Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Brighton45%vs 50%-5%
- Draw30%vs 26%+4%
- Crystal Palace25%vs 26%
Analysis
Our AI model favors Brighton based on home advantage and superior recent form patterns. The probability analysis suggests a tight contest with Brighton's home fortress providing the decisive edge. Palace's extensive injury list, particularly in attack, limits their scoring threat against a Brighton side that has shown defensive resilience. The model identifies value in backing the home side despite their inconsistent form, as Palace's away struggles continue to be a significant weakness.




















