in the league and 2-0 to the same opponents in the League Cup. Their pre-season form was mixed with some notable friendly wins, but the inability to find the net in matches that count is a real concern heading to Anfield. Morgan Gibbs-White, their creative fulcrum, is questionable with a knee issue, which would further blunt an already toothless attack. Ryan Yates is also a doubt. With away form yet to be tested this season and a defense already breached in the opener, Forest look poorly placed to end their scoring drought against Liverpool.
2026/2027 Season
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest - Match Analysis
Liverpool sit five places above Forest with a +1.00 points-per-game advantage and home advantage at Anfield. Forest have failed to score in their last two matches, while Liverpool's attack has shown more life despite defensive lapses. Bookmakers price Liverpool at 62.1% to win, reflecting the clear gap in current form, squad quality, and recent scoring output between the two sides.
Liverpool have notable defensive absences, including Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, and a doubtful Joe Gomez, which weakened their backline in the Newcastle draw. Forest have also beaten Liverpool at Anfield before, most recently in November 2025 by a 3-0 scoreline, showing they're capable of an upset even as underdogs, especially if Liverpool's makeshift defense is exposed early.
Beyond the straight win, Draw No Bet: Liverpool protects against a shock draw or Forest upset while still backing the favorite. Under 2.5 Goals also has appeal given Forest's scoreless run in their last two matches. Both offer better risk-adjusted value than the outright moneyline given Liverpool's current defensive frailties.
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