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Craven Cottage
Fulham won
The Fulham vs Burnley prediction strongly favors the home side in this crucial Premier League preview. Fulham sits 11th with 41 points, while relegation-threatened Burnley languishes in 19th with just 20 points. The bookmaker consensus reflects this gulf, pricing Fulham at 61% to win. Fulham's home form has been solid with eight wins from 15 matches, averaging 1.33 goals scored per game. Their recent victory over Tottenham (2-1) showcased their ability to capitalize on home advantage. Burnley's away record tells a dire story - just two wins in 15 road trips, conceding 1.93 goals per game. Key injuries plague the visitors, with striker Z. Amdouni and defender A. Tuanzebe sidelined. The Clarets' recent form shows one win in ten league matches, highlighting their relegation battle desperation. Our AI model identifies significant value in backing Fulham, with expert picks suggesting this represents excellent football tips today for punters seeking smart betting opportunities.
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Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters favor Fulham decisively. In their last meeting this season, Fulham won 3-2 at Turf Moor in December 2025,...
Recent encounters favor Fulham decisively. In their last meeting this season, Fulham won 3-2 at Turf Moor in December 2025, overturning a deficit to secure victory. The 2023-24 season saw mixed results with a 2-2 draw at Burnley and Burnley winning 2-0 at Craven Cottage. However, Fulham's superior current form and home advantage suggest they hold the psychological edge heading into this fixture.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted
12 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
5/10
Fulham enters with mixed recent form but strong home foundations. They've won eight of 15...
Fulham enters with mixed recent form but strong home foundations. They've won eight of 15 home matches this season, including impressive victories over Chelsea (2-1) and Tottenham (2-1) at Craven Cottage. Their attacking output averages 1.33 goals per game, while defensively they've been vulnerable, conceding 1.43 per match. Recent draws against Nottingham Forest (0-0) and losses to West Ham show inconsistency, but their home record remains solid. Key player Kevin is injured, but Fulham's squad depth should cope. Manager Marco Silva will target three points to push toward mid-table security.
13 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
3.3/10
Burnley's form screams relegation trouble with just four wins all season. Their away record is...
Burnley's form screams relegation trouble with just four wins all season. Their away record is catastrophic - two victories in 15 attempts, scoring merely 0.53 goals per road game while shipping 1.67. Recent results include defeats to Everton (2-0) and Brentford (4-3), plus a goalless draw with Bournemouth. Multiple key injuries compound their problems: striker Amdouni, defenders Tuanzebe and Beyer all unavailable. With 20 points from 30 games, they're averaging just 0.67 points per match. Manager Vincent Kompany faces mounting pressure as the Clarets desperately need points to avoid Championship football.
2025/2026 Season
Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Fulham vs Burnley - Match Analysis
Fulham enjoys a massive 8-position league advantage (11th vs 19th) and superior points-per-game differential of 0.70. Their solid home record (8 wins in 15) contrasts sharply with Burnley's dismal away form (2 wins in 15). Add Burnley's injury crisis affecting key players like Amdouni and Tuanzebe, plus their relegation desperation, and Fulham's 61% win probability becomes justified.
Fulham -1 Asian Handicap offers excellent value given Burnley's defensive struggles away from home (1.67 goals conceded per road game). Over 2.5 Goals is another strong option with both teams averaging 2.4 goals combined per match. Both Teams to Score could also appeal, as Fulham's home defense has been vulnerable while Burnley occasionally finds the net despite their struggles.
Burnley's injury list severely weakens their already struggling squad. Key striker Z. Amdouni is unavailable, reducing their limited attacking threat further. Defensive injuries to A. Tuanzebe and J. Beyer compound problems for a side already conceding heavily on the road. With questionable fitness for M. Esteve and M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, Burnley's defensive stability looks compromised against Fulham's home attack.
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