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Brighton
Brighton12th in Premier League (7-9-7)
VS
Everton
Everton10th in Premier League (9-6-8)

Brighton vs Everton

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026 · --:--

Amex Stadium

Final
Brighton
1–1
Everton

Draw

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Brighton vs Everton prediction sees the Seagulls as slight favorites in this Premier League preview at the Amex Stadium. Brighton sits 12th with 30 points, showing inconsistent form but strong home advantage with five wins and five draws in eleven home games. Their recent results include a disappointing 2-1 loss at Fulham but impressive victories over Manchester United in the FA Cup and solid performances against top sides. Everton occupies 10th place with 33 points, displaying better away form than their hosts with five wins from twelve road trips. The Toffees' recent 1-1 draw with Leeds followed an excellent 1-0 victory at Villa Park, demonstrating their ability to grind out results. Key injuries affect both sides - Brighton miss Solly March, Adam Webster, and Mats Wieffer, while Everton are without Jack Grealish and Tim Iroegbunam. Our expert picks favor Brighton's home advantage and superior attacking threat, making this one of today's football tips with decent value for home backers.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Brighton7-9-730.4%
Everton9-6-839.1%
Goals Scored
Brighton33
Everton25
Goals Conceded
Brighton31
Everton26
Goal Difference
Brighton+2
Everton-1

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Brighton vs Everton - Match Analysis

Why is Brighton favored despite Everton's recent head-to-head success?

Brighton's home advantage at the Amex Stadium proves decisive in our analysis. The Seagulls have won six and drawn five of eleven home games this season, losing just once. Their attacking quality, demonstrated in victories over Manchester United and competitive displays against Manchester City, outweighs Everton's recent H2H edge. Brighton's superior league position and goal difference also support the home prediction.

What alternative bets should I consider for Brighton vs Everton?

Draw No Bet: Brighton offers excellent value at around 75% confidence, protecting against Everton's defensive resilience while backing Brighton's home strength. Over 2.5 Goals appeals given both teams' recent high-scoring encounters and attacking potential. Both Teams to Score provides another strong option, considering Brighton's home scoring record and Everton's away goal threat through Calvert-Lewin.

How do the recent injuries affect both teams' chances?

Brighton's defensive injuries to Adam Webster and Mats Wieffer weaken their backline stability, potentially benefiting Everton's counter-attacking approach. However, Everton miss Jack Grealish's creativity in midfield, which could limit their ability to unlock Brighton's defense. The injury impact slightly favors Brighton due to their greater squad depth and home advantage compensating for defensive absences.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Brighton (3)Draws (3)Everton (4)
Aug 24, 25
(H)Everton2 - 0Brighton(A)
H
Jan 25, 25
(H)Brighton0 - 1Everton(A)
A
Aug 17, 24
(H)Everton0 - 3Brighton(A)
A
Feb 24, 24
(H)Brighton1 - 1Everton(A)
D
Nov 4, 23
(H)Everton1 - 1Brighton(A)
D
May 8, 23
(H)Brighton1 - 5Everton(A)
A
Jan 3, 23
(H)Everton1 - 4Brighton(A)
A
Jan 2, 22
(H)Everton2 - 3Brighton(A)
A
Aug 28, 21
(H)Brighton0 - 2Everton(A)
A
Apr 12, 21
(H)Brighton0 - 0Everton(A)
D

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Everton, who won 2-0 at home in August 2025 and secured a 1-0 victory at the...

Recent head-to-head encounters favor Everton, who won 2-0 at home in August 2025 and secured a 1-0 victory at the Amex in January 2025. The last three meetings have seen Everton win twice with one draw, reversing Brighton's earlier dominance in this fixture. However, Brighton's 3-0 thrashing of Everton in August 2024 shows their potential when firing on all cylinders. The recent pattern suggests tight, low-scoring affairs with Everton's defensive organization proving effective against Brighton's attacking approach.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Brighton

14 of 15 in Premier League

L
D
W
D
W
D
L
D
L
D
L
W
W
D
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Brighton Form Analysis

Trending

Brighton's form shows typical mid-table inconsistency with seven wins, nine draws, and seven losses from...

Brighton's form shows typical mid-table inconsistency with seven wins, nine draws, and seven losses from 23 games. Their home record provides encouragement with six wins and five draws from eleven matches, losing just once at the Amex. Recent performances include a creditable 1-1 draw with Manchester City and a stunning 2-1 FA Cup victory at Old Trafford against Manchester United. However, defensive frailties were exposed in the 2-1 defeat at Fulham and the thrilling 4-3 home loss to Aston Villa. Key absences include defender Adam Webster and midfielder Mats Wieffer through injury, while Brajan Gruda remains questionable. Danny Welbeck leads their attack with consistent goal threat, supported by creative midfielder Kaoru Mitoma when fit.

Everton

14 of 15 in Premier League

D
W
L
D
L
W
D
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
D

Form Rating

5.3/10

Everton Form Analysis

Analysis

Everton's season has been characterized by resilience and tactical discipline under their current management. With...

Everton's season has been characterized by resilience and tactical discipline under their current management. With nine wins, six draws, and eight losses, they've shown marked improvement in away form with five victories from twelve road trips. Their recent 1-0 triumph at Villa Park highlighted their counter-attacking threat and defensive solidity. The 1-1 draw with Leeds demonstrated their ability to earn points in difficult situations. However, the 4-2 home defeat to Brentford exposed defensive vulnerabilities when facing high-intensity pressing. Missing Jack Grealish through foot injury removes creativity from midfield, while Tim Iroegbunam's absence affects squad depth. Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains their primary goal threat when available, with Abdoulaye Doucouré providing energy in midfield.

shieldBrighton5

  • S. March profile photo

    S. March

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • A. Webster profile photo

    A. Webster

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • M. Wieffer profile photo

    M. Wieffer

    Toe Injury
    Out
  • B. Gruda profile photo

    B. Gruda

    Injury
    Questionable
  • S. Tzimas profile photo

    S. Tzimas

    Knee Injury
    Out
S. MarchBrighton
A. WebsterBrighton
M. WiefferBrighton
B. GrudaBrighton
S. TzimasBrighton

shieldEverton2

  • J. Grealish profile photo

    J. Grealish

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • T. Iroegbunam profile photo

    T. Iroegbunam

    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
J. GrealishEverton
T. IroegbunamEverton

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.