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Ipswich
Ipswich13th in Premier League (0-0-0)
VS
Sunderland
Sunderland10th in Premier League (0-0-0)

Ipswich vs Sunderland

Saturday, Aug 22, 2026 · --:--

Portman Road

Final
Ipswich
2–1
Sunderland

Ipswich won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Ipswich Town host Sunderland in a Premier League fixture that looks as tight on paper as the market suggests. Both sides arrive with question marks, but neither carries a clear edge heading into this one. Bookmaker pricing remains close to even, reflecting genuine uncertainty about how the game will unfold.

Sunderland will be without defensive options Alderete and Mukiele, though manager Regis Le Bris has yet to confirm his starting XI, leaving the extent of the impact unclear. These are squad depth concerns rather than losses of key attacking personnel, so they shouldn't be overstated. Season-long underlying numbers show Sunderland with a healthier expected-goals output, but that data is aggregated across fixtures and doesn't speak directly to how they'll fare against this specific Ipswich setup.

Ipswich, meanwhile, have no notable fitness concerns reported, giving them a stable base to work from at home. Without a clear statistical or tactical trigger pointing to a home or away win, the balance of probabilities tilts toward a share of the points.

Given the low confidence in either side imposing itself and the near-even market pricing, the draw represents the most defensible outcome. Backing the stalemate or exploring correct-score and double-chance markets around a draw may offer better value than committing to a straight match-winner in this evenly poised Premier League clash.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Ipswich (4)Draws (2)Sunderland (4)
Jan 13, 24
(H)Ipswich2 - 1Sunderland(A)
H
Aug 6, 23
(H)Sunderland1 - 2Ipswich(A)
A
Dec 18, 21
(H)Ipswich1 - 1Sunderland(A)
D
Nov 20, 21
(H)Sunderland2 - 0Ipswich(A)
H
Jan 26, 21
(H)Ipswich0 - 1Sunderland(A)
A
Nov 3, 20
(H)Sunderland2 - 1Ipswich(A)
H
Feb 8, 20
(H)Sunderland1 - 0Ipswich(A)
H
Aug 10, 19
(H)Ipswich1 - 1Sunderland(A)
D
Feb 3, 18
(H)Sunderland0 - 2Ipswich(A)
A
Sep 26, 17
(H)Ipswich5 - 2Sunderland(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The head-to-head record between Ipswich and Sunderland stretches back further than the permitted two-year window, with the most recent meeting...

The head-to-head record between Ipswich and Sunderland stretches back further than the permitted two-year window, with the most recent meeting occurring in January 2024 — a 2-1 Ipswich win at Portman Road. Since no encounters have taken place within the last two years, there is no recent head-to-head pattern to draw upon here, so this preview leans more heavily on current form and market pricing rather than historical trends between these two clubs.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Ipswich

0 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
W
W
D

Form Rating

6.7/10

Ipswich Form Analysis

Trending

Ipswich's official league statistics show zero games played this season, but their pre-season form was...

Ipswich's official league statistics show zero games played this season, but their pre-season form was encouraging, winning four of six friendlies with routs of Rayo Vallecano and Le Havre. They did suffer defeats to Oxford United and Osasuna, suggesting some inconsistency remains. Last season's Championship form featured a mix of wins and draws, including a comfortable 3-0 win over QPR. Injury doubts over Matusiwa and Taylor could affect squad depth in midfield and defense. Ipswich will be looking to their attacking players to carry momentum from pre-season into their Premier League opener at home, where they'll want to make Portman Road count.

Sunderland

9 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
D
D
L
L
W
W
L

Form Rating

6/10

Sunderland Form Analysis

Analysis

Sunderland also show no recorded league statistics yet, but their pre-season form has been strong,...

Sunderland also show no recorded league statistics yet, but their pre-season form has been strong, with wins over Rennes and Lens in their last two outings. Last season featured some standout results, including a 2-1 win over Chelsea and a 3-1 victory at Everton, though they were also thrashed 5-0 by Nottingham Forest and lost 4-3 to Aston Villa, hinting at defensive fragility on their day. The loss of Adingra to a foot injury is a blow to their attacking options. Sunderland will need their more clinical performers to step up if they're to secure an opening-day win on the road.

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Ipswich0-0-00.0%
Sunderland0-0-00.0%
Goals Scored
Ipswich0
Sunderland0
Goals Conceded
Ipswich0
Sunderland0

shieldIpswich2

  • J. Taylor profile photo

    J. Taylor

    Knee Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Matusiwa profile photo

    A. Matusiwa

    Injury
    Questionable
J. TaylorIpswich
A. MatusiwaIpswich

shieldSunderland1

  • S. Adingra profile photo

    S. Adingra

    Foot Injury
    Out
S. AdingraSunderland

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Strong Pick

Chelsea vs Hull City

Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM

AI: Chelsea74%
High Value

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM

AI: Crystal Palace42%
Close Match

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM

AI: Aston Villa47%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Goal Difference
Ipswich0
Sunderland0

Ipswich vs Sunderland - Match Analysis

Why is this Ipswich vs Sunderland match considered such a close contest?

Bookmakers have priced this match almost as a dead heat — Sunderland at 36.2%, Ipswich at 35.0%, and the draw at 28.8%. Neither club has played a competitive league match yet this season, so there's no hard statistical separation between them. Their position gap of five places and similar pre-season form results reinforce just how unpredictable this opening-day fixture looks heading into kickoff.

What alternative bets should I consider for Ipswich vs Sunderland?

Given the tight market pricing, Double Chance: Sunderland or Draw offers value by hedging against an Ipswich upset while capturing the away side's slight edge. The draw itself, priced at implied odds near 28.8%, also looks like a smart bet for value-focused bettors given how evenly matched these teams appear. Over 2.5 Goals is worth watching given both sides' free-scoring pre-season form.

What are the stakes of this game for both teams?

As an opening-day Premier League fixture, both Ipswich and Sunderland will want to start the season with momentum and early points on the board. Neither club currently sits in a comfortable top-half position based on last season's context, so early results matter for confidence and squad morale as they settle into life in the Premier League this campaign.

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