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Vitality Stadium
Draw
Our Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction favors the Cherries in this Premier League preview at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth sits 8th with 38 points while Sunderland occupies 12th with 36 points, making this a crucial mid-table clash. The hosts have shown resilience at home with six wins from 13 matches, including impressive victories over Liverpool and Tottenham. Sunderland's away form remains problematic with just two wins in 13 road trips this season. Key injuries affect both sides - Bournemouth miss Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook, while Sunderland are without Dennis Cirkin and Bakary Traore. The bookmaker consensus strongly supports a home victory at 53.1% probability, reflecting Bournemouth's superior attacking output of 1.59 goals per game versus Sunderland's modest 1.04. With both teams drawing frequently this season, our expert picks suggest backing the home side while considering free tips for alternative markets given the high combined draw rate of 37%.
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Last 5 head-to-head matchups
Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry. Their most recent Premier League meeting in November 2025 saw Sunderland...
Recent encounters between these sides show a competitive rivalry. Their most recent Premier League meeting in November 2025 saw Sunderland triumph 3-2 at the Stadium of Light in a thrilling encounter. However, historical data from their previous top-flight meetings shows Bournemouth holding a slight edge, winning two of the last five encounters with two draws and one Sunderland victory. The matches typically feature goals, with four of the last five producing over 2.5 goals.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted
14 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
5/10
Bournemouth enters this fixture in mixed form but showing signs of improvement. Their recent sequence...
Bournemouth enters this fixture in mixed form but showing signs of improvement. Their recent sequence includes a goalless draw at West Ham followed by a crucial 2-1 victory at Everton that highlighted their away resilience. At the Vitality Stadium, they've been particularly impressive with notable wins over Liverpool (3-2) and Tottenham (3-2), demonstrating their ability to trouble top-six opposition. The Cherries average 1.59 goals per game and have scored in 22 of 27 league matches this season. However, defensive consistency remains an issue, conceding 1.67 goals per game. Key absences include winger Justin Kluivert and midfielder Lewis Cook through injury, potentially impacting their creative output and midfield stability.
13 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
4.7/10
Sunderland's recent form has been concerning, particularly their 3-1 defeat to Fulham at home in...
Sunderland's recent form has been concerning, particularly their 3-1 defeat to Fulham at home in their last league outing. The Black Cats have struggled for goals all season, managing just 1.04 per game - the joint-lowest in the division. Their away record is particularly worrying with only two wins from 13 trips, though they did secure a valuable FA Cup victory at Oxford United. Defensively, they're more solid at 1.22 goals conceded per game, but lack the attacking threat to consistently trouble opponents. Missing defender Dennis Cirkin and midfielder Bakary Traore through injury further weakens their options. Their tendency to draw matches (33.3% rate) reflects their inability to find winning goals in tight contests.
2025/2026 Season









Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
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Bournemouth vs Sunderland - Match Analysis
Bournemouth's home advantage at the Vitality Stadium proves crucial, where they've beaten Liverpool and Tottenham this season. Their superior attacking output of 1.59 goals per game compared to Sunderland's league-low 1.04 creates a significant edge. Additionally, Sunderland's woeful away record of just two wins from 13 trips makes them vulnerable visitors, while the four-place league gap reflects Bournemouth's overall superiority this campaign.
Over 2.5 Goals offers excellent value given Bournemouth's home scoring record and their recent 3-2 victories over Liverpool and Tottenham. The Asian Handicap market with Bournemouth -0.5 provides better odds than the straight win while covering most scenarios. Both Teams to Score No also presents value, considering Sunderland's struggles to find the net away from home this season.
Bournemouth's absences of Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook impact their attacking creativity and midfield stability, but their squad depth should cope at home. Sunderland's missing defenders Dennis Cirkin and Bakary Traore weaken an already fragile away defensive setup. These injuries favor Bournemouth, who have better replacement options and the comfort of playing at the Vitality Stadium where they've shown resilience against stronger opposition this season.
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