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Everton
Everton8th in Premier League (13-8-11)
VS
Liverpool
Liverpool5th in Premier League (15-7-10)

Everton vs Liverpool

Sunday, Apr 19, 2026 · --:--

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Final
Everton
1–2
Liverpool

Liverpool won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Everton vs Liverpool prediction centers on a fascinating Merseyside derby where bookmakers favor the visitors despite home advantage. Liverpool's superior league position (5th vs 8th) and stronger attacking output (1.62 vs 1.22 goals per game) support their 41.2% market probability. However, Everton's recent home form shows promise with impressive victories over Chelsea (3-0) and Burnley (2-0) at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Liverpool arrives with significant injury concerns including goalkeeper Alisson and key midfielder Endo, plus fatigue from Champions League elimination to PSG just five days ago. This Premier League preview highlights a derby where form meets fixture congestion. Our expert picks suggest Liverpool's quality should prevail, but Everton's home resilience and Liverpool's depleted squad create genuine value in alternative markets. These free tips focus on a match where both teams need points - Liverpool for Champions League qualification, Everton for European contention.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Everton (2)Draws (2)Liverpool (6)
Sep 20, 25
(H)Liverpool2 - 1Everton(A)
H
Apr 2, 25
(H)Liverpool1 - 0Everton(A)
H
Feb 12, 25
(H)Everton2 - 2Liverpool(A)
D
Apr 24, 24
(H)Everton2 - 0Liverpool(A)
H
Oct 21, 23
(H)Liverpool2 - 0Everton(A)
H
Feb 13, 23
(H)Liverpool2 - 0Everton(A)
H
Sep 3, 22
(H)Everton0 - 0Liverpool(A)
D
Apr 24, 22
(H)Liverpool2 - 0Everton(A)
H
Dec 1, 21
(H)Everton1 - 4Liverpool(A)
A
Feb 20, 21
(H)Liverpool0 - 2Everton(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent Merseyside derbies heavily favor Liverpool with four wins from the last five meetings since 2024. Liverpool dominated at Anfield...

Recent Merseyside derbies heavily favor Liverpool with four wins from the last five meetings since 2024. Liverpool dominated at Anfield in September 2025 (2-1) and secured a crucial 1-0 victory in April 2025. The only bright spot for Everton was their stunning 2-0 home victory in April 2024, proving they can upset their neighbors when conditions align. Liverpool's superior quality typically shows in this fixture, but Everton's occasional home heroics keep the derby unpredictable.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Everton

14 of 15 in Premier League

D
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Everton Form Analysis

Trending

Everton's recent form shows encouraging signs with three wins from their last five league matches....

Everton's recent form shows encouraging signs with three wins from their last five league matches. Their home performances have been particularly impressive, dismantling Chelsea 3-0 and Burnley 2-0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Toffees have found defensive solidity with 11 clean sheets in 32 games, though their attack remains inconsistent at 1.22 goals per game. Key injuries to Jack Grealish (foot) and Carlos Alcaraz (questionable) could limit their creative options. With seven days' rest since their last match, Everton will be physically fresh for this crucial derby encounter.

Liverpool

8 of 15 in Premier League

L
W
L
L
L
W
D
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

5/10

Liverpool Form Analysis

Analysis

Liverpool's form has been disrupted by European commitments, suffering Champions League elimination to PSG with...

Liverpool's form has been disrupted by European commitments, suffering Champions League elimination to PSG with defeats home and away. Their Premier League campaign shows inconsistency with just one win from their last three league matches, including a damaging 2-1 loss at Brighton. The injury list is extensive - Alisson, Bajcetic, Bradley, Ekitike, Endo, and Gomez all missing. With only four days' rest since the PSG defeat, fatigue could be a significant factor. Despite these concerns, Liverpool's superior attacking threat (1.62 goals per game) and higher league position demonstrate their underlying quality remains intact.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Everton13-8-1140.6%
Liverpool15-7-1046.9%
Goals Scored
Everton39
Liverpool52
Goals Conceded
Everton37
Liverpool42

shieldEverton2

  • J. Grealish profile photo

    J. Grealish

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • C. Alcaraz profile photo

    C. Alcaraz

    Injury
    Questionable
J. GrealishEverton
C. AlcarazEverton

shieldLiverpool7

  • Alisson profile photo

    Alisson

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • J. Gomez profile photo

    J. Gomez

    Injury
    Out
  • W. Endo profile photo

    W. Endo

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • H. Ekitike profile photo

    H. Ekitike

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • C. Bradley profile photo

    C. Bradley

    Knee Injury
    Out
AlissonLiverpool
J. GomezLiverpool
W. EndoLiverpool
H. EkitikeLiverpool
C. BradleyLiverpool
S. BajceticLiverpool
G. LeoniLiverpool

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Goal Difference
Everton+2
Liverpool+10

Everton vs Liverpool - Match Analysis

Why might Liverpool struggle despite being favorites for this Merseyside derby?

Liverpool face significant challenges with seven key players injured including goalkeeper Alisson and midfielder Endo. They have only four days' rest after Champions League elimination to PSG, while Everton enjoyed seven days to prepare. Derby matches often favor the more motivated home side, and Everton's recent home victories over Chelsea and Burnley show they can upset bigger teams when conditions align perfectly.

What alternative bets should I consider for Everton vs Liverpool?

Draw No Bet: Liverpool offers safety while backing the better team. Under 2.5 Goals appeals given Liverpool's defensive injuries and derby tension. Both Teams to Score looks strong with Liverpool's attacking quality against Everton's improved home scoring. The Asian Handicap markets also provide value, with Liverpool +0.5 covering draws and wins at attractive odds.

How important is this match for both teams' season objectives?

This derby carries huge implications for both clubs. Liverpool (5th, 52 points) need wins to secure Champions League qualification, sitting just three points ahead of Chelsea. Everton (8th, 47 points) are pushing for European competition, with Conference League spots within reach. Derby pride adds extra motivation, but the league positions make this a crucial six-pointer for European ambitions.

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