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Brentford
Brentford7th in Premier League (13-7-11)
VS
Everton
Everton8th in Premier League (13-7-11)

Brentford vs Everton

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026 · --:--

Brentford Community Stadium

Final
Brentford
2–2
Everton

Draw

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Brentford vs Everton prediction centers on a closely contested Premier League preview between two evenly matched sides. Both teams sit level on 46 points with identical 1.48 points per game, making this one of the season's most balanced encounters. Brentford's superior attacking output (1.48 goals per game vs 1.19) gives them a slight edge at home, where they've been solid with seven wins from 15 matches. The Bees have shown resilience in recent weeks, drawing at Leeds and holding Arsenal to a 1-1 stalemate. Everton arrives with mixed away form but coming off an impressive 3-0 home victory over Chelsea. Key injuries could impact both sides, with Brentford missing Fabio Carvalho and Josh Dasilva, while Everton's Jack Grealish remains sidelined. The bookmaker consensus favors Brentford at 44.1% probability, reflecting their home advantage and marginally better attacking metrics. With both teams' combined draw rate at 22.6% and averaging 2.67 goals per game, this shapes up as an entertaining mid-table clash. Our expert picks suggest backing the home side in a tight contest, though free tips point to alternative markets offering better value given the teams' similar quality.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Brentford13-7-1141.9%
Everton13-7-1141.9%
Goals Scored
Brentford46
Everton37
Goals Conceded
Brentford42
Everton35
Goal Difference
Brentford+4
Everton+2

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Brentford vs Everton - Match Analysis

Why is Brentford favored despite both teams having identical points?

Brentford's home advantage and superior attacking output (1.48 vs 1.19 goals per game) give them the edge. Their recent 4-2 victory over Everton in January also provides psychological momentum. The bookmaker consensus reflects these factors, pricing the Bees at 44.1% win probability compared to Everton's 27.4%.

What alternative bets should I consider for Brentford vs Everton?

Both Teams to Score Yes offers excellent value given both sides' attacking capabilities and defensive inconsistencies. Over 2.5 Goals appeals with their combined 2.67 goals per game average. Draw No Bet on Brentford provides insurance while capitalizing on home advantage in this closely matched encounter.

How do the recent injuries affect both teams' chances?

Brentford's absences of Carvalho and Dasilva weaken their creativity and defensive stability, while Hickey's hamstring injury limits their full-back options. Everton miss Grealish's pace and directness, though Calvert-Lewin's return to form partially compensates. The injury impact slightly favors Everton, though both squads have sufficient depth for competitive lineups.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Brentford (3)Draws (3)Everton (4)
Jan 4, 26
(H)Everton2 - 4Brentford(A)
A
Feb 26, 25
(H)Brentford1 - 1Everton(A)
D
Nov 23, 24
(H)Everton0 - 0Brentford(A)
D
Apr 27, 24
(H)Everton1 - 0Brentford(A)
H
Sep 23, 23
(H)Brentford1 - 3Everton(A)
A
Mar 11, 23
(H)Everton1 - 0Brentford(A)
H
Aug 27, 22
(H)Brentford1 - 1Everton(A)
D
May 15, 22
(H)Everton2 - 3Brentford(A)
A
Feb 5, 22
(H)Everton4 - 1Brentford(A)
H
Nov 28, 21
(H)Brentford1 - 0Everton(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Brentford, who demolished Everton 4-2 at Goodison Park in January 2026. The Bees have won...

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor Brentford, who demolished Everton 4-2 at Goodison Park in January 2026. The Bees have won three of the last five meetings, with Everton managing just one victory. This psychological edge could prove crucial, especially with Brentford's attacking prowess evident in their recent 4-2 triumph where they overcame a two-goal deficit.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted

Brentford

12 of 15 in Premier League

D
D
L
D
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

6/10

Brentford Form Analysis

Trending

Brentford enters this fixture with mixed recent form, drawing their last two Premier League matches...

Brentford enters this fixture with mixed recent form, drawing their last two Premier League matches against Leeds (0-0) and Wolves (2-2). However, they showed character in both games, particularly the comeback draw with Wolves after falling behind. Their attacking threat remains potent, averaging 1.48 goals per game with Ivan Toney leading the line effectively. The Bees have been particularly strong at home with seven wins from 15 matches, though defensive consistency remains a concern. Key absences include Fabio Carvalho and Josh Dasilva through knee injuries, while Aaron Hickey's hamstring problem further depletes their options. Rico Henry and Vitaly Janelt are questionable, adding to Thomas Frank's selection headaches.

Everton

14 of 15 in Premier League

W
L
W
W
L
L
W
D
D
W
L
D
L
W
D

Form Rating

5.3/10

Everton Form Analysis

Analysis

Everton arrives in excellent spirits following their stunning 3-0 victory over Chelsea at Goodison Park,...

Everton arrives in excellent spirits following their stunning 3-0 victory over Chelsea at Goodison Park, their most impressive performance of the season. The Toffees have shown improved resilience under Sean Dyche, winning four of their last eight league matches. Their away record of seven wins from 15 games demonstrates they can compete anywhere, though they've struggled for consistency throughout the campaign. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has rediscovered his scoring touch, while Amadou Onana provides midfield stability. The major concern is Jack Grealish's continued absence through foot injury, robbing them of creativity. Carlos Alcaraz remains questionable, potentially limiting their attacking options from the bench.

shieldBrentford6

  • R. Henry profile photo

    R. Henry

    Muscle Injury
    Questionable
  • J. Dasilva profile photo

    J. Dasilva

    Knee Injury
    Out
  • V. Janelt profile photo

    V. Janelt

    Foot Injury
    Questionable
  • A. Hickey profile photo

    A. Hickey

    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • F. Carvalho profile photo

    F. Carvalho

    Knee Injury
    Out
R. HenryBrentford
J. DasilvaBrentford
V. JaneltBrentford
A. HickeyBrentford
F. CarvalhoBrentford
A. MilamboBrentford

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldEverton2

  • J. Grealish profile photo

    J. Grealish

    Foot Injury
    Out
  • C. Alcaraz profile photo

    C. Alcaraz

    Injury
    Questionable
J. GrealishEverton
C. AlcarazEverton

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.