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Everton
Everton8th in Premier League (12-7-11)
VS
Chelsea
Chelsea6th in Premier League (13-9-8)

Everton vs Chelsea

Saturday, Mar 21, 2026 · --:--

Hill Dickinson Stadium

Final
Everton
3–0
Chelsea

Everton won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Everton vs Chelsea prediction sees the Blues as clear favorites despite playing away from home. Chelsea sits 6th with 48 points, two places above 8th-placed Everton (43 points), though the gap is just five points. This Premier League preview highlights contrasting form patterns - Chelsea averaging 1.77 goals per game compared to Everton's modest 1.13. The Toffees have struggled at home this season, winning only five of 15 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Chelsea's superior attacking output and recent dominance in this fixture make them strong candidates for three points. Bookmaker consensus strongly favors the visitors at 44.7% probability. Key injuries affect both sides, with Chelsea missing Reece James and Levi Colwill, while Everton have doubts over Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski. Our expert picks align with market expectations, identifying value in Chelsea's away victory despite their recent Champions League elimination to PSG creating potential fatigue concerns with just three days' rest.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Everton12-7-1140.0%
Chelsea13-9-843.3%
Goals Scored
Everton34
Chelsea53
Goals Conceded
Everton35
Chelsea35
Goal Difference
Everton-1
Chelsea+18

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Everton vs Chelsea - Match Analysis

Why is Chelsea strongly favored despite playing away at Everton?

Chelsea's superior quality shines through multiple metrics - they average 1.77 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.13, sit two league positions higher, and have dominated recent head-to-head meetings. Everton's poor home record (5 wins in 15) contrasts with Chelsea's away resilience. The Blues' squad depth and attacking options give them clear advantages despite venue disadvantage and recent Champions League disappointment.

How do the defensive injuries affect both teams' chances?

Both sides face defensive concerns that could create an open game. Chelsea miss key defenders Reece James and Levi Colwill, while Everton have doubts over center-backs Branthwaite and Tarkowski. These absences favor Chelsea's superior attacking options, as their forward line should exploit Everton's makeshift defense more effectively than the Toffees can trouble Chelsea's depleted backline.

What alternative bets should I consider for Everton vs Chelsea?

Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given both teams' defensive injuries and Chelsea's attacking quality. Both Teams to Score appeals with Everton desperate for points at home and Chelsea's away defensive vulnerabilities. For safer options, Chelsea Draw No Bet provides insurance against a potential stalemate while maintaining good returns. The Asian Handicap Chelsea -0.5 offers similar protection with potentially enhanced odds.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Everton (2)Draws (3)Chelsea (5)
Dec 13, 25
(H)Chelsea2 - 0Everton(A)
H
Apr 26, 25
(H)Chelsea1 - 0Everton(A)
H
Dec 22, 24
(H)Everton0 - 0Chelsea(A)
D
Apr 15, 24
(H)Chelsea6 - 0Everton(A)
H
Dec 10, 23
(H)Everton2 - 0Chelsea(A)
H
Mar 18, 23
(H)Chelsea2 - 2Everton(A)
D
Aug 6, 22
(H)Everton0 - 1Chelsea(A)
A
May 1, 22
(H)Everton1 - 0Chelsea(A)
H
Dec 16, 21
(H)Chelsea1 - 1Everton(A)
D
Mar 8, 21
(H)Chelsea2 - 0Everton(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Chelsea have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last six encounters since 2024. The Blues secured a comfortable 2-0...

Chelsea have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last six encounters since 2024. The Blues secured a comfortable 2-0 victory at Stamford Bridge in December 2025, following their emphatic 6-0 thrashing of Everton in April 2024. Everton's only recent success came with a 2-0 home win in December 2023, but they've generally struggled against Chelsea's superior quality. The pattern shows Chelsea's attacking prowess consistently troubling Everton's defense, with the Toffees managing just two goals across their last three meetings.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Everton

14 of 15 in Premier League

L
W
W
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
L
W
D
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Everton Form Analysis

Trending

Everton's recent form shows inconsistency with mixed results across their last eight matches. They've won...

Everton's recent form shows inconsistency with mixed results across their last eight matches. They've won three, drawn two, and lost three, including a disappointing 2-0 defeat at Arsenal last weekend. The Toffees have been particularly vulnerable at home, winning just five of 15 matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium this season. Their attacking output remains concerning at 1.13 goals per game, while defensively they've conceded 35 goals in 30 matches. Key defensive injuries to Branthwaite and Tarkowski could further weaken their backline. Jack Grealish's foot injury removes creativity from midfield, limiting their ability to create chances against quality opposition.

Chelsea

8 of 15 in Premier League

L
L
L
W
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

6/10

Chelsea Form Analysis

Analysis

Chelsea arrive following a disappointing 3-0 Champions League defeat to PSG, which eliminated them from...

Chelsea arrive following a disappointing 3-0 Champions League defeat to PSG, which eliminated them from European competition. However, their Premier League form has been more encouraging, with the Blues unbeaten in their last four league matches before the Newcastle loss. They average 1.77 goals per game, significantly higher than Everton's output, and have shown resilience with 13 wins from 30 matches. The absence of Reece James and Levi Colwill weakens their defensive options, while Mykhailo Mudryk's suspension removes pace from their attack. Despite recent setbacks, Chelsea's superior squad depth and attacking quality give them clear advantages over struggling Everton.

shieldEverton5

  • J. Tarkowski profile photo

    J. Tarkowski

    Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Branthwaite profile photo

    J. Branthwaite

    Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Grealish profile photo

    J. Grealish

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • C. Alcaraz profile photo

    C. Alcaraz

    Injury
    Out
  • T. George profile photo

    T. George

    Loan agreement
    Out
J. TarkowskiEverton
J. BranthwaiteEverton
J. GrealishEverton
C. AlcarazEverton
T. GeorgeEverton

shieldChelsea5

  • R. James profile photo

    R. James

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • M. Mudryk profile photo

    M. Mudryk

    Suspended
    Out
  • L. Colwill profile photo

    L. Colwill

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Jorgensen profile photo

    F. Jorgensen

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • J. Gittens profile photo

    J. Gittens

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
R. JamesChelsea
M. MudrykChelsea
L. ColwillChelsea
F. JorgensenChelsea
J. GittensChelsea

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.