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Chelsea
Chelsea5th in Premier League (12-8-6)
VS
Burnley
Burnley19th in Premier League (4-6-16)

Chelsea vs Burnley

Saturday, Feb 21, 2026 · --:--

Stamford Bridge

Final
Chelsea
1–1
Burnley

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Chelsea vs Burnley prediction favors the Blues for a commanding home victory at Stamford Bridge. This Premier League preview highlights a massive gulf in class and form between fifth-placed Chelsea (44 points) and relegation-battling Burnley (18 points). Chelsea enters this fixture riding excellent momentum with four wins in their last five league matches, including impressive victories over Crystal Palace (3-1) and Wolves (3-1). Their attacking prowess has been evident with 47 goals scored this season. Burnley sits rock-bottom with just four wins all season, struggling defensively with 51 goals conceded. Key injuries plague both sides, with Chelsea missing Mudryk (suspended) and Colwill (knee), while Burnley lacks several players including Amdouni and Roberts. Our expert picks strongly favor Chelsea to secure all three points, making this one of today's most confident football tips today.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Chelsea12-8-646.2%
Burnley4-6-1615.4%
Goals Scored
Chelsea47
Burnley28
Goals Conceded
Chelsea30
Burnley51
Goal Difference
Chelsea+17
Burnley-23

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Chelsea vs Burnley - Match Analysis

Why is Chelsea so heavily favored against Burnley at Stamford Bridge?

Chelsea sits 26 points ahead of bottom-placed Burnley in the Premier League table, reflecting a massive quality gap. The Blues have won four of their last five league matches while Burnley has managed just four wins all season. Chelsea's 47 goals scored versus Burnley's 51 conceded highlights the attacking-defensive mismatch. Home advantage at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea has been particularly strong, further tilts this fixture decisively in their favor.

What alternative bets should I consider for Chelsea vs Burnley?

Over 2.5 Goals represents excellent value given Chelsea's attacking prowess and Burnley's defensive struggles. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently. Chelsea -1.5 Asian Handicap offers attractive odds for a comfortable home victory. First goalscorer markets favor Chelsea players, particularly Cole Palmer who's been in outstanding form. These markets perfectly suit the expected dynamics of this one-sided encounter.

How do recent injuries affect both teams' chances in this match?

Chelsea's injury concerns include suspended winger Mudryk and defender Colwill's knee problem, but their squad depth should handle these absences. Burnley faces more significant issues with striker Amdouni (knee) and midfielder Roberts (groin) both sidelined, removing key attacking threats. Chelsea's superior squad quality means they can rotate effectively, while Burnley's limited options make their injury problems more damaging to their already slim chances of avoiding defeat.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Chelsea (7)Draws (3)Burnley (0)
Nov 22, 25
(H)Burnley0 - 2Chelsea(A)
A
Mar 30, 24
(H)Chelsea2 - 2Burnley(A)
D
Oct 7, 23
(H)Burnley1 - 4Chelsea(A)
A
Mar 5, 22
(H)Burnley0 - 4Chelsea(A)
A
Nov 6, 21
(H)Chelsea1 - 1Burnley(A)
D
Jan 31, 21
(H)Chelsea2 - 0Burnley(A)
H
Oct 31, 20
(H)Burnley0 - 3Chelsea(A)
A
Jan 11, 20
(H)Chelsea3 - 0Burnley(A)
H
Oct 26, 19
(H)Burnley2 - 4Chelsea(A)
A
Apr 22, 19
(H)Chelsea2 - 2Burnley(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent encounters heavily favor Chelsea with dominant performances. In their last meeting this season, Chelsea secured a comfortable 2-0 victory...

Recent encounters heavily favor Chelsea with dominant performances. In their last meeting this season, Chelsea secured a comfortable 2-0 victory at Turf Moor in November 2025. The previous season saw a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge, but Chelsea had won 4-1 away earlier that campaign. Chelsea's superior quality consistently shows in this fixture, with the Blues scoring freely against Burnley's porous defense across multiple seasons.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Chelsea

9 of 15 in Premier League

W
D
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
D
D
L

Form Rating

6.3/10

Chelsea Form Analysis

Trending

Chelsea demonstrates excellent recent form with four wins in their last five Premier League matches....

Chelsea demonstrates excellent recent form with four wins in their last five Premier League matches. Their attacking display has been particularly impressive, netting three goals against both Crystal Palace and Wolves in recent outings. The Blues also progressed in cup competitions, reaching FA Cup Round of 32 with a 4-0 Hull City victory. At Stamford Bridge, they've been formidable with strong home performances. However, defensive injuries to Colwill and Adarabioyo could pose challenges. Mudryk's suspension removes a key attacking option, but their squad depth should compensate. Cole Palmer and Nicolas Jackson have been standout performers driving their recent success.

Burnley

13 of 15 in Premier League

L
W
L
L
D
D
W
D
L
L
D
D
L
L
L

Form Rating

3/10

Burnley Form Analysis

Analysis

Burnley's form remains deeply concerning as they languish at the bottom with just 18 points...

Burnley's form remains deeply concerning as they languish at the bottom with just 18 points from 26 matches. Their recent 3-2 victory over Crystal Palace provided rare joy, but it followed defeats to West Ham (2-0) and Sunderland (3-0). Away from home, they've been particularly vulnerable with only two wins all season. Multiple injury concerns compound their problems, with key players Amdouni (knee) and Roberts (groin) sidelined. Their defensive frailties are evident with 51 goals conceded, the worst in the league. Josh Brownhill and Luca Koleosho represent their main creative threats, but lack of consistent goalscoring remains their biggest issue.

shieldChelsea6

  • M. Cucurella profile photo

    M. Cucurella

    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • M. Mudryk profile photo

    M. Mudryk

    Suspended
    Out
  • L. Colwill profile photo

    L. Colwill

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • F. Jorgensen profile photo

    F. Jorgensen

    Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Gittens profile photo

    J. Gittens

    Muscle Injury
    Out
M. CucurellaChelsea
M. MudrykChelsea
L. ColwillChelsea
F. JorgensenChelsea
J. GittensChelsea
D. EssugoChelsea

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldBurnley7

  • A. Tuanzebe profile photo

    A. Tuanzebe

    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Out
  • C. Roberts profile photo

    C. Roberts

    Groin Injury
    Out
  • J. Cullen profile photo

    J. Cullen

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Beyer profile photo

    J. Beyer

    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • M. Tresor Ndayishimiye profile photo

    M. Tresor Ndayishimiye

    Ankle Injury
    Out
A. TuanzebeBurnley
C. RobertsBurnley
J. CullenBurnley
J. BeyerBurnley
M. Tresor NdayishimiyeBurnley
Z. AmdouniBurnley
A. BrojaBurnley

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.