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Ipswich
Ipswich8th in Premier League (1-0-0)
VS
Liverpool
Liverpool10th in Premier League (0-1-0)

Ipswich vs Liverpool

Friday, Sep 4, 2026 · --:--

Portman Road

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AI Confidence: 52%
Ipswich21%Draw 27%Liverpool52%

AI Predicted Winner

Liverpool

52%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Ipswich vs Liverpool prediction: this Premier League clash at Portman Road pits a promoted side full of early confidence against a Liverpool team still finding its rhythm. Ipswich sit eighth after a battling 2-1 home win over Sunderland, backed up by a 3-1 League Cup victory over Leicester, giving the manager momentum going into a daunting fixture.

Liverpool, meanwhile, drew 2-2 at Newcastle in their opener and have shown defensive fragility in preseason, conceding freely against Como and Monaco. Injuries to Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Joe Gomez, Giovanni Leoni, and Federico Chiesa strip real depth from the visitors' spine.

Despite Ipswich's bright start, the class gap remains significant. Liverpool's squad quality and away pedigree make them clear favorites at 59.5% implied probability, and recent head-to-head meetings—a 4-1 and 2-0 win for Liverpool—reinforce that trend.

Expect goals at both ends given Liverpool's leaky defense and Ipswich's attacking intent, but Liverpool's superior firepower should be enough to see them through. The pick here is a Liverpool win, though the market's high draw probability (22.1%) and Ipswich's home form suggest this won't be one-sided. Backing Liverpool while respecting Ipswich's ability to make it competitive is the smart approach for this matchup.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Ipswich1-0-0100.0%
Liverpool0-1-00.0%
Goals Scored
Ipswich2
Liverpool2
Goals Conceded
Ipswich1
Liverpool2
Goal Difference
Ipswich+1
Liverpool0

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 2 head-to-head matchups

Ipswich (0)Liverpool (2)
Jan 25, 25
(H)Liverpool4 - 1Ipswich(A)
H
Aug 17, 24
(H)Ipswich0 - 2Liverpool(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The last two meetings between these sides both went Liverpool's way. In January 2025, Liverpool thrashed Ipswich 4-1 at Anfield,...

The last two meetings between these sides both went Liverpool's way. In January 2025, Liverpool thrashed Ipswich 4-1 at Anfield, and in August 2024 they won 2-0 at Portman Road. Liverpool have scored six goals across these two fixtures without conceding more than once in a single game, a clear pattern of home and away dominance that underlines their comfort against Ipswich in recent seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Ipswich

1 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
W

Form Rating

7/10

Ipswich Form Analysis

Trending

Ipswich have started strongly, winning their Premier League opener 2-1 against Sunderland and following it...

Ipswich have started strongly, winning their Premier League opener 2-1 against Sunderland and following it with a 3-1 League Cup win over Leicester. Their preseason form was excellent too, with four straight wins including a 4-2 win over Union Berlin. The attack has been sharp, though they've shown defensive vulnerability, conceding in most recent fixtures. Injuries to Matusiwa, Taylor, and Florentino thin their squad options. Watch their front line, which has scored freely in three of their last four matches and will look to exploit space against a shaky Liverpool backline.

Liverpool

8 of 15 in Premier League

D
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
D
L
W
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Liverpool Form Analysis

Analysis

Liverpool opened with a 2-2 draw at Newcastle, extending a wobbly run that includes draws...

Liverpool opened with a 2-2 draw at Newcastle, extending a wobbly run that includes draws and losses across their preseason schedule. Defensively they've been open, conceding multiple goals in several recent outings, a concerning trend against attacking sides. Key absentees Ekitike and Chiesa weaken their forward options, while Bradley, Gomez, and Leoni are out defensively too. Despite the underwhelming form, their overall squad quality and away pedigree keep them favorites. One player to watch is whoever leads the line in Ekitike's absence, as Liverpool need someone to convert their created chances.

shieldIpswich3

  • Florentino profile photo

    Florentino

    Inactive
    Out
  • J. Taylor profile photo

    J. Taylor

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Matusiwa profile photo

    A. Matusiwa

    Injury
    Out
FlorentinoIpswich
J. TaylorIpswich
A. MatusiwaIpswich

shieldLiverpool5

  • J. Gomez profile photo

    J. Gomez

    Injury
    Out
  • F. Chiesa profile photo

    F. Chiesa

    Back Injury
    Out
  • H. Ekitike profile photo

    H. Ekitike

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • C. Bradley profile photo

    C. Bradley

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Leoni profile photo

    G. Leoni

    Knee Injury
    Out
J. GomezLiverpool
F. ChiesaLiverpool
H. EkitikeLiverpool
C. BradleyLiverpool
G. LeoniLiverpool

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Ipswich vs Liverpool - Match Analysis

Why is Liverpool favored despite their underwhelming recent form?

Liverpool are favored largely due to squad quality and points-per-game superiority over Ipswich, even after a draw at Newcastle. Bookmakers still see them as clearly stronger overall, reflected in the 59.5% implied win probability. However, their defensive issues and multiple injuries mean this isn't a lock, and Ipswich's home form makes this a live fixture rather than a formality.

What alternative bets should I consider for Ipswich vs Liverpool?

Over 2.5 Goals is an appealing alternative given both teams have shown attacking form and defensive lapses early this season. Draw No Bet: Liverpool is another sensible option for those wanting exposure to Liverpool's superior quality while removing draw risk. Both markets offer better risk-adjusted value than backing Liverpool outright at short odds.

How much does Liverpool's injury list affect this matchup?

Liverpool are missing key contributors including Ekitike, Chiesa, Bradley, Gomez, and Leoni, which weakens both their attack and defense. This makes their away trip to Portman Road less straightforward than the bookmakers' odds imply, and gives Ipswich, playing with home confidence, a genuine chance to cause an upset or at least secure a point.

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