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Hull City
Hull City8th in Premier League (2-2-1)
VS
Everton
Everton7th in Premier League (2-3-0)

Hull City vs Everton

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026 · --:--

MKM Stadium

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AI Confidence: 34%
Hull City27%Draw 34%Everton39%

AI Predicted Winner

Draw

34%

#Confidence

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SportsbookHull CityDraw✦ AI PickEverton
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AI Match Analysis

Hull City vs Everton prediction: this Premier League clash at MKM Stadium pits two unbeaten-in-four sides against each other, with both teams sitting close in the table and separated by just a single place.

Hull City have been solid at home, unbeaten in their two home league games this season, but their overall form shows one loss in five and a tendency to draw games rather than win them. Everton arrive unbeaten in five matches, with three draws in their last four, a pattern that underlines their defensive resilience but also goal-shy tendencies in tight contests.

Everton's away form has been draw-heavy too, with both away league matches this season ending level, suggesting this fixture could easily follow the same script. Hull City's home record remains unbeaten, but their only win was against bottom club Manchester United's slump period, not top-half quality like Everton. The bookmakers rate Everton as favorites at 45.2% implied probability, but the high combined draw rate of both sides (50%) makes a stalemate a genuine threat to backers expecting a clean away win.

Given Everton's superior defensive numbers and Hull's inconsistency in front of goal, the away side should edge this, but the draw prediction carries real weight given recent patterns. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Everton's control proving narrowly decisive.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Hull City2-2-140.0%
Everton2-3-040.0%
Goals Scored
Hull City6
Everton6
Goals Conceded
Hull City4
Everton3
Goal Difference
Hull City+2
Everton+3

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All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Hull City (1)Draws (2)Everton (4)
Jan 8, 22
(H)Hull City2 - 3Everton(A)
A
Mar 18, 17
(H)Everton4 - 0Hull City(A)
H
Dec 30, 16
(H)Hull City2 - 2Everton(A)
D
Jan 1, 15
(H)Hull City2 - 0Everton(A)
H
Dec 3, 14
(H)Everton1 - 1Hull City(A)
D
May 11, 14
(H)Hull City0 - 2Everton(A)
A
Oct 19, 13
(H)Everton2 - 1Hull City(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These sides last met in FA Cup action back in January 2022, when the away side won 3-2, with no...

These sides last met in FA Cup action back in January 2022, when the away side won 3-2, with no Premier League meetings between them in the last two years. The historical head-to-head is dated and holds little bearing on current form. Both squads have changed significantly since their last top-flight encounter in 2017, meaning this analysis leans heavily on current-season data rather than past meetings, which should be treated as a minor factor at best.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Hull City

5 of 15 in Premier League

L
D
L
D
W
W
W
D
L
D
W
W
D
W
W

Form Rating

6.3/10

Hull City Form Analysis

Trending

Hull City have picked up two wins, two draws and one loss across their last...

Hull City have picked up two wins, two draws and one loss across their last five matches, showing resilience but also a lack of cutting edge going forward with just 1.2 goals scored per game. Their home form is unbeaten through two matches this season, built on a solid defensive base with three clean sheets overall. However, the squad is dealing with a lengthy injury list, including defensive and midfield absences that could affect squad depth and rotation options. Hull will need their home atmosphere to unsettle a confident Everton side, and their ability to frustrate stronger opponents will be key to grinding out a result here.

Everton

6 of 15 in Premier League

W
W
D
D
D
W
W
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L

Form Rating

6.3/10

Everton Form Analysis

Analysis

Everton remain unbeaten in five matches, though three draws in their last four suggest a...

Everton remain unbeaten in five matches, though three draws in their last four suggest a side that is hard to beat but equally hard-pressed to convert control into victories. Their defense has been the standout feature, conceding just 0.6 goals per game with three clean sheets, while two injury concerns in midfield are relatively minor compared to Hull's absentee list. Everton's away form has yielded two draws from two matches, reinforcing a pattern of solidity without home firepower. Their composure and defensive discipline make them tough to break down, and they'll look to replicate that away-day resilience against a Hull side missing key personnel.

shieldHull City8

  • J. Butland profile photo

    J. Butland

    Arm Injury
    Out
  • M. Targett profile photo

    M. Targett

    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • H. Morita profile photo

    H. Morita

    Calf Injury
    Out
  • E. Matazo profile photo

    E. Matazo

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • D. Gyabi profile photo

    D. Gyabi

    Groin Injury
    Out
J. ButlandHull City
M. TargettHull City
H. MoritaHull City
E. MatazoHull City
D. GyabiHull City
C. HughesHull City
N. MendyHull City
I. AnsahHull City

Showing 1-5 of 8 injuries

shieldEverton2

  • C. Norgaard profile photo

    C. Norgaard

    Injury
    Out
  • M. Rohl profile photo

    M. Rohl

    Injury
    Out
C. NorgaardEverton
M. RohlEverton

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Hull City vs Everton - Match Analysis

Why is Everton favored over Hull City despite both teams being unbeaten in recent matches?

Everton's edge comes down to defensive consistency, conceding just 0.6 goals per game compared to Hull's 0.8, plus a slightly better points-per-game average. Bookmakers also factor in Everton's one-place higher league position and stronger underlying quality. However, Everton's draw-heavy recent form, three in four games, tempers how dominant this favorite tag really is, making this far from a guaranteed away win.

What alternative bets should I consider for Hull City vs Everton?

Under 2.5 Goals looks appealing given both sides' tight, low-scoring recent matches and strong defensive records. Draw No Bet: Everton is also worth considering for bettors wanting exposure to the favorite without the risk of losing on a stalemate, since Everton's away form this season has produced two draws from two games rather than clear wins.

How does recent draw-heavy form affect the prediction for this match?

Both sides have combined for a 50% draw rate recently, with Everton drawing three of their last four and Hull City drawing two of their last five. This pattern strongly suggests a tightly contested, low-event match rather than a one-sided affair. It's a key reason the draw carries real weight in this prediction, even with Everton favored to edge the result.

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