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Vitality Stadium
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AI Predicted Winner
Liverpool
43%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | |||
Betfair | |||
Marathonbet | |||
| Best Odds |
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Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction: this Premier League clash at the Vitality Stadium sees an in-form Bournemouth side welcome a Liverpool team that leads the head-to-head recent meeting on the road. Bournemouth sit 15th after an unbeaten-but-winless run of three draws and a loss, while Liverpool are unbeaten in four, though three of those have been draws.
Liverpool's away form has been solid, winning one and drawing one of two trips this season while conceding just once. Bournemouth have struggled defensively at home in patches, though their two home matches this term have both ended level.
Both sides carry notable injury lists, with Liverpool missing several defensive options including Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni, which slightly tempers their control despite the away favoritism. Bournemouth's own absentees in defense add further goal-scoring potential to this fixture.
With a combined draw rate of 75% between the two sides this season and market odds installing Liverpool as clear favorites at 44.8%, the data points to a competitive, goal-involved match. Liverpool's superior points-per-game and away-day sharpness should edge this, but Bournemouth's home resilience makes a draw a live outcome. Expect goals at both ends given each side's defensive frailties this campaign.
Moderate
Moderate
Favorable
High
2026/2027 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Liverpool have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last three meetings including a 4-2 away win in August 2025 and...
Liverpool have dominated this fixture recently, winning the last three meetings including a 4-2 away win in August 2025 and a 2-0 victory in February 2025. Bournemouth's only success in the recent sample came in January 2026, a 3-2 home win. Across the last two years, Liverpool have scored freely in this matchup, though Bournemouth have shown they can hurt them at the Vitality Stadium when clinical in front of goal.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsPremier League matches highlighted
9 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
6.3/10
Bournemouth are winless in four matches, drawing three straight including a 2-2 with Brentford most...
Bournemouth are winless in four matches, drawing three straight including a 2-2 with Brentford most recently, but they remain unbeaten at home this season with two draws from two. Their attack has stayed productive, scoring six goals in four league games, though a leaky defense has conceded seven at a similar rate. Injuries to Adli, Araujo, Kroupi, and Milosavljevic have thinned their options, particularly defensively. Evanilson remains the player to watch going forward, capable of exploiting Liverpool's makeshift backline.
9 of 15 in Premier League
Form Rating
5.3/10
Liverpool are unbeaten through four matches but have drawn three of them, including a goalless...
Liverpool are unbeaten through four matches but have drawn three of them, including a goalless stalemate with Fulham last time out. Their defense has tightened with two clean sheets and just four goals conceded, though the attack has occasionally stalled against deeper blocks. Significant absentees including Ekitike, Gomez, Leoni, and Chiesa test their squad depth, especially in defense and attack. Mohamed Salah remains the key threat capable of unlocking a stubborn Bournemouth rearguard on the counter.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool - Match Analysis
Liverpool's underlying numbers remain strong: they're unbeaten, have kept two clean sheets, and boast a superior points-per-game rate of 1.5 compared to Bournemouth's 0.75. Their away form this season includes a win and a draw, conceding just once. Despite the draws, quality and defensive solidity have bookmakers backing them at 44.8%, well above Bournemouth's 30.4% underdog price.
Bournemouth remain unbeaten at the Vitality Stadium this season with two draws from two, and they've scored six goals in four league matches, showing they can trouble any opponent going forward. Liverpool's defensive injury list, including Bradley, Gomez, and Leoni, weakens their backline just enough to give Bournemouth's attack, led by Evanilson, a genuine sniff of goals and points.
Over 2.5 Goals looks like strong value given both sides are averaging a combined 3.0 goals per game this season. Draw No Bet: Liverpool is also worth considering as a safer alternative to the outright win, given the high 75% combined draw rate between these two teams so far this campaign.
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